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discover why that cruise you've booked
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may not run even when no cell bands are
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lifted around the world
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i'm gary bembridge and i'm going to
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explore why the lifting of the bands on
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cruises could still mean
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that crews you've booked and are looking
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forward to may well not sell
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especially if you have cruises booked in
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the months following cruising resuming
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i also include a rather surprising
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you may not have considered about why
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your cruise could be cancelled
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so let's take a look at why that cruise
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you have booked may not
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sail firstly when cruising resumes the
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cruise lines have made it very clear
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that it's going to be in a phased
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approach not all ships will come back
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as the no sale bans are lifted all the
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multiple times that they plan to bring
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back a few ships at first
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and slowly bring more back they've
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suggested this could take
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many months there are a couple of
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practical reasons for this first of all
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they need to return ships to the ports
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they plan to sell from
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ships are spread across the world right
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carnival and norwegian cruises have
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moved all their ships
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out of usa waters for example ships are
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dotted all around the world
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they also need to get crew back from all
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it's going to be a massive logistical
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task just as repatriating there was
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in the first place they need to bring
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000 crew to get all ships sailing again
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they need to test crew before departing
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on arrival need to quarantine them for
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14 days need to test them again
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to ensure they can start work they're
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going to have to train them get them
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right now they have very small numbers
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of crew on the ship and each ship
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will need up to and in some cases over 1
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000 crew to be brought back per ship
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they also need to then stock the ships
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and get all the supply chains
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up and running again it will take time
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to get all the suppliers and supplies
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booked arranged and delivered this all
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on a few ships at a time yours may not
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be one of those another massive reason
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countries and ports will even let them
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they'll have to design new cruises to
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match where they can go
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the lifting of no sale just means cruise
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it does not mean ports will be willing
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to take them as we saw in europe for
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as limited sailing started they were
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very restricted on where they could go
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so the lions canceled existing
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itineraries and developed brand new ones
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with the available ports and put those
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this will inevitably be the case around
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the world based on what ports are opened
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so that cruise itinerary you have booked
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even if the ship comes back into service
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may be impossible to run
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and it will be cancelled cruise groups
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have indicated they are in the process
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of disposing of ships
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and changing where they will be
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deploying ships which may also
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lead to your crews being cancelled
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carnival group has said they will
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of at least 18 ships now not all of
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those have been announced
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so inevitably as they get rid of more
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your ship may be included and cruises
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princess cruises also for example has
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changed the number of ships now due to
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so moving ships from other regions like
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asia and this may continue
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as they see what regions are open to
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to cruises is inevitable from this
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another reason the lions are looking at
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a phased return is the actual
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demand to cruise although there's a lot
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until cruising returns it's impossible
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the lions have said that they will
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manage supply so they can keep fares at
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that makes those ships selling
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profitable they want to avoid
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having to slash fares to fill ships
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we've seen in the early cruisers opening
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up in europe that demand has actually
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than many thought possibly because
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cruisers are put off by the protocols
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they've got testing masks social
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distancing cruise line only excursions
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and so on they may also be put up by the
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advice on travel and quarantine
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infection rates fluctuate personally i
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think we will see demand
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relatively soft as many people want a
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hold of cruising until they've seen a
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vaccines the ability to have less
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restrictive protocols on board and so on
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so your crews may well be one of those
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especially if it's one of the more
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exotic cruisers going further afield
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calling on multiple countries people are
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more likely to want to stay close to
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home as cruising starts
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and so those cruisers will have priority
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round the uk short mediterranean cruises
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cruises rely on a frequent and extensive
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transfer of passengers mostly flying
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airlines have slashed routes and
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capacity and this looks to continue into
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so cruisers are going to need to rely
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even more on drive to and more local
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so those cruisers will be the priority
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for return if your cruise is not one of
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close to home cruises it may also be at
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of course until no sale is lifted
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broadly and ports are
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open your cruise is going to be at risk
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is just to highlight that cruising being
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is no guarantee that your booked cruise
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be prepared for changes to come as lions
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adapt to the reality of what they can
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and cannot do be flexible
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and ready i've already seen some of my
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as ships are either sold or
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redeployments are changed
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so what do you think leave a comment and
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a thought i have weekly cruise updates
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