0:09
[Music] hey Russ long time no see i I know we uh
0:15
planned to do uh our third video in this series a few years ago but the market time and everything else got in the way
0:22
but we are back if you want to finish our trilogy of uh Morgan 50 videos
0:28
you've landed on the right video um it's been two years I think and and I looked
0:33
at the NGC set registry list today 525 competitive sets that's awesome for
0:40
Morgan 50s and and what's to everybody out there who's doing it yeah yeah and and right now
0:47
um collector Brian Thomas uh his name's on the on the public uh
0:54
facing side of the site so I feel comfortable saying it brian Thomas in the Thomas Creek 50 collection is 98%
1:03
complete and is running away with
1:08
187,275 points um the next closest competitor he has Terry LS's Terry's
1:16
Morgan 50 set is 100% complete but is trailing by 60 uh,000 points in the set
1:25
registry so so so so what the reason for that is that uh uh Brian sets got MS68
1:33
coins 66 dimples lot of CAC material 67 plus so I know in
1:39
the in the context of what we've been talking about um in our videos you know we're talking about this set is
1:47
accomplishable all 50 coins is a is accomplishable for the collector who you
1:52
know wants to be into these for you know between$1 and $400 a coin with plenty of
1:58
coins in the $85,90 $100 $125 range so
2:04
when we were looking at three $400 coins we thought well every set needs some special coins for you to chase so we put
2:11
we put some of them in there but but those are the you know the keys of this everyman set really or the semi keys of
2:18
the set so we don't expect every collector to go out there and and and put together sets with dimples and and
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and and plus plus grades and top pop kind of coins but you certainly can and
2:29
and for that that collector uh you're going to you know you're going to have to compete uh against some collectors
2:35
who are really astute in their buying habits and and and what their tastes are so um but like I said 525 people uh have
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liked this idea so far and that's just on the NGC side um I can report that uh
2:48
my collect um which uh is a uh numismatic social media site also has
2:55
their own set registry program with awards they they added the uh Morgan 50
3:01
and and who knows maybe in some time CAC or uh PCGS may get on the get on the
3:07
ball on it but right now NGC uh was the first to adopt it and uh and so you can
3:13
go back look at our other uh videos to see what we had to say about New Orleans coins Philadelphia coins uh I'm sure our
3:20
price analysis back then uh will be a little bit dated the Morgan dollar market has increased uh some of these
3:26
prices for common date coins has increased in the last few years um do you want to speak on that real quick i know you've been uh you've been looking
3:32
and studying the numbers as we prepare for today's episode yes and I I'll comment just before you
3:41
mentioned like the NGC registry set and as a PCGS registry set um contributor
3:46
myself i also understand that the guys with those very high grade the dimples the 68 coins may also have a
3:54
cross-section of their coins and other types of sets so you know there are some
3:59
people who will pick as many different types of sets as they can and click the button and all those coins will populate
4:05
in there which is probably why he the one and two guys are so far and away ahead of the rest of the pack um but as
4:14
far as the um the market is concerned to to meet your question
4:20
um despite the fact that demand for silver has uh it it has gone up but not
4:27
noticeably so gold is certainly taking the center stage um the underlying spot price for any kind of pre-1933
4:34
numismatic coin um is going up in tandem with the spot price silver however I
4:41
think when we were talking um two years ago wasn't it around 22 to $24 an ounce
4:48
yeah yeah it was it was it was at that time that was a pretty stout price but that's very modest compared to where it
4:54
is now yeah so we're now 30 and you know we hit 33 and we bumped back down again
4:59
i think silver has got a ton of pro uh potential at this point whether you buy
5:05
90% or whether you buy you know your 50piece Morgan dollar set and I think
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that um the numbers we talked about today uh will kind of give everybody an idea
5:18
as to what to look for and how that um you just can't assign one price to one
5:25
coin and expect to pay that price it depends on how good they are here at
5:30
Rarecoa um we have double row boxes by date in
5:36
63 and 64 grade um so I I can look through 50 coins at a time and pick out
5:43
three or four that I really like and the rest are like uh are those three or four
5:49
supposed to be the same price as the other 47 no and what's going to happen
5:56
today when we discuss the average price and the high and the low I think will it'll emphasize if you go for quality
6:03
and then you talk for price you're going to have a far better uh um outcome on
6:09
this project than you will if you just go by price right and and I want to want to speak really quick russ brought up
6:16
this silver and gold kind of comparison and um I won't dig too deeply into each
6:22
of our backgrounds uh here you know and spare you that that long story but I I I
6:28
think you're going to find very few uh professional numismatists in the in
6:33
the field who have put as much time and energy in studying uh coin prices and
6:39
trends and anomalies within the market as like what Russ and I have done over the length of our careers years um and
6:46
and that that's elevated Russ to be one of the preeminent US coin dealers in the country and the senior numismatist for
6:52
rare koa and uh it's what I put into a lot of the anal an analytical articles we write on coin week i would say that
7:00
when you're looking at gold at this price point my hunch is a lot of this price is being driven by institutional
7:05
buying and what that ends up doing is that ends up squeezing out like the I
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would just say the the the hobby collector the hobby investor uh the uh
7:19
sort of the uh hard money numismatic buyer you know cuz I I think they look at 34 $3,500 gold when they have this
7:28
muscle memory of paying $1,800 or $2,000 for a generic saint or or a 20 L even
7:35
2,700 right right 27 yeah they have this muscle memory of that so they're looking at this 34 $3500 price point and and it
7:43
and to a certain point it starts to feel like real money and I think that we are
7:49
seeing like you know that that I think is why there is a big opportunity in silver coins silver coins have always
7:56
served that uh sort of that hard money traditional type of collector who
8:01
doesn't want to go so deeply into precious the gold side of it because you
8:06
get more coins more variety more history and silver coins for the same amount of
8:11
money and I think that that's like what drew a lot of people to Morgan dollars you know once the bags were depleted and
8:18
the coins started selling at you know like like hot cakes at coin shows it's certainly what helped elevate the rare
8:24
coin market when third party grading came into the to being and people were looking for Jim Morgans and all these
8:30
dates um and and I think now is probably a really good opportunity because you
8:35
know these silver coins have been overshadowed for quite a long time and and I think now they're they're they
8:41
they look affordable to me at at the at the at the current spread and and I
8:46
think that if uh if you're a savvy and sophisticated buyer there's more than enough information available now for you
8:52
to like make sound decisions when it comes to uh when it comes to u you know
8:59
which coins to buy i would agree with that i'd agree with that there there will be you know there is obviously a
9:04
base level for you know a graded 63 graded 64 graded 65 silver
9:12
dollar there is currently a the same thing going on with a graded St godens
9:17
coin however that price is fluctuating far greater than I think the silver dollars are i think the silver dollars
9:23
are uh you don't have to watch the market every day to determine what the value is they're pretty predictable the
9:31
trends however are on the up and you can just tell that by watching the
9:36
television and radio ad and listening to the radio advertising um but with gold
9:42
uh we've had to change our television ads on Rareco Direct uh like just
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yesterday we were changing the $10 Liberty in MS-61 because the price was
9:53
like below melt i mean way below melt and it was a certified MS-61 coin so
9:59
yeah it's it can be a problem this kind of uh this focus in on the 50
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piece set I think allows you to uh comfortably acquire the right
10:12
coin maintaining a condition uh look and then worrying about the price because as
10:20
I think we've said before you pay you might have to pay up for something but the price price eventually catches up
10:27
and then exceeds what you paid for it quote from John Ford yeah and and and
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just to keep in mind like one one final nail in the coffin here for the gold i I think if you buy a uh 24 Saint and 64
10:41
now and I I don't know what you're charging for them Russ but I think at the Baltimore show you could pro you
10:46
could probably get them for $400 or $500 cheaper than you can now but let's say you bought one at $3,500 and if gold
10:52
goes down to uh $1,800 again and I'm not suggesting it there's any reason why it will anytime soon but if gold goes down
10:59
to like you know some tradition you know some level that we saw a few years ago then your your coin is going to decline
11:05
in value to to compensate for the decline the spot price if if silver goes
11:11
from 30 $35 to $25 you're not going to see the same market retraction on the
11:18
value of these certified Morgan dollars you just you're just not going to see it because the Morgan dollars are more
11:24
driven by the demand the popularity the series and the grade than it that than by simply by the bullion value of the
11:31
coin and the affordability right that's why so many people get into it is because they are inexpensive and you can
11:38
get a box in the mail you can enjoy the coin and put it into that set right so let's start uh let's start we're going
11:45
to do CC mints and we're going to do the S mints so CC mints are going to be pretty quick and easy we got three of
11:51
these coins uh so let's start there first so we're going to be looking at the 82 83 and 84 CC and uh for people
11:58
just getting into Morgan dollars uh what is the appeal of the CC mint coins why why are they essential for our set and
12:06
and why are they you know why why is it only a few dates that really uh qualify
12:12
to be in a set like this well Carson City is you know the Wild
12:17
West and then everybody's who's at least uh probably 40 years and older you know
12:23
the Wild West has an allure to it and it always has um there have been hordes of these coins
12:30
that have come to market namely the GSA hordes uh and I should preface that by
12:36
saying that any coin that is in a larger format GSA holder that's certified is
12:42
going to be a completely separate discussion because they usually tend to bring a
12:47
premium but you also have to have Carson cities and the 82 while it's not in the
12:53
same category as 83 and 84 it's a little bit more difficult to find but not by
12:59
much um you have then a addition you have one of each mint in your 50 coin
13:05
set and um 82,834 allows you you know a
13:11
c a good cross-section and it also means that you might be able to build out that set from 1878 to 1893
13:20
to me what's interesting is you could go I think when I got it when I got into the uh coin collecting hobby I think you
13:27
could get a CC mint Morgan dollar for about 75 $80 and it's probably in the uh
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the late 80s early 90s um 2010 2015 I think you're paying about 200 i think
13:41
you're paying probably over 400 now and uh what what Russ was talking about like
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these uh coins that are in the original certified coins that are that were kept
13:52
intact in their GSA holder bringing more of a premium this is just one of those
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curiosities of numismatics where uh for for for decades dealers couldn't and
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collectors couldn't wait to crack them out of those holders to send them in to get them slabbed and then there came a
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point when we started to realize that we had gone through a fair amount of these
14:17
and and have selected the better ones to send in for slabbing which meant that those holders were cracked out uh but
14:24
that it was getting more and more difficult to find superb gem or Jimmy coins in these uh in these original
14:31
holders where they were coming from is the fact well ba basically when the GSA
14:37
sales happened they were nationally advertised these were the coins that Jesse James didn't get there was a whole
14:43
brochure spiel about it um and there it was basically one of the largest public auctions ever that the government held
14:50
and they basically sold the coins uh for for about a decade these sales went on
14:55
and because the way the government did it these weren't bought by in wholesale
15:00
by marketers ers and and the majority of it wasn't kept within the industry the
15:06
inventory was spread throughout the country very diffuse and and individual
15:12
collectors low like you know collectors who maybe that GSA coin was their first coin maybe a a brown pack Ike was their
15:19
second coin and then they they got a couple mint sets and we never saw them again these types of collectors held
15:26
over half of the inventory I would say and so as they're coming back into the
15:32
market you know and we're processing these sometimes for the first time uh
15:37
you know some the select coins are being sent in and kept in the GSA holder to sort of respect that as a numismatic
15:45
collectible in its own right so you can have an MS64
15:51
1883cc and that GSA holder certified by uh PCGS or NGC and then one in a just
15:59
straight up holder straight up NGC or PCGS holder and it just seems like the
16:04
market is shifting where they want that originality they want that they want to keep that that nostalgic connection to
16:10
its its original release uh packaging it's very interesting and one of the one
16:16
of the greatest things was that they determined the grading services determined how to put that label the
16:22
grading label on the on the holder itself um and also to touch on what you
16:27
said that um as these coins were being sold in these holders and then packaged
16:34
and then mailed by USPS um I mean the number of times I've come
16:40
across like a collection doing an estatus appraisal or you know a date of death evaluation or something like that
16:46
and I find these original boxes that have been opened up but the original the client's name is on it you know with the
16:53
on the label and this is how they must have arrived from the government and I
16:58
think this was like running concurrently as they were selling mint and proof sets but this was something else entirely
17:04
this actually I think opened a lot of people's eyes to collecting coins
17:09
whereas before you just had the sort of the dieards who wanted like an example of each date that came the mint set and
17:16
the proof set that came out that year so all of a sudden I see a lot of these things yes I get it they're cracked out
17:24
Sometimes I see them with PCGS holders that say GSA on it it doesn't quite hold the same
17:31
feeling but um I you know I'm not sure that we can go too much down the
17:38
GSA topic without getting lost in what we're trying to do on these values here
17:44
with the non-GSAs and even so um I my numbers I couldn't I couldn't take out
17:49
the numbers that I was evaluating on the GSAs but I'll mention that as we go along if there's uh something in there
17:56
sure and and I'll say one we'll get through the the prices for the individual dates but I I want to make one more point so obviously coins the
18:04
weird thing about coins is like you're holding history in your hands this is like a cliche that you hear a lot and so
18:10
you can think about the Old West right you can you can think about the GSA sales but but you also have to think
18:17
about these two things so when the silver stockpile that the government had
18:22
was depleted in the early 1960s this is before s the the Congress decided to to
18:28
pass the coins act to 65 change all of our circulating silver coins to clad coins
18:34
the numismatic community was aware that the government had a stockpile of a few million CC mint Morgan dollars
18:42
and if they weren't like brought to the attention of the public at that point they just would have been given out at
18:49
face value along with the rest of it until all the stockpile was depleted but people who worked at the treasury
18:54
realized that maybe you know these were low mintage coins they might have more value the numismatic community was
19:00
totally split as to what should be done with the coins because there are a lot of cheese guarding uh collectors who
19:06
didn't want their coin to decrease in value because all of a sudden uh half of the mintage of 2 million coins was being
19:13
released to the public um it turned out that the fears about these coins wrecking the market were unfounded
19:20
because all they did is exploded interest in the in the market second thing is so we're talking so
19:27
that's why it takes the government a few years to decide what to do with it there were like many deliberations congress
19:33
deliberated about what to do with these coins the treasury deliberated the numismatic community gave input key
19:40
numismatic figures of the time went to the West Point Mint to observe the coins so this was like a situation where the
19:47
government was working with the hobby to figure out what the right disposition would be for the coins so when the coins
19:53
get released you have to understand this not only are they old west coins not
19:58
only are they low mintage coins not only are nearly all of them in mint condition but for the 1970s and early 1980s these
20:06
were the most popular coins in the series that were collected these these
20:12
these coins for a decade were top of mind for anybody getting into coin collecting anybody into Morgan dollars
20:19
and so when you're collecting these coins like that 10year stretch where
20:24
these were like the the topic dour of coin collecting uh that that still
20:30
penetrates like people's idea of these coins and and I think that is why the GSA holders hold such a a powerful
20:37
market force right now because it's connected to that period of time when the GSA Morgan dollars are the the
20:44
biggest story in coins yep yep without a doubt so Russ let's go through these date by
20:50
date what do we got 82 83 84 so we're going to talk about 63 and 64 great yep
20:58
um I've run in a study like um because there's a there's a current disposition
21:04
between uh how to collect it what holder to buy that kind of thing so I've run the numbers on PCGS NGC and then CAC
21:13
both PCGS and NGC um and for the 63 grades of the Carson
21:20
Cities they're pretty consistent but uh for example
21:26
um over the past year um the last 10 auction records for an 1882 Carson City
21:34
PCGS 63 the average is $341 and incidentally that's been all of
21:41
those sales are from STAX Bowers um in their either collector's choice online
21:46
auction or showcase auction and and in many cases throughout what we're talking about that's the source of these coins
21:53
you have a low of 288 but a high of 456
21:59
and I'll also preface as we go along but I'll say right now that these high prices oftent times don't indicate the
22:08
general trend 456 is the high but then 341 is the average that's more of the
22:14
price that you would would expect to pay for a coin i wouldn't try to buy one under $300 and keep in mind when we're
22:20
looking at a 63cc coin I would say kind of typical
22:26
uncirculated for for the for the uh issue i mean if you look at them
22:31
so this would have been the one you would have gotten by chance uh if you had only ordered one coin odds are it
22:37
would have been a 63 uh but the price does start to go up when you hit the 64
22:43
well um with NGC it was 314 so from PC 341 314 to NGC and with CAC
22:52
um it turns out that you have 416 as the average price so you have a substantial
22:59
jump and that's taking both the coins into consideration
23:05
are you are you guys getting uh CAC like prices for your your NGC green holder
23:10
coins that Rico is uh putting we are and uh right now we don't have any in stock
23:17
i mean it's just because as I said buying the quality first you know you
23:22
look at the coin you see like a clean cheek a great strike no really distracting marks in the fields um on
23:29
both sides and sometimes with the Carson Cities especially you're going to have a cartwheel luster so they don't last
23:38
um as the same story is with the 64 grade PCGS average is 358 NGC is 338
23:46
with the um CAC average 420
23:52
now what I find also I should say about this going forward is that these lower
24:00
price coins don't often you're not often going to find them with the CAC sticker
24:05
um I know in talks with John he really doesn't want to grade$100 and $200 coins
24:12
because he would be inundated with them and you know obviously the amount it costs to grade them uh is prohibitive so
24:21
a lot of the auction prices that I'm looking at stretch back not just one year but maybe five years so but still
24:29
there's a a market increase in in the pricing of that and I would say if you're if you if you become a
24:35
sophisticated collector and you look at enough coins you'll develop the eye to be able
24:43
to I would say consistently be able to get a CAC sticker on a coin you know so
24:49
long as you're aware of what a dipped coin looks like or an improperly dipped coin looks like uh and so long as you're
24:56
like paying attention to things like luster originality you know die state strike
25:02
those types of things so I think the more you get familiar with the coins the
25:07
more you compare the coin you're buying against other coins on the market you're going to start to be able to develop that eye so that you'll have a higher
25:15
success rate when you submit to the CAC uh it's I always find that it's easier for sophisticated collectors to get a
25:22
higher percentage of CAC stickers to return in their submissions than it is for dealers because they're trying to
25:27
you know commercialize mini coins you know so so they the the uh the
25:33
objectives of the two different submissions are different one's uh strictly commercial although I don't
25:38
think dealers want to waste money sending inferior coins to CAC but I think a special a specialist collector
25:44
in any series is going to at some point develop and refine the skill to be able to know what a quality coin is in their
25:51
series and I I'll also say um this kind of a little secret that I probably
25:56
pretty much hasn't let out before but under a variety of different light sources you can see the differences in
26:02
the surfaces of these coins um like when I scanned a coin for an image on to put
26:09
on the website uh it's amazing the coin that did not was not endorsed by CAC can look funky
26:17
under a a scanner bed or like an ultraviolet light versus you know a
26:23
non a non a CAC coin so you know look different light sources actually can
26:29
help you think that's a factor of processing yeah yeah yeah do they do I mean too
26:36
much dipping as you mentioned earlier you know takes the life out of a coin although I don't think that they
26:41
necessarily you know judge by too much dipping but you
26:47
can tell I mean if the if a coin just doesn't have the life that it's supposed to have you know obviously it's been
26:53
processed too heavily and that that's the interesting thing about dipping too I mean for some coins one dip is too
26:59
much and for other coins true enough you know So well the early dollars I you
27:05
know you dip a coin that's like dark you know you've lost a lot of value right there and a lot of collector interest
27:12
coin becomes obscene at a certain point um 83cc 83 cc okay um do you want me to
27:19
just run through the averages yeah let's just I mean I think like like we were talking about how the 83s and 84 cc's
27:25
are pretty much like it's sort of like a you know they're they're basically siblings uh the 82 is certainly a little
27:32
tougher but the 83 and 84 these these were the the highest concentration of the Morgan dollars that got out to the
27:38
public were these two dates yeah when we get to the estimates that'll there'll be a different story on the pricing but so
27:44
355 is the average for an 83cc
27:49
PC63 300 is the average for an NGC
27:56
1883cc in 63 grade and um the CAC for
28:02
both services is 454 that's a pretty big difference for
28:08
64s average PC64 grade is 350 the average NGC grade is actually
28:15
379 um however there is a um a couple of numbers in there that
28:21
might actually throw that off like a $600 GSA remember I mentioned GSA is
28:27
going to throw it off $600 for that and another one at 456 for CAC 64 both services 570 and the
28:37
high was 1320 and I'll have to add like why do you have a huge price like that
28:43
well I bet you if we put pop up popped it up on the screen you'd see it has great color right another market
28:50
entirely um 84 cc moving on
28:56
PC63 312 12 okay that's the lowest out of any of them we had 82 at at 340 83 at
29:04
uh 3 um 50 and now we have 312 um for the 84cc and PC63 319 for the
29:14
NGC63 they're pretty much hand in hand and for the PCNG 63 uh grades 457 is
29:24
your average so you're paying a good 50% more for the CAC endorsement
29:30
do you find that like collectors are getting getting that uh some some portion of that back when they sell like
29:36
are you more interested as a as a an over-thecounter deal seeing CC Morgans of this uh these dates than
29:44
the nonCC's in with the CAC sticker yeah yeah yeah cac stickers yeah i I very rarely see
29:52
them with a CAC sticker i think that what has to happen because of of how much it costs right to you know to
29:59
submit them in and then to get them back shipping and all that i don't think a lot of people do it um there are people
30:06
out there who just insist that they do get everything CAC so maybe that's why they exist but you know with a coin at
30:13
$300 and you're paying how much to CAC that coin just about the same as
30:18
submitting it for grading so yeah like $50 you know all in maybe $70 after shipping you know it's like where's
30:25
where's the return on that um and so uh I covered the 64 grade no
30:33
did I yeah yeah mhm all right so 84 CC no 84 CC and 64 pc is
30:41
367 ngc 64 is 374 the CAC is 429
30:49
so there's a general theme here cac when you can find it gets more money and if you um I think if you're dealing with uh
30:57
somebody who recognizes that you're going to get that return it's kind of an
31:02
insurance policy if you put it at auction like Great Collections or through the STAX Bowers um you know
31:09
their collector's choice auction or the showcase auctions that they have uh you will find there's more collector
31:15
interest there yeah i I would caution people about uh uh tone coins a little bit um I
31:23
find that there's like there's a type of tone coin that absolutely every day of the week is worth more money and and
31:30
that's like really colorful doesn't have to be colorful on both sides it doesn't even have to be colorful over the entire
31:36
surface of either the obverse or reverse but it has to be vivid beautiful color
31:42
there's a difference between that and a coin that is tarnished which is to say that it's predominantly one color
31:50
perhaps it's like gold or brown or spotted or because you you'll see
31:56
sellers sometimes and these aren't usually professional dealers but sellers will you know call a coin beautifully
32:02
toned or rainbow toned when it's just tarnished and I went and I covered all
32:08
of what we just did and I we talked about the low prices right you'd be thinking that you'd be talking one grade
32:14
beneath the grade that we're discussing because of that very thing we don't buy coins for our inventory that are spotted
32:22
or have that tarnish or have that yellow if it has a rim toning you know
32:27
golden rim tone that's fine there are some people who will accept that but if
32:32
something draws your eye immediately like a spot in the ear or something like that you're like
32:37
"Wow I would put the coin down if I were you if I were looking to build this 50 coin set because that's the first thing
32:44
the next guy's going to look at when you're trying to sell it that's right so the color has to it has to be a
32:49
masterpiece with the color or we don't consider it beautifully toned uh yeah
32:57
yeah i mean you're going to have crescent you're going to have you know like or full moon toning you know like
33:04
with the colors and the color schemes are important um I've seen where coins
33:09
are toned on both sides realize astounding sums of money because that's a very unusual
33:17
situation all right so let's uh we're going to talk about I guess the the the caviar of the Morian dollar series
33:23
that's these estimate coins especially the early date estimate coins it's amazing when you think about how
33:30
difficult it was to get like the the the proper coining chemicals from the east coast to
33:37
California um and without the benefit of the Panama Canal well the
33:43
transcontinental railroad had established itself by then yeah but it's still it's a bumpy ride still yeah so so
33:50
uh but it's astonishing that uh this far away mint um was basically probably
33:56
preeminent mint in the United States when it was when it was uh making Morgan dollars these were the best looking
34:03
Morgan dollars that were ever made put Philadelphia to shame made made New
34:08
Orleans look like it was a rural backwater um don't even want to speak about the quality of uh I mean of course
34:14
the uh the Lanigan Charlotte never made silver dollars but their gold coins were pretty rough um but but these San
34:21
Francisco coins were just phenomenal a lot of dimples a lot of prooflike coins coins that won't earn those uh
34:28
characters uh classifications but still have booming blinding luster um lot of
34:36
razor sharp strikes i mean these are great coins and I think that that's what's always made them popular
34:42
i And I agree with you but I also think that even in the founding days 1854 being the first year um just think of
34:50
all the Central America gold that's come up that has that same sort of characteristic i mean they just never
34:57
seem to lose that ability to make a a great product well until they started
35:02
making Lincoln sense in the 20s all went to all went to crap um all
35:08
right so let's talk about the uh the San Francisco portion of our 50 coin set contains eight coins um so we're going
35:15
to have 1878 to 1882s inclusive uh we're going to get the 1890 and
35:21
1897s those are a little bit stretchy coins they're not going to be as cheap as the early dates and then we're going
35:26
to close it out with the 21s which is an unusual coin um and uh the uh collecting
35:33
uh community's uh understanding of the 21 has changed dramatically since the
35:39
60s that was a coin that nobody wanted they were so they were so common but as
35:44
we started to understand grading coin grading uh the 21D and the 21s became
35:49
more interesting than uh we initially realized uh but that's later we'll get to that one later so we're going to
35:55
start with the 1878s um so um it's a matter of like numismatic record that the first Morgan
36:02
dollars that were struck uh were struck uh in the San Francisco Mint they were struck on April 17th
36:09
1878 and uh by the end of the year San Francisco struck
36:14
9,774,000 of these coins which is a little bit more than what Philadelphia Mint was able to produce uh the reason
36:21
these mintages were so high is that Congress was mandating that the mint strike millions of these coins per year
36:28
uh to appease the silverites who uh wanted to see by metalism returned and thought that they were slighted when the
36:36
silver dollar was discontinued uh with the coinage act of 1873 in lie of the trade dollar mhm um so what we see here
36:45
is that most of the mintage of these 1878 S's uh and I'd say that probably
36:51
held true to the uh 79 80,81 and 82 most of these remain in storage for decades
36:58
which is why they're so plentiful in mintstate and uh and of course uh
37:03
they're no longer stored in quantity as they've been uh distributed uh but we we
37:09
start our story with the San Francisco coins with this very first issue so what what what do you think about the 78S
37:16
Ross um it follows the same line of thinking uh I think that where the PCGS coin for
37:25
this issue is going to be more desirable than the NGC coin um average for 63 PC
37:31
is 170 135 for NGC and for
37:39
CAC 175 but the 175 by the way that auction
37:46
analysis these are like the most recent 10 auction appearances that auction analysis goes
37:53
from 2023 to 2015 that's how few CAC
37:58
1878S coins in 63 grade has been made available at auction in 2018 there was a
38:05
$79,89 6971 that goes perfectly in what you were saying about how these coins
38:10
have appreciated in value because now uh you know they're trading for about
38:17
190 let's see yeah the CAC could be about a $200
38:24
coin yeah that's pretty good that's pretty good price performance yeah it's really
38:29
good and also be you know there's been some heightened interest in actually putting a first year of issue
38:37
1878 set together where you have the eight tail feather the seven tail feather reverse
38:43
7879 you have the um Carson City you have the San Francisco and then you have
38:49
the uh overdates the um um 708 tail
38:54
feathers weak and strong so we So when we get to the 1880 um I
39:02
think that I think the stri I'm sure go ahead have we missed the 64s okay okay
39:08
um uh NGC and PCGS are identical at 180
39:14
uh CAC at 258 and then we have 79s right right so so I
39:22
would say I would say that the uh 79 I would say the 79 80 and 81s I think are
39:29
like a smidge better than the uh 78 S's as far as the coins I've seen um you
39:34
mean quality qualitywise and I think the 80 81's probably the best of the best quality wise yeah right but uh but the
39:41
79s tend to tend to come really nice they do in my experience um 67 coin is
39:47
is a real sight to behold yeah so so interestingly uh for you cherry pickers
39:53
out there and I don't know how how successful you're going to be doing this but the uh 79s actually has two
39:58
different reverses and they're both red book varieties uh the second reverse obviously uh the scarcer of the two and
40:06
uh and and these are you know typically common through MS64 um so you know this is like one of
40:14
those coins honestly 79 80 81s i mean if I'm putting this set together I don't
40:19
know if I'm going with a three because there's so many fives that you can get it's a weird it's weird to me like
40:27
Yeah yeah yeah because it's almost I almost feels like it almost feels to me like you want to you want to be where the action is on a coin and you're
40:35
absolutely right about that because you know uh when you see a 65 you want that you want it when you see a 63 for an
40:44
extra $100 it's like wow I could have a 65 instead
40:50
i mean I'm glad that the set that you established you know with NGC that 50 coin set it doesn't matter what grade it
40:57
is you know you buy what you like right so and and maybe you're not like that maybe maybe you just want to get a
41:03
matching set but I'm I'm going to tell you right now an 1879 and 63 is not
41:09
going to look anything like a a a New Orleans 63 they're just not going to
41:15
look the same and and and so I don't know may May maybe if you really just want to stretch on one coin get the best
41:21
1881s or 79S you can find because at least that would be the coin you stare at all the time when you want to drool
41:27
over a coin we found that the 79s's are a little bit more difficult to find than
41:33
the 80s and 81s i for some reason I don't know i mean it just seems that there aren't as
41:40
many around there and if you go back into the boxes we have you know we might have 10 79 S's but we have 40 80 S's oh
41:48
that's interesting so what are the uh 79 S's going for now you know it's it's really it's kind of
41:55
headscratching because the average for 63 is higher than the average of the 64
42:01
is that just due to the volume of coins that are coming to market now or Well it's it's just the number i mean you know when you find somebody paying uh
42:08
264 168 for a 63 and then the last auction record for
42:14
a 64 was 145 it's got to be color or it's got to be a look but it goes back to saying you
42:21
know like you buy the coin i mean maybe these people stretched and maybe they are colorful but I'm doing the average
42:28
of the last 10 appearances and the averages don't lie you know from 125 to
42:34
140 you would think it'd be the other way around with CAC
42:39
however in 63 you have 218 and 378 so that makes more sense for
42:46
79s and for an 80s I think that the same thing apply well here you got $100 for a
42:55
63 two and a quarter for a 64 and then the CAC
43:02
differences 279 to 478 for 80s that was in
43:09
96 in in June of last year an 81S in 64 grade realized $5,280
43:18
wow you know one there's another one at a,000 and another one at 2600 so they're
43:24
not all created the same so I'm I'm going to throw you a curveball here Russ i'm on I'm looking at the recent sales
43:30
on eBay and I'm back at the 79s um there there are some banger 66 coins here for
43:38
like three to 500 bucks like really like sharp coins um but
43:44
there's also some really nasty looking coins in the same price range and I
43:49
think that that really comes down to like the collectors being you know like here here's here's example i'm just
43:56
going to describe it maybe I'll I'll I'll screenshot this and I can I can put the illustration up so you here's your
44:02
choice for $35 you can get a coin that's mostly brilliant but it's it's got dark black
44:09
and brown copper spots at 12:00 in Liberty's hair on Liberty's neck at 6:00
44:16
at the rim at 9:00 at the rim at 3:00 that sounds like a disaster or you
44:22
could pay 6 369 after 30 bids that first coin was a buy it now coin so the dealer
44:29
listed it and somebody bought it $35 the second coin had 30 bids and a PC
44:36
holder like Frost on all the devices it's like a white duck on a black
44:42
pond 69 and MS66 i mean I don't want to tell you what to do with your money maybe maybe
44:49
for some people 64 bucks is like three hours of work or something but I wouldn't pay $35 for that first coin
44:55
when the second coin was available for for 369 nobody's going to want it and I'll tell you you know I'm um I'm at the
45:04
New Hampshire show last Thursday and Friday and on Friday a guy comes up and he trades me um an MS64 Saint really
45:11
nice PC4 Saint and puts it down to a Carson City 20 he comes back and he wants to sell
45:18
me four more 63 saints and these 63 saints are the farthest cry from a a
45:25
black duck on a white pond or whatever you said as you can get and I had to refuse them even even at our published
45:32
bid price I just couldn't take them because I wouldn't want to be the guy who sells somebody those coins
45:42
i mean it's it's that eBay example right there they got to go somewhere and you
45:47
know it's a different market entirely yeah you you definitely don't want to like you don't want to be the dealer
45:52
that has a an a fixed price list out there marketing a coin and deliver that
45:58
coin but it's nasty because you're going to get it back like threearters of the time you send it out and it's just a and
46:05
then you've damaged your reputation you've uh you've wasted money and time you wasted the collector's time it's
46:11
just I'm afraid that this these coins are destined for a telemarketing operation to sell to somebody who's
46:17
never actually seen the coins before and we kind of anticipate or expect the coins to look like that you know and
46:24
then they find out years later when they go to sell it that well we really don't want it like in the case in my case or
46:32
they get a deep discount bid offer yeah yeah absolutely um I mean I've
46:40
never seen I honestly I've never seen coins like that in your case
46:46
so it won't do it all right the 81s i mean this is my favorite coin of the
46:51
series honestly from a from a look perspective um well like when you close your eyes and
46:57
imagine an 81S I mean first of all can can you identify this coin if someone
47:03
covered the date could you do you think you reasonably would be able to tell it's an 81S by look
47:11
well the booming luster is one thing it's going to like narrow it down to an 80 or an 81 but I think an 81 is like a
47:17
little bit darker field you know when you look at it i know it's hard to say darker with silver more contrast with
47:25
the luster I guess yeah or a deeper reflectivity yeah yeah yeah because you
47:30
know you are talking about the a year later they have perfected they've gone through 365 days of making one date and
47:36
now they're going on to make another so I would they maybe had a special way of polishing the dies before um they struck
47:44
them or keeping them polished because most of them look the same yeah they're
47:49
they're just phenomenal coins um and again like you know I know we're focusing on threes and fours but you
47:56
know if you're going to get a $400 you know tougher date coin why do you want a
48:02
70 $80 like coin that could come really awesome for $300 or $400 but like I said
48:07
it's a choice you're going to have to make um well if you're looking for one particular coin to give as a gift the
48:13
81S would certainly be on the top of the list right it wouldn't be necessarily for the 100-year-old grandfather but you
48:20
know like a 50-y year anniversary or something like that would might be appropriate or just to get any kid
48:27
interested in coins 80 81s would be a great great way to
48:33
start yeah uh so we get the uh well especially now that they're
48:38
they're remaking they're they're making tributes to the Morgan and Peace Dollars the mint is those coins look perfect
48:47
essentially because they are but they don't look like no Morgan dollar ever really look like that so if you want to
48:52
get a as close to perfect looking coin from the original Morgan dollar run the
48:57
81S as a gift along with maybe your annual gift of a you know get them their
49:03
birth year 2024 25 Morgan dollar tribute coin or if the mint continues to make
49:09
them every year you know you get them one of those but they but they get the original one from this this perfect date
49:15
uh so that they can compare the uh the the the the real thing against the modern version all right so all right
49:22
let's move on 82 this is the last of the uh the cheapies for the uh the the 1880s
49:28
from San Francisco um there was you know there were quite a few 83s that were struck too if you're
49:35
like one of those mintage looking at mintages in the red book uh but the deal with the 83s is that it's one of those
49:41
conditional rarities uh once you get to a mint state so it it doesn't that means that many of those coins would have
49:48
circulated or been melted over the years there wasn't a huge inventory of them that were released in mint state um so
49:55
those those wouldn't make our list because of that um but the I think the 82s is one of those overlooked coins
50:02
because the 81s is so popular and come so nice but I would say that the two dates are kind of equivalent in
50:08
availability but I would no you don't think so not at all no I disagree and I
50:15
only say that not from trading experience but I know how difficult it is to find 82s's here to put our 20 and
50:22
30 coin sets together all right tell me about it what do you got to go through to get them just we just don't find them
50:29
nice it's crazy i I mean they this 82s stands alone from the 79 80 and 81s in
50:37
my mind and and certainly you know Ryan who puts the has the program together here at Rare Co ryan Ryan Cook uh he's
50:45
always saying I'm looking for 82s's so what's it about it what do you think
50:51
because like when you look at the certified uh population reports you look at what was available how many bags are
50:56
distributed you wouldn't think there'd be a huge difference but what is it i honestly can't tell you but all I know
51:03
is that um you know we have a hard time finding the coins
51:10
so I think I I have I will say this i've seen more toned 82S's than I've seen 79
51:17
80 and 81 which then if you're selling white sets you have to dip and then like
51:25
uh send into the grading services or have them do the uh do the conservation
51:31
for you which gets into a complete hassle but you need the coin for the set
51:38
so then what what how does that impact the uh the price on the AI 82S then
51:44
uh one and a quarter to 270 but with CAC I see a lot more activity like um you
51:52
have $383 for 63 versus a non CAC at
51:59
128 and for a CAC 64 500
52:07
versus two uh sorry 500 versus uh
52:14
350 between the grades so that's a those prices are far greater than the 80 80 79 80 and 81
52:25
S's all right so uh let's we got two more uh or three more I guess we got the
52:32
1890s um so this is the uh I would call this a one of the reach coins in our
52:37
list of this San Francisco date run uh but I think uh I think this is one of
52:42
those underappreciated coins and choice to gem grades um Lavar Redfield I think had
52:48
about 20 bags of these uh but a lot of those are really banged up um a lot of
52:54
uh counting counting wheel marks uh were put on the coins when they were processed before they were distributed
52:59
by Paramount um and uh you know which is a shame because you know otherwise these
53:05
are usually well struck coins but there's a pretty big price jump I think when you get from 64 to 65
53:13
and then so so you're looking at the 34 grade is kind of like your your everyday man collector uh grade but it's still uh
53:21
this coin is still uh several hundred so what what what can you tell me about it is this a coin that uh you guys get a
53:27
lot of requests for at uh Rare Coil well we we get the request because we
53:33
we're constantly um selling other companies the sets that
53:38
we make you know so not in a 20 coin set not in a 30 but the 50 coin set this is
53:45
a requirement so we're that's where our demand comes from um so we are market
53:50
makers in all of these states but in particular you know these harder to find
53:57
the price um for 90s is going to be 50% higher than a common date in 63 grade
54:05
and it's going to be probably 100% higher than a common date in 64 grade
54:13
the average is 150 versus 275 for 63 and 64 and when you get to CAC you're
54:21
talking 235 to 355 63 to 64 so I mean it's there are
54:27
more CACs I think out there because the coin's value is greater and it just
54:33
seems to be more marketable if you buy a CAC to a thoughtful and intelligent
54:40
market participant but then again if you look at the coins like we were talking about
54:46
with the 80s the 81s and you buy what really appeals to you the chances are
54:51
very good that it's going to appeal to the next buyer when you sell it all right so uh country goes through a
54:59
pretty pretty uh pretty tough time economically in 1893 uh which is why the uh 80 1893 uh
55:08
CC and Smint coins are mega rarities um but the uh first date that we get is
55:16
sort of the penultimate of our San Francisco list where the coins become affordable again uh to the average
55:22
collector is going to be the 1897s this is another one of the Redfield
55:27
dates uh again he had over 20 bags of this date as well uh but you could you
55:33
could probably get this bag you know from uh banks and the treasury through the early 60s um and uh they were
55:40
distributed over time um but the coin still is kind of scarce in gem and uh
55:46
you know so the 34 grades are kind of the affordable date uh the affordable grades in this once you start getting
55:53
above 6566 it becomes it becomes uh you know definitely a coin you have to uh
55:58
spend some money on so uh would you you you would agree this is kind of like the 90s this is like one of the semi keys to
56:05
our 50 coin set here yes without a doubt in fact I think it's harder to find and
56:10
it's going to be more expensive than the 90s um in 63 it's a $200
56:18
coin in 64 it's going to be a $300 coin um and CAC is it's 240 maybe sort of a a
56:27
20% over under the 63 grade and it's 375 on the 64
56:36
so another 20% added to it which is a far cry from the 100% that or maybe more
56:42
that you're going to see with the cheaper coins maybe it's because they just don't exist um but at least it comes you can
56:50
you can isolate and be confident that it
56:55
a CAC is going to cost you 20% more than a nonCA either right
57:02
so uh we're going to get here to the uh to the last uh coin in fact uh actually I'm going to I'm going to double dip
57:08
here because I I think we we should we probably should talk about the Denver Mint coin too uh but we got we're like
57:14
on the 21D and the 21S Morgan dollars um so the the fact of the matter is that uh
57:23
during the uh World War I the United States Congress through its uh Lin Lee
57:29
program uh started to uh you know get involved in the war effort before it
57:35
actually got involved and one of the ways it helped the uh the British Empire was to sell it hundreds of millions of
57:42
ounces of silver which it um then replenished by statute
57:47
uh and that silver came from uh these unused uh silver dollars which were converted into bullion shipped over and
57:54
then they became struck by the the British into Indian rupees to sort of u
57:59
shore up the uh faith and credit in the their economic system uh part of
58:05
Germany's total war effort was to undermine the British currency
58:10
so uh in 1921 you know the war is over uh but the uh the the the price has come
58:18
due on on re restriking these coins that have been melted and uh so what do they
58:24
do they re resuscitate the dormant Morgan dollar which hadn't been struck
58:29
since 1904 and they start striking hundreds of millions of coins now at the
58:35
same time you know Faren Zerbe and other collectors at the ANA were hustling
58:40
around trying to get um some support to create the peace dollar a peace dollar
58:46
i'm not suggesting that the one that was made was the one they had in mind but they were trying to get a coin to
58:51
commemorate peace and they figured that this was just as good a time as any to do it uh so you know obviously by the
58:57
end of the year uh after hundreds of millions of Morgan dollars are struck the mint starts to experiment with
59:03
Anthony D francis's peace dollar design eventually they they strike some and uh
59:10
in 22 we start to see that as a circulating coin um the 21 coins I from
59:17
all accounts I got from the uh you know the old-timers who are depleting the
59:22
Treasury stockpile of coins is they wanted any date any bag but uh but the
59:28
21s um because like they just essentially were bullion coins there's so many of them there's no market for it
59:36
um they were created with completely new hubs so they don't they aren't exactly
59:41
like the same as the original 878 to to 1904 Morgans um and uh they are unusual
59:49
in the sense that the Denver Mint strikes its first Morgan and only Morgan dollar that year uh the Denver Mint
59:54
wasn't operational until the uh you know 1906 um and they weren't making Morgan
1:00:00
dollars then uh so you get the Philly strike which is got the highest mintage
1:00:05
uh you get the Denver and the San Francisco strike which you know have many many millions of coins
1:00:13
um but turns out the Denver and San Francisco coins are kind of
1:00:18
conditionally scarce in gem or superb gem grades which gives them a different
1:00:23
character than we ever anticipated before coin grading became a thing before then it was just they were junk
1:00:30
and now they're considered a little bit they're treated differently in the market um so um I think I think it's
1:00:38
kind of it's kind of a tough coin to get in Jim a 21s um you know it's not as tough as
1:00:45
some other dates but it's for a common coin it's it's not a common grade
1:00:51
21s I I'll say this that it's a really hard coin to locate that's nice because you
1:00:58
have that softness of strike you don't have it well struck up like you do have
1:01:03
some of the other San Francisco mint coins it's kind of flat but it often
1:01:09
times can take on a luster that you don't see you wouldn't expect especially when you compare them
1:01:15
to the 21 or the 21D um for 63 it's like $130 coin and for 64 it's two and a
1:01:23
quarter maybe um and the CAC prices would
1:01:28
be 160 again 20% more um and 275 another
1:01:35
maybe 20 or 30% more for a 64 grade and and you're going to find
1:01:42
pretty much a similar story with the Dint coins um so like I said this is the
1:01:48
50 coin set it's a marathon not a sprint um you know so I I just invite anybody
1:01:54
who wants to take on this this task to to do your research on each individual date before you buy them um you know be
1:02:02
judicious about the coins you you you uh pick uh best if you have coin shows in
1:02:08
your area or if you can travel to one to buy directly from a reputable dealer after you look at the coins in hand but
1:02:15
u you know there are opportunities uh with return privileges from many of the nationally known dealers including Rare
1:02:22
Koa that you can you can you can make a purchase and as long as you're not you know abusing the system that you know
1:02:27
they'll you tell them what they want they try to send it to you if it doesn't work out maybe get a different coin but um also if you want to buy them back
1:02:34
when definitely deal with somebody who wants to buy the coins back if you uh started
1:02:40
collecting your Morgan 50 set I would say when we did our first video you probably already ahead so um you know if
1:02:47
you're getting started now it's not too late silver's still cheap and uh these coins are are still available and you
1:02:54
know um it's an exciting time to collect indeed thank you Russ have a great week
1:03:00
you're going to a show uh Central States right yeah I got Central States actually this afternoon um running through the
1:03:08
week and that's going to be that's going to be a pretty interesting show for sure you got a big coin you're going to have
1:03:13
at your Bors your table i will have several i have two of the Kentucky Horde
1:03:20
1863 $20 gold pieces so one is they're both 63
1:03:25
grade one is Ced and one is not you ever You ever sell that gold coin we
1:03:32
were looking at i was looking at with that that collector at the show did he end up buying your
1:03:37
coin remember the one I I walked to uh I walked to the other dealer they wanted to compare it oh yeah very good yeah he
1:03:45
did buy it he bought the SS Republic 186420 so he bought he bought your coin he did
1:03:52
he did indeed and uh and now um he's on to uh he and and his wife very pleasant
1:03:59
pleasant people good to work with they're now on to buying a Civil War $3 gold piece right that was the uh that
1:04:06
was the uh the softest selling tactic I've ever I've ever deployed on somebody taking them to your competitor's table
1:04:14
telling them good and bad things about both coins and letting them make their own decision it's the right thing to do but you know what sometimes you can't
1:04:20
you can't beat a good story right all right Russ well good good i'm glad I was
1:04:25
able to help at least in some small way oh Charles you help out more than you know all right well take it easy have a
1:04:33
great uh uh trip at Central States and uh sell sell