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Air Jordan 5 Alternate Bel Air Ghost Green Resale Value & How Many Pairs Possibly Made?
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Feb 20, 2025
Buy the Alternate Bel Air, see link below https://bit.ly/2FfNhaH Take Survey, see link below https://www.link.foresite.io/housakicks/?utm_campaign=housakicks The Air Jordan 5 Alternate Bel-Air is the much-awaited follow up of Jordan Brand’s OG AJ 5 “Bel-Air” back from 2013 that was inspired by the 1990’s popular show “The Fresh Prince of Bel-Air” starring Will Smith, who wore the Air Jordan 5’s during various episodes. While the 90’s style popular detailing and vibrant colors are still there, the Alternate Bel-Air 5 features a white leather upper marked with a neon color that goes hand in hand with the purple midsoles, taking the shoes to a whole new level. Black detailing on the eyelets, laces, and tongue provide a sense of calm and contrast, making it a shoe for every occasion. I didn’t plan on writing a projection post on the shoe but given its “classic” status, I decided to do so.
View Video Transcript
0:00
hey what's going on guys uh this is
0:02
tybahasakis.com
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and this morning we're going to talk
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about the numbers of the jordan 5
0:07
alternate bella made and we're going to
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talk resale value
0:10
but before we get into it i'm going to
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show you the shoe real quick i'm sure
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you've seen it on plenty of
0:15
sneaker blogs or youtubers so i don't
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want to waste too much time in there and
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i don't even have the shoes on hand so
0:20
i'm not doing a review
0:22
now nike choose chose to call the shoes
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the ghost green jordan 5 and it's going
0:27
to retail for 190. it comes out tomorrow
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saturday
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and this is basically an offspring of
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the 2013
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jordan 5 ballet features beside the
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color are the same like
0:39
uh this one is white the other one was
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gray
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and the other one i i feel like has
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better leather and he was more original
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now when he first came out people were
0:48
actually killing the shoe they talked
0:50
about like when they saw them blocks
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they talked about how it was trash
0:53
but then it dropped and the price went
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ballistic or people wanted it
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and i remember picking up two pairs for
1:00
action i went
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to the mall that day i didn't plan on
1:02
grabbing any shoes and they had that
1:04
they received that shipment late so i
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ended up picking up two pairs
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i wanted to get more but the manager
1:09
wouldn't let me do it so
1:11
i was fortunate enough to get that now
1:13
everything else on the shoe is the same
1:15
like the features
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like the highlights everything else is
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the same the only difference is
1:19
this one is white and nike knows how to
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sell a product
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they know that people are gonna flock to
1:25
this because it reminds them of their
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their original um bellair five so i
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think they're gonna sell out
1:31
don't think they're gonna sit and nike
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also is bringing out these shoes in in
1:35
kids sizes and i feel like kid sizes are
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actually gonna jump off better than the
1:39
main sizes as well
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so be on the lookout for kids are gonna
1:43
be going crazy
1:45
all right so let's let's look at the toe
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box here i
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i think the letter uses some kind of uh
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inferior leather in comparison to the
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first one i don't have the shoes on hand
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so i'm not gonna say much about it
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but this is it you know and now let's
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talk about numbers
2:00
now um let me go on my website for that
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matter
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now the first thing that i did was again
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as usual
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who's getting the shoe and foot locker
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for action champs
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uh finish line jd sport hiber those are
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the major chains
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and the smaller chains like downtown
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locker room jimmy jazz
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snipes which was formerly called um
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geeks usa
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shoe city shakes you palace and
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ambulance
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and then you have a gang of boutiques
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that are getting it so
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the hardest part about this job is
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setting up the assumptions so what i did
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this time is this like i'm assuming that
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every footlocker is going to get it
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because i walked into a lot of stores
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and you know i pretty much everybody's
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getting it they're going to probably
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operate on the
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uh app and use the raffle method but
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everybody's going to get it
2:46
so a thousand foot locker store 272 foot
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action and 547
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james store so i gave nike about a fifth
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of the production foot locker is gonna
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get two faith foot locker champs and
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and and east bay and all that they're
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gonna get two faith
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finish line jd sport and hybrid will
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receive uh one fifth and all the minor
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retailers and in smaller chains and
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boutiques are going to split
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the remaining one-fifth so i gave like
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24 players per footlocker which i know
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they're going to get more
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because there are some locations like
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hustler hoops are going gonna get maybe
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70
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but to be conservative i'm just going to
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keep it at 24.
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and then for full action i give 18 and
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champs 18
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and then for the online allocation you
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give them one third
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and for the east bay i give one third of
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the total allocation the onlines are
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getting
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and then from there we can just
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calculate our numbers
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and simple arithmetic just do 24 times a
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thousand which is 24 000 pairs
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and for fraction 272 times 18 i come
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i come up with this number here and i'm
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going to go i'm not going to go through
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each one of them but
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you you understand what is going on and
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the extras is for the online allocation
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it's going to be 12914 which is based on
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the assumptions and then for each pair
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you divide this number by three
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i come up with 4305 and then
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now for foot locker and and family i
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came up with 55
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961 pairs now since this number stands
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for like two feet for the entire
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production
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to find the grand total for the usa you
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just
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times this by two and then divided by
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two to get the
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one-fifth and then you come up with a
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hundred and thirty thousand
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nine 902 pairs so i stretched this
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number to 150 000 because i'm sure i
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made a lot of
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errors you know because of my assumption
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so i i'll stretch it up to 150 000 pairs
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now you can double or triple that number
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if you taking a
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take into consideration on the rest of
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the world
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so you can say that the production will
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be anywhere between 300 000 pairs and
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450 000 pairs this is what i'm thinking
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and i want to make sure i put my
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disclaimer out there
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i don't work for the brains nobody gives
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me information
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everything is based on the assumptions
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so do not quote me on any of this
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this is just to help you to give you a
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feasible picture
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of what may take place so that if you're
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trying to
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buy the shoe you know what what what to
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expect okay
5:15
now let's talk resale value now when i
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did the resale i went and gathered my
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data
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uh basically between wednesday and today
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and the shoe was first like 288 went
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down to 271 and picked back up at 274.
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so what i'll say to you is this like
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it's not going to lose
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lose its value i i usually say like
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general releases
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they may lose like 10 or 15 percent of
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their value by the time it releases but
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this is gonna hold its value i'm
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thinking it's gonna stay
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in the high 200 so probably 270
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and up so don't you think this shoe is
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going to drop it may drop for like 10
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hours
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but it's going to stay in it in a high
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200.
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so the shoe is like 200 right or
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190 before tax so after tax is like
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201.40 so
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guys are looking at margins between 45
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and 60 dollars
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if as far as like profit is concerned
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and your markup is anywhere between 20
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and 27
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or 22 and 27 and then i also did a
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breakdown of the
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on the resale value by size what size to
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get
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obviously if you look here on my uh my
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chart
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like ten and a half fifteen fourteen
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seven and twelve and a half
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yield on to the highest revenues
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anywhere between 287 all the way up to
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three hundred and twenty dollars
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every other size like 11 is also 270
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13 and 11 and a half like 277 almost
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280.
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so the smaller sizes like the meat sizes
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and stuff like that they want to stay in
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in the upper in the 270s so the shoe is
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gonna like i say it's gonna stay in
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a high 200 and so may go up to 300 based
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on the size like 14 is the size that's
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hard to get
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12 and a half is this hard size to get
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so obviously those are going to go for
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more money
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right but as far as i'm concerned this
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shoe is going to sell out don't you try
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to wait on it
7:01
all right so this is it for today now i
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will invite you if you want to buy the
7:04
shoes now you don't want to go through
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the hassle
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i have a list of sellers for you
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legitimate sellers where you can buy
7:10
from on ebay
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i have all the lists here so go ahead
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and do that you can click i'll give you
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the link
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in the description and i'll also invite
7:18
you to
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um take the survey here and move let me
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take this down take this survey here
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basically these guys have designed a
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survey that i work with these guys
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and you kind of guess what kind of shoes
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is fitted for your personality so i
7:33
would invite you to take it i'll give
7:34
you the link in the description so
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be sure to check that out and also uh i
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have a small announcement um
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from now on i'm gonna be receiving shoes
7:45
uh to do the comparison between the
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authentic and the fake one so i'm gonna
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receive both the authentic and the fake
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one
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so now i'm gonna have a better format
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for you because a lot of people talk
7:54
about how
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i can't really base my stuff on pictures
7:56
that i see so i'm gonna have a better
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uh format for you so be on the lookout
8:00
for that all right again thanks for
8:02
watching
8:03
this is ty from assa kickstand stay
8:04
tuned for more stuff
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