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I'm Gary Bembridge this is too so Travis
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I want to talk about why the u.s. is so
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set against cruising resuming inside US
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waters anytime soon why is it that from
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a cruise lovers perspective cruising
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seems an increasingly safe place to
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travel but the authorities who make the
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decision don't this is really all about
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the CDC the Center for Disease Control
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and Prevention they are the people who
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decide if cruising can start and they
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are pretty hostile towards the cruisin
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industry and this was seen most recently
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in a 20-page document there are six key
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reasons that this document actually
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highlights and draws attention to about
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why the CDC is so set against cruising
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first of all and probably the most
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significant of all is the CDC strongly
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believes and keep saying that they do
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see cruise ships as being a much higher
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risk than any other settings any other
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land-based place for transmission of the
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virus they see cruise ships as extremely
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high-risk partly feeling this is the
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fact that 80% of the cruise ships that
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were within US waters between the
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beginning of March and the 10th of July
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had outbreaks on board the ship of curve
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at 19 that's 99 out of the 123 ships in
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US waters had an outbreak and even at
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the time that they issued the no sail
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order nine ships still had some kind of
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covert 19 issue on board so basically
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the data 80% of cruise ships having some
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incident of cover 19 is reinforcing and
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driving their belief that cruise ships
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are a particularly risky environment
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they quote a number of different
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scientific sources including one which
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looked at the rate of spread or the our
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rate on the diamond princess which was
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up to four times higher than many
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countries had on land but they
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specifically say and this is a quote the
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current scientific evidence suggests
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that cruise ships pose a greater risk of
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carbon 19 transmissions than other
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settings cruise ship conditions
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amplified an already highly
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transmissible disease and what they talk
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about is the mere fact of the nature of
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cruise ships and the ecology on cruise
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ships so you have a lot of people in a
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contained space it's relatively
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distancing the crew are sharing quiet
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cramped quarters they're sharing
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quarters the facilities available just
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on board because we could go into
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theaters are going to bars they're going
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to nightclubs they're mixing a lot that
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it's just a environment that enables to
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spread much easier and much quicker than
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it does in similar situations on land
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people may disagree with this but this
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is a clearly a very strong belief that
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cruise ships are very high-risk and this
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is something that the industry is going
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to work on to get the c-d-c to ship from
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they talk for example in the document
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that they've had to do contact tracing
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four of 11,000 passengers which is
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significantly greater than they've had
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to do for covert 19 outbreaks linked to
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any airlines and flights operating
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within the United States they also argue
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that data they collected during the no
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sale order also show that even if you
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drastically reduce the amount of people
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on board the virus can still spread and
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they quoted for example some experiences
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on the Disney wonder where they had a
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lot of outbreaks of Kobe 19 even once
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passengers were off which one on for
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many weeks and they also talked about
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how for Royal Caribbean ships which had
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no incidences captured during a 28
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period there was no testing however when
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crew disembarked they tests were done in
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the countries where the crew came from
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and 55 cases were found even though
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nothing had been picked up onboard and
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this is large I guess because of
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asymptomatic people spreading the virus
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the second reason that the CDC is
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against cruising resuming anytime soon
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is they specifically talked about in the
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document about the risk of getting
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people to go on and off cruise ships
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when they see the virus is not under
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control on land so they talk about
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different states and different countries
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not yet having really got the infection
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rates truly under control and in some
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cases really increasing so getting
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people to come on an off cruise ships is
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just exacerbating and creating a
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significant problem so they are against
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cruising starting up whilst on land
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infection rates are still high and
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growing and they do specifically talk
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about the infection rates around the
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the third area and this is one that
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certainly has come up many many times
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and I believe is a big issue is
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the real concern that the CDC has around
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the amount of resources it's taking them
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to manage the whole situation that
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develops when the pandemic broke out in
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the first nerve cell order and repairing
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passengers and crew just the amount of
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time it takes but also significantly
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they talked many many times a document
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about their concern about the drain on
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federal on state and on local resources
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and importantly facilities including its
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and especially talking about medical
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facilities putting a whole big drain on
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the system by getting out survivor crew
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or passengers back on board they talked
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for example since the beginning of March
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they have expended over 38,000 man-hours
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in the CDC alone and that's really been
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focused initially on the passenger
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situation as the no cell orders started
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up but also in terms of repatriating
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crew even though they actually resisted
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all of crew actually disembarking in the
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US and had rules where ships had to
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basically sell them home they also then
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spoke about the fact that despite those
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restrictions they had to supervise and
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were involved in the repatriation of
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getting eight thousand eight hundred odd
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crew off the ship making the point that
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only 314 of those were u.s. citizens
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they are extremely concerned about the
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drain that if they let cruising start up
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again and there's any issues that it
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will put on resources at federal level
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local level state level and especially
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as I mentioned a Rambo strain it could
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put on the medical resources and
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capability particularly I guess when
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things are happening on land where those
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resources are already pretty stretched
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the fourth area is also one that they
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talk about a lot they spend a lot of
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time in the document talking about this
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and this is about how they feel that
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overall cruise lines are actually pretty
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unreliable and haven't really been very
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good at following the rules they have
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two sections in the document which are
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especially telling and have a lot of
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detail and these are first of all one
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section which is called difficulty of
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cruise ship operators in submitting
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appropriate response plans and secondly
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they have a whole nother section which
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is entitled examples of potential
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non-compliance with the extended no sail
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order as you can see from those two
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sectors they have a lot of reservations
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about the ability of cruise lines to
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actually be a partner in this whole
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process so they talked about how cruise
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lines didn't really respond particularly
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well around the whole area of crew
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repatriation and the rules that they
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required to be put in place and then
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they had lots of evidence that they were
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not being complied to they spoke about
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how the plans that were submitted were
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incomplete that keep going through
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reworks to get them into a good
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situation they also point out that they
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have a system of green amber and red
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system and there is only one cruise line
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so far that they have signed off as
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following all the protocols that they're
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happy with and that's actually not one
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of the main cruise lines that's the
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actual Bahama paradise line which is a
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relatively small line that many people
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probably won't even heard of they then
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also talked a lot about how even through
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the crew process they had lots of
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evidence of non-compliance a lot of that
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was picked up either on social media
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with stuff that was being posted or
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through some sort of whistleblowing I
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people from ships sending it in and they
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specifically talked about their concerns
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around even though the rules were around
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social distancing they had lost evidence
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that this wasn't being enforced on board
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there's lots of pictures of crew parting
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gyms being open sans been open communal
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dining self-service and also one of the
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things that wasn't allowed is
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movement of crew between ships and
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reports that they believed that ships
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are heading out of an out of US waters
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and doing what they called unapproved or
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illegal kind of crew transfers so lots
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of concerns that they have around the
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way that cruise lines develop plans
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submitted plans and comply to them now
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I'm pretty sure the cruise lines would
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challenge that however we're talking
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about what the CDC things here so
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clearly they have reservations when it
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comes to them dealing with crew and this
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of course means that they have concerns
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when it comes to thinking about what
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they going to do when it comes to
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passengers so certainly a lot of kind of
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reservations and in some ways potential
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mistrust of the cruise lines and that
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again seems like a big hurdle to be able
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to come before they're going to be happy
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to sign of things moving ahead the fifth
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point was something that actually
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surprised me because I had certainly
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believed what I had seen and read about
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was a clear and the cruise lines were
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kind of quite a united front in their
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discussions with the CDC however this
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doesn't appear to be the case
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the CDC's perspective and they do talk
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about two things they talk about a need
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for a really coordinated response from
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the industry and also much more detailed
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and thorough plans to address their
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concerns which are slide given to what
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they believe Cruise Lines are currently
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communicating sending out to consumers
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so let's explore that a little bit more
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they have a section which again its
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title is probably pretty telling in
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itself and this particular section the
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report is called lack of consensus among
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cruise ship operators and need for
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additional industry led efforts
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regarding safely resuming passenger
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operations so that's quite a long
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mouthful but what they really talk about
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in here is very interesting first of all
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they talk about they want an
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industry-led and coordinated response
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they actually specifically call out the
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joint alliance between Royal Caribbean
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group and Norwegian Cruise Line group
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which have formed the healthy sailing
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panel which has some pretty big leading
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Xcover meant officials in their ex
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members of the CDC the FDA and lots of
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different health authorities they talked
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about it's great that this has been
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formed however they very pointedly talk
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and in fact they have it in italics the
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fact that this group is only going to be
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reporting back within the coming months
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ie the sense that they are making other
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thing a little bit of an odd chore or
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pointing out the fact that the industry
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still hasn't developed a consensus
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around what the right protocol is going
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to be and secondly they then also in a
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very pointed way talk about how cruise
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lines appear to be issuing stuff through
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online and in print marketing materials
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which cover a whole range of different
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things they're doing but they're sort of
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making the point that this feels more
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like a PR exercise than big substantive
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plans which they've had input and
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discussed so they do obviously allude to
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some of the things that they've seen
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cruise lines talking about like reduce
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capacity different protocols cleansing
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protocols onboard that kind of stuff but
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they do actually make the point and they
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specifically say in the document that
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there it would be of benefit to have
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further industry led engagement so
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clearly there's still a sense that they
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are they're missing something big and
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call it from the cruise lines themselves
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what they talk about in this document
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though is a bunch of things which they
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have a high degree of concern
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about which are perhaps not the sort of
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things that we have seen so far coming
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out from cruise lines alam short guru's
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lines are addressing them but they talk
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about the sort of things they want to
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see in plans are things around they want
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to know about testing testing capability
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either on board or the ability to do it
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very fast to turn around and actually
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much more extensive testing for example
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particularly amongst crew they talk
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about medical facilities making sure
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that cruise ships are able to isolate
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and manage any issues on board in terms
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of quarantine or dealing with passengers
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on board the ship not having to rely on
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land based or Shore based activities
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then they also talk about if there is an
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outbreak on port they want to see a plan
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which minimizes or completely eliminates
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the need for onshore ie us resources
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they talk about perhaps deploying a ship
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to handle quarantine cases a ship which
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perhaps acts as a hospital ship and
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perhaps even another ship which handles
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care if for once people have gone over
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the virus so they are looking for a plan
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which minimizes the use of onshore and
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resources they do also ask if there is
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an onshore element how this is going to
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be done in a way that again minimizes
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the impact on local land-based US
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resources the next area that they talk
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about is they also clearly state that
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they do not see themselves as an outlier
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they do talk about many other countries
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around the world have a similar approach
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and belief on cruising so though we have
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seen some ocean cruising starting up for
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local people in like Germans can go
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cruising around Germany French can go
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cruising around France and Norwegians
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Scandinavians can go cruising around
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Norway they do talk and argue that most
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countries around the world or so in many
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countries around the world have a
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similar approach and belief around
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stopping cruising really rolling out
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suddenly across countries they draw
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attention to Canada closing its ports
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Australia closing in sports Spain
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closing and support many countries in
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the Caribbean or islands in the
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Caribbean not welcoming cruise ships and
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closing to cruise ships so basically
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refer to a lots of countries around the
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world having a very strict no sell
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approach to cruising the CDC is really
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fundamental in deciding if cruising can
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start in the US so what
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wanted to do is explore why the CDC is
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so against cruising but pretty much they
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see cruising and cruise ships as a
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high-risk environment getting people on
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off cruise ships increases that degree
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of risk when it's not in control and
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land and also they're not comfortable
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that there are plans in place and that
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the Lions would comply with all the
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plans even when they're in place so
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quite a long way to go it feels to me
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before cruising can get going but I
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really want to understand why is it that
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from a cruise lovers perspective
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cruising seems an increasingly safe
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place to travel but the authorities who
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make the decision don't hope you found
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that interesting and helpful I'd love to
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know what you think about this whole