0:00
our recent cruise line changes and
0:02
announcements suggesting the chances of
0:04
you cruising this summer
0:05
out of the united states and europe is
0:10
unlikely as we head into a full year
0:12
since cruises went into shutdown
0:13
i'm gary bembridge and i'm going to
0:15
explore how your cruising chances
0:17
look to be shifting stacking up and what
0:22
i keep saying it and many have
0:23
criticized me for it but you really do
0:26
existing 2021 advertised cruises until
0:30
october to avoid almost certain
0:33
changes forget advertised 2021 cruises
0:37
when lions are allowed to come back they
0:40
brand new cruises so wait for these new
0:44
because they will be working around the
0:45
various limitations they will be looking
0:48
that will come your way come to your
0:52
why do i say that well the return so far
0:54
has proven this is the case so we've
0:57
so as countries let cruisers resume from
0:59
their ports they do have limits
1:01
about who can go where they can go and
1:04
that's how cruisers have started so in
1:06
quantum of the seas dream of cruises
1:09
with cruises to nowhere japan and taiwan
1:12
were the same for locals cruises to
1:14
italy with msc cruises costa allowing
1:17
people to go to italian ports malta
1:19
with one or two ships only the rest kept
1:22
they brought on brand new cruises in
1:24
germany we saw aida mine shift
1:26
hapag lloyd again they initially created
1:28
cruises to nowhere and then the canary
1:30
again with limited parts of the fleet so
1:33
that is the situation
1:34
cruise lines putting on one or two ships
1:36
with very specific itineraries
1:38
for very specific groups of travelers as
1:42
two massive new changes in the last few
1:45
proven this to be true first of all
1:47
royal caribbean odyssey of the seas
1:49
they are going to be selling out of
1:50
israel calling on greece and cyprus with
1:52
vaccinated crew and guests
1:54
again only for israeli residents these
1:56
are three to seven night cruise escapes
1:58
they're going to go to places like
2:00
santorini mykonos athens greece and
2:04
in cyprus so anyone who'd booked odyssey
2:06
of the seas cruises throughout europe
2:08
those have been cancelled because the
2:09
cruise lines were an opportunity to set
2:11
up something in israel
2:12
and jumped at the chance piano cruises
2:14
in the uk they've just cancelled
2:16
79 cruises counting up the ones that
2:20
that's right through until september
2:21
they're going to replace them with uk
2:24
which are going to go on sale later in
2:26
march which are short cruises to one
2:28
so the end of august they've canceled
2:32
ventura to the end of september
2:35
princess cruises has announced that all
2:36
their scheduled and advertised cruisers
2:39
out of the uk have now been cancelled
2:42
way into september that's on the regal
2:46
princess they're hoping instead to run
2:50
around the uk for uk only guests
2:53
later in the summer to replace those so
2:57
home pointing out the uk they're going
2:58
to face the same issue so cunard red
3:00
so by the time you watch us that could
3:04
cruise lines are going to have to jump
3:06
where there are opportunities
3:08
and it's not going to be with those
3:09
advertised cruises because of the
3:11
there are five key factors and
3:13
developments that you need to consider
3:14
as you look at your chances for cruising
3:18
first of those is travel restrictions
3:20
moving between and across borders
3:22
is going to take some time even with
3:24
vaccinations there's huge amounts of
3:27
will it be testing will it be vaccines
3:28
it's still to be resolved digital green
3:30
passports like they have in israel
3:32
is being looked at by the eu but there's
3:34
still lots of discussions around what
3:36
the eu wants to have those up by summer
3:38
but there's lots to happen so there's a
3:41
the important thing to note is you're
3:43
going to need quarantine free entry for
3:45
cruisers to work on any scale
3:47
cruise line only excursions will work on
3:49
a limited scale with a few lines
3:51
as you've seen at the moment but on a
3:52
bigger scale it seems almost impossible
3:54
that's how it's working with the israeli
3:57
odyssey of the sea cruisers
3:58
because they're basically agreed
3:59
everyone's vaccinated and there will be
4:02
and people be able to move around freely
4:05
port the uk is doing that with p o
4:08
because they're creating staycations
4:10
with uk guests who again
4:11
will be able to move freely as they
4:13
would if they were traveling
4:14
independently on land
4:15
what's the option for the u.s of course
4:17
it's really restricted because
4:18
cruisers in the us cannot go from u.s
4:21
port to u.s port they have to go
4:22
to a foreign country or foreign place as
4:26
part of the pvsa the passenger
4:28
vessel services act the option of course
4:30
will be private islands it's almost
4:32
when we see cruisers starting out of the
4:33
us and they take advantages
4:35
of whatever's allowed private island
4:37
cruises will be the equivalent of the uk
4:40
staycations this is the same as we saw
4:43
they are running cruises at the moment
4:45
by doing canary island cruises so that's
4:49
one set of rules and they're able to
4:50
cruise between the different islands
4:52
the second key thing to consider is
4:54
there will be a phased return of ships
4:56
it's going to take 12 weeks at least
4:59
that they've given the ok to openings so
5:01
they're not going to be able to run
5:02
advertised cruisers on mass because all
5:04
ships are not going to be able to
5:06
come back in one go so it's really
5:08
important the us the uk and everyone's
5:10
that don't expect ships to all come back
5:12
at once and it will be stagnant so frank
5:14
del rio who runs a norwegian group
5:15
said it's roughly a 90-day window to
5:18
launch a cruise service in the united
5:20
from receiving a green light from the
5:21
cdc so say they get the okay
5:24
by the end of march that's into july
5:27
that's assuming that they'll be able to
5:28
get the okay he also went on to say
5:31
that it's going to take between six and
5:33
seven months for their brands to return
5:35
to full operation with all their 28
5:37
across their three lines perhaps
5:39
returning one ship per service
5:41
per week so that's really important to
5:42
understand is those advertised cruises
5:44
on all of those 28 ships
5:45
across the norwegian cruise group will
5:48
not all be coming back at once and
5:49
certainly they will not be back
5:51
by summer even if they get that go ahead
5:54
in july paul ludlow who's the president
5:58
announcing those new uk staycations said
6:01
from the moment we see travel
6:02
restrictions lifting we will begin
6:04
the significant logistical task to
6:07
restart our operations
6:08
it will take some time for the first
6:10
ship to return to service
6:11
followed by the phased return of the
6:14
fleet again really important phased and
6:17
slow his boss david dingle has
6:19
previously said like fran del rio
6:20
it'll take up to 12 weeks per ship to
6:24
arnold donald of carnival group says he
6:28
or the fleet will be back so that's
6:30
really important to understand
6:32
is that those summer cruises that are
6:35
even if they get the okay it is going to
6:38
time to bring back individual ships so
6:42
summer cruises look highly unlikely to
6:45
but there's new ones that might get put
6:47
in place much more positive
6:48
but not advertised cruisers currently
6:53
lines are going to be increasingly
6:54
chasing opportunities as and when they
6:56
keep expecting surprises and this is
6:59
as i've already mentioned quantum of the
7:02
msc grandiose selling currently was not
7:05
costa cruises were not planned mind
7:07
shift were not planned and so on and so
7:09
on even the ill-fated
7:10
sea dreamer and huta gritten cruises
7:12
which had covert issues
7:13
early on last year were not planned
7:17
israel was not a planned opportunity but
7:19
this opportunity came along because of
7:21
process and agreement between greece and
7:24
cyprus who were desperate for tourism
7:25
and they were prepared
7:26
to break with eu rules around movement
7:31
to sign a deal which meant free movement
7:34
cyprus and greece so chasing
7:36
opportunities is really going to be what
7:38
cruise lines are doing
7:39
in the uk the pace of vaccine rollout
7:43
opening shows the country is going to be
7:44
opening domestically but borders are
7:46
to stop cases coming in and variants
7:48
coming in there's no signs when that
7:50
what the rules will be eu are bringing
7:54
to help people move around but it's
7:55
still being worked through so cruise
7:57
lines are seeing the opportunity to
7:59
on the uk they're going to go with the
8:02
so paul ludlow piano cruises president
8:04
said and i'm going to quote him again
8:06
whilst holidays here in the uk will be
8:07
the first to become a reality we will of
8:10
gradually see the return of
8:11
international travel but first we want
8:13
guests to be able to enjoy
8:14
a proper summer holiday at sea with the
8:18
entertainment and dining choice so
8:21
really really important chasing
8:22
opportunities the australian government
8:24
have extended to the 17th of june the
8:26
ban on cruise ships but they again have
8:28
indicated they are working with clear
8:29
to open domestic cruises so the federal
8:33
greg hunt he said that the government
8:35
continues to work closely with state and
8:39
national health committees and the
8:40
cruise industry to develop a framework
8:43
for the staged in that word resumption
8:46
in a manner that's proportionate to the
8:48
public health risks of clear md
8:50
joel katz he said i'm going to quote him
8:52
we believe there is a pathway for the
8:55
and tightly controlled return of
8:58
we've been working closely with the
9:00
federal government for
9:02
more than six months now on a high level
9:05
for the restart of domestic operations
9:09
really importantly cruise lines will be
9:10
chasing these short-term
9:12
immediate opportunities and turning
9:14
focus away from those advertised
9:16
cruises the fourth consideration is
9:19
increasing reluctance of
9:20
some really key cruise ports and
9:22
countries for taking cruises
9:24
and so again that's going to force
9:25
cruisers to be staggered it's going to
9:28
and planned itineraries are going to be
9:29
hard to run or they're going to be
9:31
so that advertised crews probably can't
9:34
run this plan so canada through to
9:36
australia is due to june 2021 the united
9:40
spain all major embarkation countries
9:42
they've set no date to
9:44
open ports for embarkation or stops so
9:48
cannot say dates for new cruisers quite
9:51
they've got bans on the number and size
9:55
of course there's moves to try and get
9:56
that overruled in the florida
9:58
senate but they've limited the number of
10:00
daily cruise ship passengers to 1500
10:03
they're prohibiting cruise ships with 1
10:05
300 passengers or more from docking
10:08
and they're giving docking priority to
10:09
cruise lines that have the very best
10:11
health and environmental records so for
10:13
example royal caribbean
10:14
has already started changing some of
10:16
their cruises to use private islands
10:18
of key west so you know lots of chopping
10:22
even big crew sports in the caribbean
10:24
are saying they're reviewing
10:26
the numbers of ships so grand cayman the
10:28
most visible of those they're saying
10:29
they probably won't take any ships this
10:32
will at most restrict numbers they've
10:34
cancelled plans to build a dock there
10:37
in at all to help cruise ships so the
10:39
premier mr mclaughlin he said that
10:41
cruise ships they were getting 1.8
10:44
million passengers a year
10:45
he said that he thinks they've got a
10:47
really clear signal from
10:48
just about every source in the country
10:50
that they can survive without those
10:52
large numbers of cruisers and they want
10:53
more balance in their tourism
10:55
they don't want to overwhelm the systems
10:57
with the sheer number of people coming
10:59
so he's saying they are going to limit
11:01
the number of people calling there which
11:03
because that's a really important port
11:04
so if you've got cruisers coming up
11:06
in the next couple of months to grand
11:07
cayman that is questionable because
11:09
they're not going to take the ships
11:11
meanwhile across in europe we're also
11:14
various ports saying they are not going
11:16
to take cruisers in 2021 the most recent
11:19
is the island of guernsey which is a
11:22
really popular stop on the round
11:23
uk trips and tours they have said for
11:26
public health reasons they've decided
11:28
they will not take any cruisers in 2021
11:31
consider reopening in 2022
11:34
so that's also something to watch as
11:36
cruisers come closer and closer in the
11:38
and beyond opening how many other ports
11:40
will say they'd rather
11:42
just skip a year and not take any
11:46
so that's really really important the
11:48
opening of places that cruisers call on
11:50
is a major factor which again is going
11:52
to be an issue over the summer as
11:55
so again it's going to be opportunistic
11:57
the fifth thing is around local
11:58
restrictions that's really important
12:00
because each country is going to have
12:02
different roadmaps and timing for
12:04
opening up during the summer so the uk
12:06
use the example again vaccine rollouts
12:08
going well they've got dates for
12:09
actually opening up things like museums
12:11
attractions things that cruisers would
12:13
want to call on hospitality has to be
12:15
opened to be able to run
12:16
excursions so when they're open is
12:18
really varied it's very uncertain what
12:20
will be for letting people in but moving
12:24
the lions are wanting to avoid what
12:26
happened with the italian
12:27
and german settings where they started
12:29
selling towards the end of last year
12:30
they had to shut them all down
12:32
because there were new local
12:35
where they went into lockdown and the
12:38
same true is happening
12:39
in france so cruisers opened and they
12:41
then had to close down
12:42
so the cruise lines are saying they want
12:44
to be completely sure
12:45
that each individual country is open
12:48
without restriction before they commit
12:49
to sailing because they don't want to
12:51
start re-manning ships
12:53
restocking ships putting stuff on sale
12:56
and all the hassles of getting cruisers
12:58
selling to then have to stop again so
13:02
cruise lines are going to concentrate on
13:04
absolute certain things
13:05
so that's why we've seen the situation
13:06
with israel cyprus and greece
13:09
uk round uk because these are things
13:11
that the cruise lines know are likely to
13:14
be controlled so much more is the chance
13:18
cruising in summer reducing if you're
13:21
looking at one of those advertised
13:23
absolutely believe your chances of going
13:26
narrowing for sure however it does look
13:30
some new exciting options and
13:32
alternatives for you
13:33
which can be much more local much more
13:36
and coming on stream at relatively short
13:40
i hope you found this interesting and
13:41
helpful if you did remember i have
13:43
hundreds more of tips for travellers
13:46
episodes packed full of
13:47
updates tips and advice so why not go
13:50
and enjoy another one right now