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Nike Air Foamposite One Rugged Orange CJ0303-400 | Resale Value & How Many Pairs Possibly Made
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Feb 20, 2025
Nike isn’t showing any signs of slowing down its output of sneakers on the market; the brand has released several gems in the past 3 months, and in a few days, we’ll be graced with the Air Foamposite One Rugged Orange. The shoe is a hybrid of the Foamposite NYC and sports a sunset like upper with navy blue accents on the eyestay and heel liner. Additional details include a miniature an orange swoosh logo near the toe box, the customary penny logo on the back in gold, a multicolored tongue tab and more logos Nike and penny logos on the insoles. Let’s try to figure out the number of pairs of this model that might have been produced. We’ll first take a quick count of the approved stockists, formulate our assumptions and run the numbers.
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0:00
hey what's going on guys this is Tiger
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Haase kicks calm welcome to my channel
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today we're gonna talk about it for part
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1 rugged orange on his shoes coming out
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on the 21st of May and it's part of the
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Nike basketball release calendar this is
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probably one of the best films I've seen
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in a long time he reminds me a little
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bit after a New York Knicks colorway
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that came out I guess not only for the
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last year when he was again I forgot but
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this is coming out and I just love the
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look of it it reminds me of the sunset
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it's just great great great great
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colorway you know I really like
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everything about it so basically let me
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show you some quick pictures and then
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we're gonna talk about numbers and all
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that so I just love how this gold looks
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like a flame it's just the play of color
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is just amazing you can see the blend in
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it blends in perfectly I just love it
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you know I don't know if I can wear this
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in the summertime because your feet are
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gonna be steaming and yeah it's gonna be
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hot because the the forms are built like
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a German tank right and it is like
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durable good good shoe you can ball in
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this for a long time you know but I felt
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like it - is it a little too heavy for
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basketball purposes I just can't wear it
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as a ball but I just love the color
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weight so you have that color and those
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are the form shells and then you your
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iced tea is built with some kind of a
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synthetic leather on the side here in
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blue and navy blue and then you have
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your mesh extension of the tongue and
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the tongue itself and then you have a
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multicolored tongue tab and then your
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penny' logo inside in some kind of a
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brown color the back here of your penny'
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logo again and goes stitched up there
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and there little bit of that navy blue
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color and your synthetic leather and
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then you have the liner built in your
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foam and then it's just textile material
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and then again these cushions your
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anchor very well it keeps your foot
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locked in there it's a good shoe man
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then you have your carbon-fiber
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shanks and then your herringbone thread
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at the bottom good shoe I love the
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colorway I just I just don't think I can
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rock this in the summer time it's just
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gonna be too hot for it well let's talk
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numbers alright so when I first when I
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wrote the article this morning again I
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would treat
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every one of these releases are safe in
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stores like stores were getting me
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because that's the only way we can make
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some prediction on if she can actually
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shrevie as I say if this was also going
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to stores even those stores on her open
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and we're gonna treat it as if stores
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were getting it so when I when I checked
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for who was getting it beside Nike you
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have like footlocker for action Hebert
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finished lining JD Sports that's where
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the major chains and for the minor
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chains so far it's only downtown locker
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room and Revere that so I'm not gonna
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add anything that I don't know about so
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those are the ones that I'm sure so I'm
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gonna stick with these numbers now to
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start to run my assumption I gave like a
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quarter of the production to Nike and
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then I gave footlocker fraction half of
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it and then finished nine Hebert JD spot
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and all the manna chains are gonna get a
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quarter so I gave footlocker's about 24
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pairs per store and then four fraction
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twelve and then I'm gonna give their
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online allocations an extra third
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meaning I know everything's gonna be
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online but I say like I said in the
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beginning we're gonna treat this as if
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it was just installing online okay so
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I'm gonna assume that 2/3 of the
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footlocker gonna be getting it to third
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reduction are gonna get it so that's
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like 600 footlocker stores and then I
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just like one and 80 181 foot action
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stores and then we can run our numbers
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from here you can look on my screen
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again I did 24 times 600 which is
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fourteen hundred and four hundred
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fourteen thousand four hundred pairs for
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food action it's gonna be 21 72 and then
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they are online allocation is just
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artists number and divided by 3 we get
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fifty five thousand five hundred and
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twenty four pairs and the grand total is
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gonna be adding all these things
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together and I came up with twenty two
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thousand ninety six pairs
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now based on I on our initial assumption
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the grand total for the USA is going to
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be this number times 2 right because I
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consider this to be half for the
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production which is four forty four
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thousand one hundred and ninety two so
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our stretched our number to fifty
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thousand pairs but because of possible
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errors that I may have made in my
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assumption and due to the fact that the
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airphone posit people release like
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globally because I'm surely some
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international boutiques or agony
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I'm gonna project the numbers but to be
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between fifty thousand and eight hundred
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and fifty thousand pairs now here's the
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problem
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when I do these numbers here I don't
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have any kind of story information
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I just basically just use my background
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mathematics to make this projection so
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don't quote me on any of this I'm just
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gonna give you a just try to give you a
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quick picture of what the reality may be
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or I so use these with caution now as
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far as resale is concerned man like no
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third-party marketplace has the shoe
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sold not eBay my kicks II find that
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stock acts there's no sales when I was
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writing this article this morning which
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is incredible that tells me that the
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shoe is really limited now so basically
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what I did was I just made my prediction
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based on intuition the she was like 230
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before tax so it's like 245 after tax so
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I'm thinking the markup is going between
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anywhere between 33 percent and 45
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percent which means that the shoe is
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gonna you're gonna be making you can
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sell the shoe between 360 or three nine
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three hundred and ninety dollars so
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that's what I'm thinking
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by the time it comes out on Saturday
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people are gonna be able to sell it for
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360 or three ninety so your profit
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margins based on my prediction and my my
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my projection is gonna be between $80
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and $100 which isn't bad at all bear in
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mind I was very conservative with his
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numbers in other words the resale price
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might go through the roof because these
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shoes like no one was able to sell it on
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third-party places that means that she
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was limited so even my numbers may have
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been too exaggerated so again that's why
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I say anywhere between 50,000 and
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150,000 pairs so be on the lookout for
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his shoe is gonna be a good one and he
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looks good and I'm sure a lot of people
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are gonna want it
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alright I don't know that that's all I
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wanted to say today be sure to check how
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the kicks calm for more stuff that I
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write and be sure to check out my shop
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also just go on the website and click
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shop and it's gonna take you right to my
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shop and this is it for today alright
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thanks for watching this is time for my
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psychic said stay tuned for anything
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else thank you
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