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what really happened with the covet
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outbreaks on the first to resume
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cruises was it just that the cruise
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to chase money versus concerns around
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was it that the protocols had some fatal
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or was it some clumsy mistakes around
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implementing the protocols and what does
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now and looking to the months ahead
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first of all let's take a look at what
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has actually happened as cruisers
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have started up around the world there's
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key outbreaks the first of those and the
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of all of those is on hurtigridden's
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the ms ronald amundsen this cruise ship
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has had an outbreak so far of 36
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crew members 33 filipinos one german
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one french and one norwegian so far
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five of the passengers have tested
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still testing is happening and that
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number is expected to grow
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the second big outbreak with a lot of
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publicity has happened on panant-owned
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gargan ship where an american passenger
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woman was identified as positive on the
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all the rest of the crew and passengers
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thirdly we've seen as cruise lines have
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man their ships a number of positive
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arising so for example 10 crew members
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to aida in germany were found and tested
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for covert 19 and most recently in the
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costa cruisers also talking about five
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of their crew members being
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tested as positive however there's been
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no reports of incidents on some other
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cruises that have started up so for
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with their norwegian coastal cruises
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which head up and down calling it 34
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ports along the coast
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they have had no issues at all pennant
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which sails out of france has had no
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we've also seen out of taiwan dream
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cruises which are selling ships of
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around 900 passengers
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have had no issues and mine shift which
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these cruises to nowhere out of germany
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no reported incidents so what actually
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let's start by first of all taking a
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look at the biggest of these which is
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ronald abbinson the ronald amundsen is
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one of hutu griffin's expedition ships
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it holds 530 passengers it set sail on a
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series of cruises for norwegian
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heading up to svalbard which is right up
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the first cruise went on july the 17th
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and the second cruise the one which was
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on the 24th of july from tromso and it
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178 guests on board there was a number
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by huda gruten that led to the situation
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where 36 crew testing positive
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and as i said at the moment five
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went wrong what were the errors that
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happened well first of all the
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key error that they seem to have made is
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the staff when crew came back to join
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the ship they had to have a covert
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nineteen test before they left their
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under the norway regulations once they
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joined they had to go into quarantine
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before having another test
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huttergluten approach to quarantining
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as the health authorities had understood
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were quarantined on the ship but they
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were still fulfilling their normal
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who digriten took quarantine to me not
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heading out onto land
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so the crew weren't actually locked away
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this is very different to what happened
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and aida with their crew what they did
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same thing the crew had a test before
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they left their home country they then
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went into a very strict quarantine on
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where they were basically combined to
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their cabin before having the second
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test it was the second test
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that threw up the issues utigurten had a
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different approach to quarantining which
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was not really it appears within
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the rules and regulations the second key
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mistake they appeared to have
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made which may have contributed to what
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happened is one of the guests on that
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cruise to svalbard when they went home
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actually tested positive for covet 19.
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however what happened next is the
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subject of some confusion
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because it was never announced that he
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had actually been on the cruise because
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according to norwegian press reports had
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argued there was no proof that he'd
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caught it on the ship
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so certainly in terms of notifying
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people notifying passengers on the next
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cruise that someone had tested positive
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this doesn't appear to have been
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followed through of course we don't know
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this particular passenger was the cause
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of what happened next
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the third key mistake they made which
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seems quite a significant one
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is during the course of that second
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of the crew members fell ill not showing
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covert 19 symptoms but certainly ill
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enough that they were quarantined
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however the norwegian authorities don't
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seem to have been alerted
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the passengers weren't alerted the
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passengers weren't quarantined
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once they got back to tromso the
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passengers were allowed to disembark and
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head off home those four crew members
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were taken to the hospital
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tested as i guess the standard practice
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now for cover 19 or four tested positive
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all 158 crew were tested and 36 of them
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were found to be positive
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none of those 36 including the original
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of the classic signs of clover 19 as we
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know happens quite a lot they were kind
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they were asymptomatic and not showing
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by now the passengers had headed back to
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their homes in norway there was still a
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group of those that were still in trump
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so they were then quarantined in a hotel
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testing had started at the time of
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recording only 24 of those have been
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tested and five of those have been found
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what the norwegian authorities are
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saying is they believe that of course as
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they track and trace the rest of the
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passengers they will have more positive
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cases so certainly as you can see a
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number of key mistakes certainly around
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notifying people but also very
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importantly is when they had
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crew members falling ill the there
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wasn't a lockdown on the ship there was
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that it could be curved 19 and people
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still carried on their crews carrying on
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the activities and were allowed to
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some of the key issues related to the
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things that should be noted one of which
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joining the hotend cruisers did not have
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to have any form of copyrighting tests
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or during and it doesn't appear to be
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any testing facilities on board the ship
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so kruger tested for passengers weren't
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and secondly one of the notable
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in the huda grueton protocols although
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they do have things like social
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no self-service dining and limits on the
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venues at any point in time uh you know
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they don't have masks as part of their
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protocol unlike say costa cruisers
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or crystal and some of the other cruise
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lines as they look to start up where
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mark wearing is a bigger part of the
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protocols this wasn't
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and doesn't seem to be the case on her
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degree so definitely as we look at huda
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grit and there does seem to be a number
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to the way that protocols were
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implemented which has now been admitted
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and confirmed by the ceo of hotogriton
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and certainly that does seem to be a
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fundamental part of the breakdown
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is how the protocols were actually
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implemented so let's take a look what
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again because this is a slightly
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different situation where the protocols
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do seem to have been clicked into place
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and have worked in this particular
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unlike hutu groton if you go on a paul
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testing for passengers as well as crew
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is part of the process so before you fly
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into french polynesia
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you have to show proof of a negative
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test within the past 72 hours
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once you enter the country you do have
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to have a second test as part of the
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so actually on board paul gargan because
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passengers have been there for
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less than five days they had some of the
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passengers being tested on board
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this is where the passenger was
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identified a 22 year old american
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once she was tested positive immediately
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the ship went into lockdown
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so all the passengers had to go to their
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and everyone was isolated the ship
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immediately turned around
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unlike her to go too much carried on
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with the cruise the ship immediately
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and headed back to papetti once it got
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the infected passenger was removed
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sent to the hospital tested everyone was
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isolated everybody on board the ship was
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tested crew and passengers
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everyone tested negative however the
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passengers are now they're slowly being
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held in some sort of quarantine for five
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days and test it again so here you can
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see there was quite a strict sense of
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and very fast reaction and notification
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involvement of the authorities
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so although there's been lots of press
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about the poor gergan incident there was
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one passenger who tested negative
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when leaving the usa but as testing
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asymptomatic as i've already mentioned
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what we've seen with the other cruise
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lines that have been testing crew
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that whole process of pre-testing before
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they leave the country
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holding them quarantined into that
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critical five days also and doing a
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second test has picked up those issues
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so what is the effect of these outbreaks
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two return to cruising cruises there are
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really big things that are happening and
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as we look at cruising first of all the
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resumption of cruising
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is going to slow down significantly the
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brakes going to be put on and it is
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going to be extended we're already
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seeing that so for example in norway
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they have an immediate ban for initially
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a couple of weeks on all cruise ships
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of over 100 passengers in their waters
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secondly what we've seen is
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italy which is where aida ships are
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actually flagged have refused
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aida the permission to start sailing
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even though they were planning to sell
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are quoting sort of public health
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concerns so they haven't let
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are you to start cruising unlike say
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mine shift or hypergloid
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which aren't flagged in italy and have
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been allowed to start sailing in germany
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so we've certainly seen some immediate
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and i think we'll see more and more of
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those cancellations one of the areas to
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just in the last week or so that this
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all happened had given permission for
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cruises to start in greece and we'll be
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interested to see whether they
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shift and change that advice that's
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definitely one to watch
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secondly we undoubtedly will see a
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review of the protocols on
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in terms of what worked and what didn't
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work and particularly when we see what
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paul gargan and didn't work for her to
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britain all the cruise lines at the
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moment have focused very much their
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things that are likely to catch people
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with symptoms or to stop
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the spread of symptoms so they have
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things like temperature checking
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lots of focus on sanitization social
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controlling the number of people in
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cruises nowhere or limited ports but
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what they haven't really built in is two
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fundamental things first of all
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how do they deal and capture
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asymptomatic passengers as you've seen
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they have a process of testing with the
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before you arrive after a number of days
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which of course doesn't happen for
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cruises like the hotend or the mayan
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so i think the whole asymptomatic
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passenger protocol will be reviewed
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and of course again i think the issue of
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masks as we've seen on land the use of
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more and more part of the daily protocol
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and certainly cruise lines are starting
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the mask usage much more so i think
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we'll see much more around
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those two topics the third area that i
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think we'll see a huge amount of focus
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is the what went wrong with the
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hurtigratin issue which is
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the implementation of protocols when
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there is an outbreak as we saw although
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for the poor gargan cruz passages who
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isolated and had their crews cut short
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was caught positive but there was a very
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tight and very strict protocol which was
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followed and put in place to minimize
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and reduce the impact so i think we're
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going to see an enormous amount of
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actual protocols with an outbreak and
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certainly if you look at the cdc
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documentation and you look at their
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consultation paper that they have out
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there there is an enormous amount of
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emphasis they put on
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what happens if there is an outbreak and
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the strain on the public health system
11:55
and certainly one of the criticisms that
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health authorities have had is because
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of the way that huda gurudev managed it
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where they let passengers
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head back out right across norway
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they've created an enormous problem in
12:06
terms of track and trace
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that's what actually happened with these
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outbreaks there's been a lot of hype a
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lot of myths a lot of misinformation out
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but as we can see there is a combination
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needing to be tightened up some of the
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protocols perhaps not capturing
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every issue secondly we've seen that
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the way that you implement and follow
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protocols is really really fundamental
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to this whole process and that didn't
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happen in every single case
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and of course the third big question
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overall which i think is fundamental to
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the extension of cruising
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is as we've seen on land the virus is
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still pretty rampant it can flare up
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we're seeing local lockdowns all around
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the world concerns about a second wave
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and actually the challenges of actually
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heading off on any kind of travel
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with the virus and its current state
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looks very challenging which is why
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i do think this even these early cruises
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have shown it's probably going to be
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a time that the cruise lines and
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authorities are going to have to extend
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cruising much more what do you think
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learnings from this startup of cruising
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leave your thoughts and comments love to