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Air Jordan 3 Knicks | How Many Pairs Made & Should You Cop To Flip?
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Feb 20, 2025
Buy it now via https://bit.ly/2keT2eQ The Air Jordan 3 Knicks will officially release on September the 14th and I initially I thought that the shoe was going be limited. A quick glimpse on third party marketplaces was enough to show that retailers might be in for another rough week end. I'll show you my findings further down; one thing we can all be clear about is the fact that the sneaker will be easy to get. I took a look at several retailers's release calendar and nearly all major and minor chains will carry the shoes upon release date. Since Footlocker & its derivatives ( Footaction and Champs) provide the most information to work with, I'll continue to lean on their data to come up with my estimates. Subscribe to Housakicks: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCZPK... Visit Housakicks: https://www.housakicks.com
View Video Transcript
0:00
good morning guys this is time for my
0:01
psychics calm I have some time this
0:04
morning to squeezing this projection
0:06
post on our on YouTube for you guys
0:08
again I've change my screen share option
0:13
from Google hangout to screencast
0:15
because Google hangout was taken out so
0:17
I'm still trying to get used to this new
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launch software I'm using now so last
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week we saw the release of the Jordan 4
0:24
fever and I knew that she was gonna flop
0:27
as far as like resale and stuff like
0:28
that so I didn't care that I really do
0:30
much about it so I wrote some some stuff
0:32
on e on my website but I didn't really
0:35
like publish it because I just felt like
0:37
people weren't really that interested
0:38
but it makes threes maybe so I wrote the
0:42
article yesterday and I wanted to share
0:44
with you today now before I do that I
0:46
always want to show you pictures and
0:47
right off the bat like I want a nike
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confine into pictures of Nike which is
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absurd so I want to enhance the heat any
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else some of the best pictures that I've
0:55
seen online so this shoe looks just like
0:58
the true-blue 3 is with the orange
0:59
highlights again that's a reason why
1:01
people are calling it the Knicks because
1:03
that's the Knicks colorway blue and and
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orange a red so this is the shoe in and
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I in the 90s are the Knicks and it moves
1:10
with rivals so I guess the whole thing
1:13
goes with it
1:13
now the morning shows not for me to talk
1:16
too much about the actual inspiration
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behind it but to make a projection so
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I'll show you the shoe real quick this
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is the on the side on the other side the
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jump man is orange do you have the same
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imprint on the tip of the toe box cement
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print on the I stay and cement print on
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the overlay near the hill and orange
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highlight on the midsole and some of the
1:36
lists list holes and this is pretty much
1:39
it good looking shoe is gonna be 190 and
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it's coming out on Saturday and the sock
1:44
liner has blue and orange again
1:46
highlighting the NYX colorways and they
1:47
are uniform and your typical outsole and
1:50
gain more orange and blue highlights on
1:53
it alright so now let's go into the
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article and we're gonna talk about it so
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basically the first thing that I do as
1:59
if you know what how I run with this
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projection is I always want to go first
2:04
on on third-party marketplaces to see
2:07
our issues performing and when I went on
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eBay and a couple other places
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I mean people aren't really buying that
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shoe so I
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get to down at some point but now we
2:15
want to focus on is he gonna be limited
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a little bit but it's not gonna be
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something that people are you you're not
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gonna have a hard time getting it so
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accessibility is gonna be easy
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and I want to show you what I found when
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I went on footlocker champs and then for
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action now most of the time when I want
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to do my projection
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I always just footlocker because they
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provide the best information and I lean
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on their data from the release map
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locator and that's what I use all the
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time so first thing we do is always want
2:45
to go on footlocker and this is a
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fraction footlocker you can see there
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that the shoe is spreading like gangrene
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that's like everybody's getting it a lot
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of people are getting it so I went in
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what I did was I hand counted every
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single star so I went from state to
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state and that's one thing that I want
3:02
to point out his launch on procedure his
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first come first serve
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which means this shoe is gonna be
3:07
available in massive numbers all right
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and foot action got this again it's
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massively produced from for action and
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James is about the same thing so I
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cannot count it like I it's a rigorous
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work so I went through every single
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state and I try to find as much
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information I could get so that's why ID
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yesterday it took me about three hours
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to get that done alright so when I did
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footlocker footlocker has about three
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hundred and thirty five stores that way
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allocated and then foot action has about
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one hundred and forty two out of the
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twenty and ten stores and then champs
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house of one hundred and forty one out
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of all 539 champs stores so champs is
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not so much the urban side of
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footlocker's family so you can see that
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they have the same amount that fraction
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is getting which is intriguing to me and
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then I wanted to put it on the pie chart
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to show you exactly what it looks like
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okay this is the pie chart so she's his
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chainsaw 141 production 142 for Locker
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335 so basically Foot Locker gets more
4:09
than half of what will for these guys
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are getting big in a lot all right
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and again Foot Locker girls like their
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grandfather or the father figure or the
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Godfather and everybody else depends on
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for longer now the first thing we want
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to do is this now we want to set up our
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assumption
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so again I'm also assuming a footlocker
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fraction and chance we'll get about
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one-third of the entire inventory and
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then they're online I look at our
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location we'll get about one fourth of
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the inventory the stores are getting and
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each pair will also get about one-fourth
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of the number of all the three online
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allocations all right so that means I'm
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gonna break it down once you look
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further down here so now that they are
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the difficult part is let's figure out
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how many shoes per store and I put at
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this point I said 18 because how so
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whose may get like 70 pairs but some
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select footlocker like in my region
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there's like to hustle hoops that I know
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of but there's another location that's
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getting it that's not a hustle hoop so
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they probably get about 18 Avery has
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maybe 70 so to be more fair I must
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settle at 18 to be more fair and we've
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got seed to find the numbers we just
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have to do some simple multiplication so
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for footlocker it's gonna be three
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hundred and thirty five times 18 for
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fractions gonna be 142 times 18 and for
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champs is gonna be 141 times 18 and
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those numbers are the number of stores
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are located and the 18 is the number of
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pairs for a store and then you get the
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total and the total gives me sick add it
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all together and I divided by four to
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get their online allocations and the
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online application would be 27 81 and
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then East Bay is gonna get about a
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quarter of that so I do 27 81 divided by
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4 you get 696 and then again and and to
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get the total number for footlocker and
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family I'm gonna take all these numbers
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I'm gonna add them all together 6030
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time last 2556 last 25 38 plus 27 81 and
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then plus 6 96 we get roughly 12,000 62
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and I took it down to 12 thousand pairs
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now that's just from Foot Locker and I'm
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thinking the grand total which is
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everything that Nike does for the United
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State would be 12,000 times 3 because we
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assumed that footlocker and then all
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these branches are gonna get about a
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third so everybody else included will be
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36,000 past and then to get the total
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from the entire worldwide there's gonna
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be 36 thousand times 2 because I'm
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assuming
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our North America is gonna get about
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half of all the inventory and everybody
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else is gonna get half which is every
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other country in the world
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all right so it's 72 thousand pairs now
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the next question is this should you cop
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to flip because a lot of people want to
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buy these sneakers they want to resell
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it and I'm not against that but you
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gotta be smart about your decision now
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the Obsidian one was a good one this one
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here you'll be surprised so usually I'm
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only only reliant like eBay and stark
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extras numbers so I went a little bit
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further I went to kick safai and I got a
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data from kicks afire from eBay and from
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stock X now even he only had like four
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sales yesterday and the sales were 239
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for size 12 to 40 for size 9 and 244
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size 10 in half and then 280 for a size
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10 and that was on August the 10th so
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based on these records the average value
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on TV is 250 and that can be deceiving
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because you're thinking wow this is a
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good average but it's not because that
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280 occurred on August the 10th which is
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a month and a half ago that's a long
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time times of you know times passed by
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and then the shoe is dropped in value so
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let's not do that so what I did was I
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just kicked that out because I bounced
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an outlier and I'll stick with to $39.99
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240 and 240 and we got an average about
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244 eBay now keeps the fire record you
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can verify if you want if you think I'm
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right making all these numbers you can
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go on eBay and look yourself this is the
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picture okay this is only a few sales
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three sales
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that's pretty poor and I did the same
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thing on kicks afire and I found three
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here another eight and another two and
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all together on kicks if I was on 13
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pairs
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all right so $265 for ten pairs and then
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255 for three pairs and the total came
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to 13 pairs sold in total so to find the
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average you take the 265 you multiply
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that by 10
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take the 255 multiply that by 3 add them
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all together and divide the entire thing
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by 13 and you get 260 2.69
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and start X's average also if yesterday
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was 210 but I wanted to show you
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something here the shoe is going
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down like a size 11 in half so for 195
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which is pretty amazing to think that if
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she was not even out and to force you to
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be available for less than retail that's
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pretty incredible
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all right now Stark X since yesterday
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they only sold 24 pairs kicks if I sold
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13 pairs and then eBay sold about four
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pairs and I put all these numbers in my
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table here this is histogram so stark
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exile says lowest average to under
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intend kicks if I as the highest average
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at 262 and ebay comes at 240 well eBay
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is numbers are deceiving because Sony
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three bears are so good so most people
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are not buying through even more because
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of all the bootlegs that they've been
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selling so a lot of people are trusting
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kicks if I and kicks if I happens to
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have like the highest average there
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because they are kind of tied up with
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kicks on fire so people are thinking
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they're buying from kicks on fiber they
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actually buy from individuals which is
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good
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now stock X is probably the primary
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destination for everybody they know it's
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going to be cheap they know they can set
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their own prices so they're paying two
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hundred ten dollars so if you ask me
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shooted by the flip I'll say don't do it
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because guess what the retail price of
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the shoes 190 that's before tax so if
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you live in Maryland you're gonna be
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paying about two hundred and one dollars
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if you sell on stock X that's not even
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the fee is taking this stiff he's not
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even taking nice $210 so you're gonna
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get a deficit so conclusion don't buy
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the flip do not do it you're gonna wish
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your money and I'm sure these shoes
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gonna go to the outlet in the next three
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or four months DTL are or in all these
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places are gonna cut this shoe and at
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some point what's gonna happen is it's
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gonna drop in value you're gonna be able
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to get it so I won't rush it but if you
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want it if you want it so bad you go
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ahead and I gives you a list of people
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here that are selling it you can buy
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from these people alright so I hope this
10:47
helps guys I mean thanks for watching
10:49
and if you have any question you want me
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to do one of these break down on any
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other sneaker please do send me a
10:54
message and do check my store because
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I've started this house of kicks online
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shop basically what I do is I go to a
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store when I see a shoe on the wall that
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I like I take pictures and I put it on
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my website you can buy it and I'm on
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10% to go pick it up and 10% for the
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fees he be on paper our fees and in
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shipping fees and in tax so I saw these
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a couple of days ago so he can go on the
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website and in the store and click there
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the star section and he's gonna show you
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all these shoes that I've seen and I
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took pictures of him alright thanks for
11:26
watching this is time for master kicks
11:28
and stay tuned
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