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Air Jordan 1 High Obsidian University Blue | How Many Pairs Made & Should You Cop To Flip?
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Feb 20, 2025
The highlight of the upcoming week end is going to be the Air Jordan 1 High Obsidian University Blue. I’m not sure why Nike decided to release the Jordan 10 Camo on the same day ( that’s a terrible idea since this style will be overshadowed by the Obsidian 1’s). My task this morning is to figure out the number of pairs that might have been produced. To do that, I first need to come up with the list of stockists that have been allocated an inventory, create some assumptions and then come up with our estimate. Subscribe to Housakicks: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCZPK... Visit Housakicks: https://www.housakicks.com
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0:00
oh come on guys this is tight for my
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sake calm and I got another show for you
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now I've switched my square recorder I
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used to use the Google hangout they took
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it off so now I'm like experimenting
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with like different software's I'm using
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the screencast
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screen recorder is called a screencast
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whatever whatever it's a good one I was
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trying last time and you worked for me
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so I'm doing it again now today's show
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is gonna focus on the Air Jordan 1
0:27
obsidian now it's coming out on Saturday
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August 8 31st and I'm sure a lot of guys
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wanna know how many pairs were made so
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that's what I'm doing the show this
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afternoon well excuse you I'm always
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trying to show you what the shoe looks
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like first and then we get into the
0:41
actual show so basically this is the
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sneaker here it comes again your
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colorway is like pretty simple obsidian
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universally blue white and everybody
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wants this like it's gonna be a
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crazy crazy one because a lot of people
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want the material is our full grain
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leather perforation on the toe box which
1:01
look on the side and wings logo this is
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pretty much the same built same
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silhouette it's just a colorway that's
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just dope and a lot of people want it
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now the question is this are you gonna
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be able to get it and I can't really
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answer that because a lot of stores are
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doing some shady stuff I went and asked
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a couple of questions and no one is
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really being like very very like clear
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about what they're doing like sometimes
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they tell you we're gonna start the
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raffle on Monday sometimes on Tuesday so
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I kind of like stopped trying to get the
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shoes and I'm not gonna try to get it
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and I thought walking is throw on
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Saturday and it happened to be on the
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wall I'll pick it up but I'm not gonna
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go out of my way to get it and I'm gonna
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try to get it online
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because it's gonna be impossible all the
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butts and all this like tree trickeries
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people are using in I just don't want to
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do that in the game you know I just want
1:50
to tell you this is how many are coming
1:51
out should you buy the flip and that's
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what I'm here so now let's get into the
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show so usually what I do is I read this
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stuff off
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I create my own PowerPoint an hour and I
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like build it from there but today I
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don't I didn't feel like doing that I'm
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just gonna read it off my website
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because it's just a lot of work and I
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don't have that much time on my hands so
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I'm just gonna go on my website and just
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really so the first thing is this like
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Nike
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decides to bring the show on a Saturday
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along side of Jordan pain camouflage and
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I think that's a bad idea because it
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taints people don't really like the
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taints like they like it but they don't
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really love it so I think that she's
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gonna sick and this should I never
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overlap blue freedom releases I think
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they should have waited and maybe bring
2:32
the tans maybe a couple of weeks later
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or something like that but bring it on
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the same day that's a bad idea
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retail is gonna suffer from that all
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right so now the first thing we want to
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do is we want to figure out um who's
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getting the shoe is we always have to
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look at all the confirmed our retailers
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major and minor now in the major
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retailers
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we have footlocker fraction chains
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finish line Hibbert JD sports and of
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course we have Nike because Nike is the
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one that's making the shoe so obviously
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they're gonna have to shoot and for the
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minor chains detail or shoe city kicks
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USA chic on Jimmy John's sitting here
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shoe polish airplanes and a couple other
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ones now a lot of stores haven't really
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given me information about what they're
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doing so I just stick to just footlocker
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I just want to because footlocker
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provides the best information out there
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I mean it's not the greatest but it's
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actually the best because you can work
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with it alright so the first thing I
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want to do is this let's look at it Maps
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and then let's build our assumptions and
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then with the assumption we're gonna try
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to figure out our projection alright so
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the first thing I did was I went and
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looked at focus map and I kind of
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counted on the number of stores about
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four five ninety five again don't quote
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me on that because to count these stores
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is a little bit hard so cuz look at the
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map it looks like spiders and it's kind
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of hard to count but I kinda like try to
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do as fast as I can
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it's five ninety five and then four
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champs I counted one eighty one and four
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fraction 182 now all these stores are
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operating on the lounge Reservation app
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which is better because they don't want
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to cause any trouble if they do
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first-come first-serve that's gonna be
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pandemonium people are gonna fight
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people some people might get shot people
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get crazy when it comes to their
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sneakers they lose their mind so I'm
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glad they are using the raffle system
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but again with that it's like random you
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don't know who's gonna win so basically
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if you really want to
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shoo you may want to have to pay
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third-party marketplaces crisis alright
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for less let's stick to the shorthand so
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footlocker fraction champs I'm assuming
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that they're gonna get about one-third
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of the entire US inventory because guess
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what Foot Locker has had a great
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relationship of Nike their long-term
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training so they're always gonna get
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first in today all is gonna be getting a
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preferential treatment now I'm also
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assuming a footlocker champion foot
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action online I gotta get about a
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quarter of the entire inventory the
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physical stores I get and now the
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hardest part is trying to figure out how
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many pairs per store now I want to be
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conservative so I've talked to twelve
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pairs fair location now I know that
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House of Hoops usually gets more but I
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don't want to start messing with those
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numbers because it's gonna screw up my
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estimate so I'm gonna stick to twelve
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pairs alright and then we're gonna
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compute the numbers so the computation
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is not that hard we just do some
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modifications simple ones 595 times 12
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plus 180 1 times 12 plus 1 into 2 times
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12 for each separate enemies so that's
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like 11,000 496 and then to get their
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online allocation I took that number
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divided by 4 I get 28 74 and to get the
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total for footlocker and family we were
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just gonna add it so it's 11 496 last 28
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74
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I got 14,000 370 and I took it up to
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15,000 to be safe now the u.s. inventory
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will be 15,000 times 3 because remember
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earlier I assumed that footlocker and
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James and finish line and fraction are
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gonna get about a third of the em into
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it so to get the u.s. inventory we just
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have to take that number and then
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multiply that by 3 we get 45,000 now we
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safe to say that the grand total we five
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forty-five thousand times two because
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that's ninety thousand pairs
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cuz I'm assuming that the rest of the
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world I'm thinking every other countries
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market put together is gonna get the
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same amount the United States is getting
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because let's face it
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USA is probably gonna get most of the
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shoes so I'm thinking let's let's let's
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be family and get half our US and half
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of the rest of the world so all together
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you put it together you get 90,000
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now the next question is this people
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always want to know should I buy this to
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flip it and for issue I didn't feel like
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I needed to do it because this I mean
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it's not rocket science you know
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everybody wants to shew you know it's
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good to cop and flip it but I do want to
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be pragmatic I want to show you what I
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got so I went in and collected my data
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on eBay and this is what I found most of
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the shoes sold between 390 and 440 I
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have about 13 pairs sold within our
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price range and then I have a lot more
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soil between two nine years and three
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forty that's eight pairs and they have a
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couple of outliers so two between 240
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and 289 has three pairs and between 540
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and up one pair now most of the sizes
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that were selling greatly at the highest
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prices were between eight and nine and a
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half and I know why because there's a
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certain segment of the world population
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that wants those sizes so the average
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price was 402 dollars that's a hundred
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and thirty-seven percent markup that's
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incredible and even in size fourteen
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sold for like 240 now you know what that
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means people want this shoe and any size
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is good at this point I don't think you
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gonna make like any kind of a homerun on
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the bigger sizes but you gonna make some
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money on it
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alright and then I want to stock X and I
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found out almost 1100 pairs were sold
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and the mark-up was 118 and the average
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sale price was 449 from 450 that's
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incredible but the most important thing
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that I saw was crazy now stock X average
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was actually higher than eby's and more
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parents hold on stock X and they sold on
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eBay and the ratio is crazy like 436 per
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sold on eBay 8090 to were sold on stock
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X that means everyone is shopping on
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stock X now when it comes down to this
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kind of sneakers like height beast type
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of sneakers and that means and our what
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about it I said stock X has created
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probably the best marketplace because
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there are technical sneakers and people
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don't want to chance it on eBay because
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you might end up with a pair of fix on
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stock X
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you may not get a fake one but they've
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created probably the best market place
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ever and I actually talked about it a
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few few years ago I said stalker who's
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some very most third-party marketplaces
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and I wrote about you can read the
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article by just clicking this by going
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on my website now the question is where
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can you get the shoe I'll give you
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plenty of links there you can get it on
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eBay on those links just go on my
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website all right but the last thing I
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want to say is this I've added a lot of
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shoes on my store and yesterday I was in
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my local mall and there's a place there
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called out of stock Dave they've added
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some more like shoes on their wall so I
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took a couple of pictures there but now
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what I'm doing is this for those who
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don't know you can buy the shoes that I
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see when I'm walking a store at the
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store price so if I see the shoes for
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like 49 you can get for 49 just pay me
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the 20% fee for me going there to pick
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it up for you and the 20% includes 10%
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that's for me driving over there and the
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rest of the 10% I've split into six
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percent for the tax the state tax and
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then the four percent for paypal fees so
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basically I'm giving you a still I'm
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giving you like basically opportunity to
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see what I see when I go into a store
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and I do this like on a regular basis so
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take advantage of it and then and then
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use the service just call my website
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when click on the shop section and you
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can take you where you can see what I
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have I've added tons of sneakers on
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alright thanks for watching this is ty
10:21
from Arthur kicks and stay tuned for
10:22
more stuff
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