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This week is loaded with all types of sneaker releases from several brands but as usual Nike always takes center stage. Between February the 14th and the 15th alone, we are being treated to the Black Infrared 6, the Obsidian 1’s ( ladies only), the Turbo Green 1 just to name a few. My job this morning is to come up with a believable estimate of the number of pairs of the Turbo Green Aj1 that could’ve been made. I could’ve just stuck with using my linear regression equation but I decided to go the harder route- the number of retailers, the assumptions and then the computation. Beside Nike, all the major and minor retailers will also carry the Turbo Green 1’s ( that is good news)
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0:00
hey what's up [ __ ] divert from has
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the cakes here and this is actually I
0:05
did not plainly show so if I look a
0:08
little froggy here that's not because I
0:11
just wasn't preparing you know I was
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doing some cooking here and I just
0:13
wanted to jump my computer and then do
0:16
this for you guys because I know that
0:17
she was coming out in a couple of days
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and a lot of people want to know how
0:21
many pairs but I made so that's why I'm
0:22
doing this
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let me share my screen and I'm gonna
0:24
tell you exactly what I'm talking about
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so the shooters coming out it's the
0:30
purple green Air Jordan 1 and this is
0:35
one of those are all start sneakers
0:37
now this next this week is gonna be
0:39
crazy man you got an infrared coming out
0:42
you got these turbo green coming out you
0:45
got those obsidian with patent leather
0:47
coming out you got a whole bunch of
0:49
stuff like the KD and pearl and all kind
0:52
of stuff now these right here was
0:55
inspired by the 90s and of course the
0:58
child Hornet you know that's the first
1:00
time this this city is hosting the
1:01
all-star game so that's a lot of Nos
1:04
Taylor does going into it and this shoe
1:06
make confidence the leather on it is
1:08
crazy man it looks like they made it
1:11
look old which is great I like the
1:12
concept behind it you know I'm I
1:14
actually entered one of those arm
1:17
drawling to get one of these man I
1:19
actually like these man this still look
1:21
really good like you know see if you
1:23
look at her the upper here looks like
1:25
it's it's getting dirty she let me look
1:27
like something 80s so it's a nice
1:29
looking shoe the leather is crazy on a
1:31
nice leather you know where that's not
1:33
work we're here to talk about I just
1:35
want to talk about our motto pairs made
1:38
because I don't know a lot of people are
1:39
not trying to see if they can get their
1:40
hands on it so that's why I'm here today
1:42
alright so I wrote an article yesterday
1:45
and I never got a chance to do yesterday
1:46
so I wanted to do it right now so
1:49
basically like all the major retailers I
1:52
can beside Nike of course like full
1:55
other champs
1:56
finish line for action Jimmy John's does
1:59
the minor kicks USA
2:01
on shoe City roof here as getting their
2:04
City gears getting there a whole bunch
2:05
of places are getting it so you're gonna
2:07
be you gonna be able to get your hands
2:09
on if you really want to shoot but what
2:11
we trying to do today what
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dudes I'm trying to get you to see how
2:15
many possible pair Nike made all right
2:17
so I would just leave I could just I
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could have used my my linear regression
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line that I created but I don't want to
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do that I'm gonna go to hardware and
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just make some assumption that I do and
2:29
then I'm gonna stick to it so we all
2:32
know that footlocker's get me my
2:34
fraction chance and East Bay and we're
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gonna assume that all these this is part
2:39
of footlocker families get about
2:40
one-third of the entire inventory and
2:43
then there are online locations we get
2:45
about one-third about one third of the
2:48
inventory getting and now the hardest
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part is obviously trying to figure out
2:53
how many physical how many shoes each
2:55
physical scores don't get physical store
2:58
buy for a lot of talent for footlocker
3:00
like some like it might in my region for
3:02
example there's a place I get about a
3:04
hundred pairs and another place is gonna
3:06
get like 12 so to kind of like make it
3:09
easy I just stick with 12 pairs
3:12
especially when the shoes like limited
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now for this one I just talked to like
3:15
12 pairs then I'm gonna run my numbers
3:18
bid on it now to run the numbers we
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first didn't see let me show you the map
3:21
real quick
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this footlocker is mad all right a lot
3:25
of House of Hoops are getting it that's
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Foot Locker now let's look at our
3:28
fraction that's changed that's changed
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right here so you just type in your city
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your zip code and you can see how many
3:38
locations are getting it you can get a
3:41
head start on if you have the app just
3:42
go and get your app out and then put it
3:45
on your number and trying to seem to get
3:46
a head start
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I gotta tell you your head start but I
3:48
might get mine I don't know now this is
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fraction and then I'm also gonna show
3:53
you
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East Bay East Bay's also getting in a
3:55
line so you got a lot of options that's
3:57
just a big major retailers now I told
4:00
you a roofing and all these other place
4:01
I get it so not to run our numbers I
4:03
know like approximately there are about
4:08
like 335 for local stores and then like
4:12
this are ass hoops and then some like
4:14
select locations and then 270 for
4:16
actions and then 133 change so when you
4:21
take that number all you got you just
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multiply about it
4:25
which is 12 and I got 4020 from
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footlocker physical stores for action I
4:30
got 32 40 and then changed about 1596
4:33
you total up all those together and
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divide it by 3 to get the online stock
4:39
or even Tori which is 29 52 and then you
4:42
add all these together to get the number
4:44
from footlocker that's about 12 thousand
4:47
pairs and then to get a grand total you
4:49
just do 12 thousand times 3 which is 36
4:51
thousand now the next my next step was
4:54
trying to figure out should you buy the
4:56
flip because everybody wanna flip
4:58
sniggers these days everybody want to
5:00
sell it and out on blame you wanna make
5:02
money on it more power to you but should
5:05
you do it is the question now to do it I
5:07
went on eBay and I got my little data
5:11
and I put it in the table to make it
5:13
easy now if you look at my table over
5:15
here this is mr. crab now there are four
5:17
shoes that saw between 240 and 258
5:20
passed between 250 and 260 0 between 260
5:24
and 270 about two pairs between 270 and
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280 0 between 20 and 290 and 300 and
5:31
upwards five pairs so now if you look I
5:34
wrote stuff here for you guys to make it
5:36
easy now 5 sale took place at 300
5:40
dollars and those were like size eight
5:42
eight nine nine and a half two pairs and
5:44
in size 10 now smaller sizes will
5:46
probably give you them the largest bike
5:49
margin basically if you if you get a
5:52
size 10 half at 30 you probably get
5:53
about 250 or 260 4 and size 10 or 11
5:57
about 250 all right and the shoe is
5:59
selling for like 160 now if you live in
6:01
Maryland where I live the tax is like
6:03
nine 66% I'd get what I pay about 160
6:07
960 and you know based on the 19 sales
6:10
the average market value is 274 52
6:14
that's a hundred dollar markup basically
6:16
and this is a 59.3% markups so yes you
6:20
should probably you I don't need to
6:22
answer that question for you so you buy
6:24
the flip if you wanna flip it yes you
6:26
gonna make some money on it so if you
6:27
get your hands on
6:28
ten pairs that's a thousand dollars on a
6:31
given Thursday so more power to you now
6:35
for those that actually want to do two
6:36
Rock'em you always got a fight with his
6:39
resellers when he companies because this
6:41
issue does gonna be a good good good a
6:43
good resale value
6:45
so yes it's gonna be hard okay now I
6:47
want to kick safai and it come to find
6:49
out kicks afire numbers are better like
6:52
look to 60 to 70 nobody's selling for
6:55
its low to 72 to 80 one prayer to 82 to
6:58
90s 10 pairs to 92 303 percent 300,000
7:02
of 18 so people are actually killing at
7:06
us kick surprise so I'll say throat is
7:09
gonna kick c5 if you wanna make the most
7:11
money out of it all right now
7:13
Chris and I have been talking about what
7:16
is changing in the resale market and as
7:18
sneakerheads do have a lot of volume
7:19
equals resellers drive this market like
7:23
a reseller is so important to this
7:25
market that people are actually
7:26
understand this shoe has a market value
7:29
of 304 hours on kick safai and 270 on
7:32
ebay so you see the cap days P is like
7:35
$34 so you'd be better off selling these
7:38
down on eBay on on kicks if I if I was
7:41
you so I would say you know what it's
7:44
not gonna be easy to get but if you
7:47
really I mean that's a lot of options
7:49
man like you're gonna go on so links
7:51
this guy gives you a whole bunch of
7:52
stuff I give you a few places where you
7:55
go so legs he's got a whole bunch of
7:57
like people here
7:58
shoe polish finish line Nike now if you
8:01
go on shoo silly shoe series getting you
8:04
know so you should you shouldn't be hard
8:06
for you to get your hands on me like
8:07
just City I'm always being stupid man
8:10
I got a shoe series getting it they can
8:14
it
8:15
she cities getting it rutila's getting
8:18
it see the guests getting so you know
8:21
I'm gonna have a hard time getting this
8:22
shoe if you really want it I say just go
8:24
out there and make sure you you you you
8:28
go on foot Walker's out I'll show you on
8:31
my phone right now let me show you my
8:33
phone where I did because you know I
8:35
know a lot of people are trying to get
8:36
these in and you know if I can help you
8:38
know I do the best that I can
8:39
um my phone is still like loading up
8:43
here I don't know it's taking a little
8:44
while or a one second
8:48
all right so if you look at your
8:52
countdown they see a large locator just
8:54
all your lunch located I don't know if
8:56
you can see that you see it over here
8:57
okay
8:59
infrared and everything is right there
9:00
just you see the button there's a little
9:03
reflection yeah I'll show you how to hit
9:05
the button okay and then go to your
9:08
location if you leave in let's say you
9:11
live in Kentucky whatever zip code it is
9:13
you put it in there and then go to the
9:14
store and get a head start so you might
9:16
be able to get your size it's not that
9:18
hard to get now if you don't like that
9:19
you can always check my website I'm
9:21
going to share my screen one more time
9:23
I'll share my screen one more time okay
9:26
and if you go on the website on my
9:30
website here there's a bunch of like I
9:33
have I give you a list of like places
9:35
where you can get the shoe from and
9:37
there you can actually buy them on eBay
9:38
if you don't wish your time just going I
9:41
got a list of places for you alright and
9:44
then also a couple of days ago I sort of
9:49
faith once and I don't really have
9:51
pictures so I just want to warn you
9:53
might be extremely careful because
9:55
there's bill fix and you can see this is
9:58
the authentic where your fake what is
10:00
like plain white you see it doesn't look
10:03
old he doesn't have the whole field tool
10:05
so be extremely careful before you
10:07
depart from somebody okay she and then
10:09
again the aesthetic is like a little
10:11
greenish it's not like tiblet it's not
10:13
like ocean blue so you have the
10:15
extremely careful you go on my website i
10:17
look at is if you want alright thanks
10:19
for watching this is time for Martha
10:21
cakes and stay tuned for more stuff
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