2019 Air Jordan 11 Black Red Bred 11 | How Many Pairs Possibly Made & Resale Value
Feb 20, 2025
Read Jordan 11 Resale Value projection post -click link below
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I already wrote a post about the number of pairs of the 2019 Air Jordan 11 Black Red aka "Bred 11" that could be possibly made, if you didn't read that post be sure to check out the link below https://housakicks.com/business/how-many-pairs-of-the-air-jordan-11-black-red-bred-could-be-produced/ When I made my first projection I used a linear model because there wasn't that much data available to work with. Footlocker and its derivatives haven't updated their release map yet but it is confirmed that the Jordan 11 Black Red will be a general release sneaker- every retailer will be carrying this item. And since that's the case making a projection for North America shouldn't be such a difficult task. So this morning I took a count of most of the major & minor retailers as well as sneaker boutiques that will be selling the Bred 11, then set some assumptions and computer the numbers to come up with a reasonable estimate of the number of pairs that might have been produced.
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0:00
it what's going on guys this is da heap
0:02
from Osaka calm and I have a show for
0:06
you tonight
0:06
I'm gonna be talking about the Brad 11
0:08
and I actually I already did like post
0:13
on it like eight months ago I don't know
0:15
if you've missed it you can go back on
0:17
my previous YouTube video or you just
0:19
call my website and check out this one
0:23
this article that I wrote when I wrote
0:25
it
0:26
when I did my projection I came up with
0:28
1.7 million and when I did it I used a
0:32
linear Morrow I'm gonna show it to you
0:35
in a second but before I do that I don't
0:38
need to introduce this bread 11 cuz a
0:40
lot of people know about it you know
0:42
about it bread 11
0:43
it's not like I'm showing you something
0:44
new it's been around I came out first in
0:48
1996 then in 2001 then we have this we
0:50
had the CDP and then we had the bread 11
0:53
2012 so it's not like it's something new
0:55
all right so I'm not gonna wish your
0:57
time showing you pictures about it or
0:59
pictures on it you can go nike.com or
1:02
you can also check our soul collector
1:04
kicks on fire or all these other website
1:07
they're gonna talk about the history
1:09
behind it so I'm not gonna do that today
1:10
I'm gonna stick to what I do best is my
1:13
numbers and I'm gonna stay in my lane
1:15
alright so when I first wrote the
1:19
article I came up with 1.7 million
1:23
that's because I used a linear model and
1:26
when I used a linear model I based my
1:29
information on the legend blue eleven's
1:31
and then they elect 72 10th 11th so when
1:35
I did it I came up with a linear
1:36
equation and with a linear equation I
1:38
was able to predict the numbers and came
1:41
up with 1.7 now today I switch it up a
1:45
little bit because I didn't used the
1:47
linear model I went back to just getting
1:50
information from retailers and then
1:52
using that ask my way to predict the
1:54
numbers so I'm gonna show you exactly
1:56
what I did alright so I went and found
2:01
out how many retailers were gonna get
2:03
the shoe now this is a general release
2:05
so that means everybody's gonna get it
2:07
from Foot Locker all the way to the
2:09
smallest or retailer everyone's gonna
2:11
get it
2:12
so it makes it a little bit easier to
2:14
find in hours so when I collected my
2:16
data footlocker alone has 895 stores
2:21
food action has 270 and James has 547
2:27
finished line has 670 on dick size 850
2:33
and inhibit has 8,000 82 that's just for
2:37
the major chains and then we're gonna go
2:39
back to the minor change like downtown
2:42
locker room they have like 110 shoe
2:45
polish has 150 chic shoes has 135 and in
2:51
Jimmy Jazz 170 shoe City um 39 and
2:56
Evelyn's house 38 then you also have to
2:59
include sneaker boutiques now for the
3:01
sneaker boutiques I don't have like a
3:03
number of locations so I'm not gonna
3:06
waste my time trying to figure out how
3:07
many stores they have per boutique so
3:10
what I did was I just put all them
3:11
together and the one that I came up with
3:14
was bows and arrows wish ATL concept
3:17
Extra Butter sneaker politics a heist
3:21
NYC nice cakes pakka shoes social status
3:26
Rock City Cakes bodega come on welcome
3:29
foot zone NYC now that we have all the
3:32
numbers we can set up the assumptions
3:34
and and the assumptions are gonna go
3:36
like this I'm gonna give footlocker
3:37
James and fraction about a quarter of
3:40
the entire production and I'm also gonna
3:43
give a footlocker James fraction online
3:45
about one third of his stock the
3:48
physical location are getting now we
3:50
already know that footlocker has two
3:53
separate entities they have they have
3:56
solutes locations and they have their
3:58
regular foot lockers so the hasselhoff
4:00
locations are about 170 so for the house
4:03
of hoops I'm gonna give him 70 pairs per
4:05
location and for the regular Foot Locker
4:09
we're gonna give them 36 for James I'm
4:13
gonna give him 24 and for production 24
4:16
now I'm gonna give each Bay about a
4:19
third of the total allocation
4:21
footlocker fraction and James are
4:23
getting online and
4:24
numbers from there okay now running our
4:28
numbers is not gonna be that hard
4:29
this is just simple arithmetic so you
4:32
have 170 times 17 that's four also hoops
4:36
and then we have 36 times 725 that's 4
4:42
Foot Locker and 24 times 547 that's for
4:46
James and then you do have 24 times 2 17
4:50
deaths for production if you add up all
4:52
these numbers you come up with 57
4:54
thousand six hundred and eight and I
4:57
took that up to sixty thousand because
4:59
I'm taking into consideration the fact
5:03
that I might I might have like given
5:05
some also hoops les pairs because if you
5:08
live in New York City or if you live in
5:10
like big cities like Houston those
5:13
locations may get like 250 or 150 pairs
5:16
so for the sake of keeping this thing
5:19
it'll be accurate I'm gonna take it up
5:21
to 60,000 years so avoid any errors
5:23
right and then 4-foot footlocker
5:25
fraction and champs online
5:27
I took the 60,000 and you divide that by
5:31
3 you get 20,000 ok and then East Bay is
5:35
gonna be 20,000 and you divided by 3 you
5:38
get 6,000 667 now the total from
5:42
footlocker production and change its
5:45
gonna be adding up all these numbers
5:47
together I came up with 86 thousand 600
5:51
667 if you take it up and you run it off
5:54
you can take it up to like 90,000 now
5:57
that's just a grand total for the USA
6:00
alone that's like 90 thousand times four
6:02
and we have three hundred and sixty
6:05
thousand I think this number is still
6:07
too little I think I can take it up to
6:09
four hundred thousand for the sake of
6:11
this poster I'm gonna keep it at three
6:12
hundred and sixty thousand all right now
6:16
you have to take into consideration
6:17
Europe Asia and Africa because in Africa
6:21
some places like Morocco or South Africa
6:25
are gonna get the shoe so if you take
6:27
the rest of the world into consideration
6:29
you can take that number and time see by
6:31
four which I did and when I did three
6:33
hundred sixty thousand by four you come
6:36
up with one point four four
6:38
four hundred forty thousand pairs that's
6:40
about one point four million now in my
6:42
previous post and what I used on the
6:45
linear model
6:46
I came over one point seven this time I
6:48
came up with one point four so the
6:50
difference is about three hundred
6:51
thousand
6:52
so we'll see what happened when this
6:54
shoe releases I do want to add this
6:56
thing because guys a lot of guys want to
6:59
discredit because they say well you
7:01
don't work for his brain so how do you
7:02
know these numbers
7:03
I don't know these numbers so I use the
7:06
data that's available so don't quote me
7:08
on any of this thing I'm just trying to
7:10
give you a picture of what may happen so
7:13
I stay within this boundary so I guess I
7:15
know that at some point these things are
7:18
pretty accurate in my own mind I think
7:20
they are pretty accurate okay I don't
7:23
think I'm like extrapolating too much I
7:25
don't think I'm like outside of the
7:27
actual reality I think the numbers are
7:29
gonna be between 1.2 and 1.7 somewhere
7:32
around those numbers so I don't think is
7:35
it's not too far-fetched so I try to
7:37
give you as accurate information as
7:39
possible based on my own assumption so I
7:41
just want to make that clear okay
7:43
now the next thing that I did today was
7:46
I studied around the resale value of the
7:49
shoe on third-party marketplaces
7:52
marketplaces so basically uh when I
7:55
wrote the article I call it buy sell or
7:57
hold now a lot of guys are gonna try to
7:59
go for a read 11 because everybody knows
8:02
11 sale well but should you buy should
8:05
you flip it so that's what I did today
8:06
so um I collected my data and I'm gonna
8:10
show you some of it here so I went on
8:13
ebay first and I got all my data on eBay
8:16
I got a few numbers there then I also
8:19
went on stock ex-government um with some
8:21
stock X and then what I did next was uh
8:23
I pinned them together and then I found
8:27
out what sizes were selling the highest
8:29
what sizes were selling the most and
8:32
should you buy this you should you flip
8:33
it I came up with a profit per
8:35
marketplace so I'm Starck X what profit
8:38
are you looking at on eBay what profit
8:41
are you looking at this is the things
8:42
that I talked about in this article so
8:44
you want to make sure you check that out
8:45
now why am I saying this thing because a
8:48
lot of guys want to do these predictions
8:49
and when you do a prediction
8:52
just through random nervous I studied
8:54
these things I've studied the trained I
8:57
understand what's going on and I do this
8:59
because my background is in mathematics
9:01
I'm not trying to brag I'm just telling
9:03
you I love doing this thing so God has
9:06
blessed me with a mind to work on this
9:08
thing so for me I love doing this so I
9:10
put out when I do this thing I'm all I'm
9:12
almost doing it like I'm working for
9:13
myself basically I'm giving you what I
9:16
would do if I was working for me so
9:19
you're getting the best of me this is
9:21
what I'm doing so I'm not just gonna
9:23
give you stuff just to click bait or
9:26
essence not click bait I actually take
9:28
this this thing very seriously okay so
9:32
to read this article it's gonna require
9:33
you to sign your and to subscribe to the
9:36
website and I'm gonna explain in the
9:38
subscription the subscription is seven
9:40
dollars per month and for every seven
9:43
dollar you pay a month you get access to
9:46
all my content which is I'm gonna show
9:50
it to you you're gonna get access to all
9:52
my prediction that I write all this
9:55
prediction you're gonna get access to it
9:56
for seven dollars a month you're also
9:58
gonna get access to the real versus
10:01
fixed sneakers that's a big deal too
10:03
you're gonna get access to all the
10:05
article that I wrote on it okay and as a
10:07
matter of fact I'm gonna show you a
10:08
couple of things here I wrote about the
10:11
bloody great that's like two days ago
10:13
they already have the fake ones and you
10:15
may want to check that out if you've
10:17
bought your shoe unlike
10:18
eBay or some place rather than like a
10:21
store you may want to check that out and
10:23
I'm also gonna teach you how to
10:24
authenticate your own sneakers alright
10:27
and you can check that out too for seven
10:29
dollars a month you're gonna learn all
10:30
these things so I take my job very
10:32
seriously so when I do what I give you
10:34
is the best of me alright and I need
10:37
your support to keep going because I'm
10:38
not gonna just do this thing and you
10:41
know cause guys you understand it takes
10:42
time like every one of these articles
10:44
alright sometimes it takes me about four
10:47
or five to six hours excruciating work
10:49
alright so I'm giving you the best and
10:52
I'm expecting you to also support so I
10:54
can continue to do this thing for you
10:56
guys alright so to get access to this
10:58
article
10:59
check the description below I'm gonna
11:01
have all the links below the text I'm
11:04
gonna have the links to
11:06
resale value of the 11 check the the
11:09
description below I'm gonna have to link
11:10
to these reverses fake check the link
11:12
below I'm gonna have these also the link
11:14
to the this projection article check the
11:17
links below alright thanks for watching
11:18
again and I appreciate your support
11:20
those will continue to work these things
11:21
thanks to you and I already have some
11:24
subscription on it on the website so
11:25
those that I've subscribed thanks to you
11:28
too I appreciate that
11:29
alright that's watching and stay tuned
11:31
for more stuff
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