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hey what's going on guys this is tyler
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haws of chicks.com and today we're gonna
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talk about a jordan 5 fire raid now the
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shoe originally came out in the 90s in
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1990 and he made it for his first coming
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back in 2000 in his OG form which is the
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one with the nike air on the back and
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we've seen it again over the last 15 20
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years in like different format you had
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the one with a jump banner back and it
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came out with a CDP package so there's
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been like a lot of comebacks on the shoe
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but now nike again wants to go back to
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the roots which is bringing the shoe
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back again he's so G for my he again
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this is more like a money-making thing
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for for the brain but they want to give
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people what they want now the shoe when
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he came out first he was $115 and then
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with inflation and everything he went
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off to like $200 now so are you gonna be
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paying $200 for the shoe so we're gonna
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talk about numbers disappoint and we're
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gonna talk about resale value know that
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but let me show you a quick picture of
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it I'm on Nikes website is the best
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place to get pictures they have like the
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official wrong pictures on how to show
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on hand so I can't tell you what they
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look like in person so again it's again
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all white we've read on the shark teeth
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at the midsole an issue again was
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inspired by world war ii on fighter jet
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so what you have on the bottom here is
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and your translucent or clear outsold
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again on your tongue here of the jump
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man again and the netting on the side
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which is customary of most jordan 5 and
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your air chamber at the midsole for
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cushioning purposes and your pods on the
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side here with inside of a do some form
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to keep your ankle well efficient and
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again the nike on the back this is how
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it should came out first in the 90s i
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think this is gonna be 3 em on the on
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the outside of the tongue so you can see
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the reflective details there alright so
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basically this is what it is and you
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have your list lock and it's built with
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I don't know what kind of letter to you
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so I'm not gonna say anything about it
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because last time when I did I was wrong
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about what I said and I got framed for
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that so I don't want to take a chance on
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this one and I have the shoes on hand so
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I can't tell you what it looked like so
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now let's go back to my website and talk
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numbers alright so again
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now that we've decoded nineteen a lot of
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things have changed so brains are now
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solely doing the online own releases
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online so all the inventories are
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supposed to be going to stores it's
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gonna be now available online so again
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with this I had to set up my assumptions
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so the assumptions are I'm gonna just
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stick with like Foot Locker and fraction
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and gems I'm thinking this is gonna be
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jihad everybody's gonna get it I know
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there was some kind of a surprise drop a
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few days ago and I sold out instantly so
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I still think on comes the second is
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going to be general release everybody's
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going to get it so I'm assuming that
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there are about like 8,000 footlocker
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stores 272 or fraction stores and fine
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and 47 chain stores so all their
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allocation is going to go to the online
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so let me set up my assumption and then
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we're gonna run into the numbers so I'm
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assuming that Nikes gonna quiet about a
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third of the entire production and
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fraction chains and finish line in East
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Bay will also get it not finish line and
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all the other minor and managed and
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major chains are gonna sleep Italy
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remaining one third so now as far as
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like a Sarah assigning on the numbers
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I'm gonna give about 36 pairs of
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footlocker and I'm gonna give to a
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fraction in James 12 each okay and then
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we can also assume that they are in
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addition there's going to be another
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third after inventory that was going to
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be added to the physical or location is
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on location so now and I'm gonna give
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mine extra 132 East Bay from the combine
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online allocation from Foot Locker and
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fractionate James so once I get that
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taken care of I can run the numbers so
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these are the numbers here for Foot
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Locker we're gonna do thirty six hundred
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thousand we got thirty six thousand
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pairs what fraction is going to be two
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hundred seventy two times well we get 32
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164 and for change there's only five
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hundred forty-seven times worth which is
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65 64 and total from our ogram is
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forty-five thousand eight hundred
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twenty-eight and an extras which is the
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online normal allocation is going to be
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- it divided by 3 which is 15,000 276
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this way is gonna get me a third of that
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which is five thousand ninety two and
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then the total is gonna be out of all
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these things together we got up to sixty
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six thousand one hundred and ninety six
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and the grand total phone for the USA is
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gonna be 66 196 times three which is
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nineteen thousand one hundred and ninety
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eight thousand five eighty eight and I
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took it up to two hundred thousand pairs
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you can doubled our number to get
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worldwide allocation so I'm thinking the
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production is going between 200,000 and
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400,000 don't quote me on it because
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again I don't work for the cranes I'm
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just giving you numbers based on my own
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assumption so I'm thinking anything
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between two hundred and four on the cake
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so now what about the resale value of
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the fire rate when I ran my numbers last
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week between Thursday April the 23rd and
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Wednesday it for this one second this is
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what I this is what happened on the 22nd
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it was 273 and on the 23rd it was 276 so
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you can see that it should get about
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three dollars in value but the
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distribution is pretty normal
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there's no apparent outliers and the
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average value of the shoe is in the low
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to 70s and we can expect it to drop by
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5% the daily shoe releases meaning
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whatever that value is gonna drop about
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5% today or they should drop so I'm
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thinking maybe by the 2nd of May it's
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gonna go down to maybe 260 so it can
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fall before within the 240 to 260 price
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range as far as like the retail value
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you can look at a distribution here by
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size what I did from size 7 to size 15
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you can see that most sizes are like in
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the low or high to 60s to 65 to 70 and
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all that and then you have some pretty
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interesting variation here at 11:00 1/2
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you have the 300 and our 14 our 3 or 5
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and 1325 so the bigger sizes trying to
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have a better margin so if you see what
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I say here in my observation
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sizes 11 half 12 13 and 14 the price
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ranges between 285 and 3 or 5 any other
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side is going to be it like 270 now
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based on these if you're trying to flip
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what can you get out of it no I
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before-tax tissues like $200 and after
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tax you're thinking a long thinking like
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$215 so eBay is probably the best place
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to flip this because now that there's no
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fees selling fees you gonna get your
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better margins on there so if you have a
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size eleven out of twelve thirteen or
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fourteen your your your profit is going
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forward within the 55 to $70 range which
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is almost like a twenty four percent to
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a thirty two point six percent margin
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which is not markup which is now about
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at all any other size you're gonna be
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making about thirty or forty bucks and
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that's like a 13 percent over 17 percent
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markup so that's not bad at all and you
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can actually a lot of guys wanna know
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where can I get this sneaker you can buy
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it I have a list of sellers number seven
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on eBay those are authentic sellers so I
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can point you to this website you can
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look at their the description in the
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link that I have they'll down the link
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in the description so I will have a link
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for you there if you want to grab this
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now and by the way out if you've missed
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our last week I shared an article under
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the Jordan through you and see the real
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versus fake I did that post so if you
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miss you can go back and look at it and
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also I will invite you to check out this
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thing here that I that I have on my
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website is IPTV so the IPTV a friend of
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mine is running this and he's giving you
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some pretty good deals on it so I would
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invite you to check that out why does
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hopefully number on here cuz my computer
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is a bit slow this morning you
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understand what's going on over there so
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he has this IPTV thing that he started
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and you get up to 10,000 channels
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worldwide and 20,000 movies and series
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VOD so you can get a lot of good things
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out of it right now maybe you're only
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you can be bored and this is a good time
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to like go in and watch some TV have
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some pretty good packages is $8.99 per
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month if you want to try it for one
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month and for 12 12 24 months you save
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another dollar which is seven dollars
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and ninety nine per month now for six
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months he's only charging $42 for six
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months and that's almost like $6.99 per
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month and for a year you only paying
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seventy two dollars which is which comes
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down to six dollars a month
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the deals are pretty good so I invite
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you to check that out I'll give you the
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in the description so be sure to check
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that out and then stay tuned for more
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stuff alright again how wonderful day
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and I'll see you next time thank you