0:00
I'm not entirely sure that the
0:01
relationship between Trump and musk will
0:02
last they're very very different people
0:05
in in some ways in political and and
0:08
economic ways we're seeing with with the
0:10
move from Baby Boomers to Gen X to to
0:13
gen Zed for the first time we've got a
0:15
generation who will be worse off than
0:16
their parents that's virtually
0:18
unprecedented in history you know
0:19
talking about mental health we know that
0:21
the biggest single killer of men under
0:25
suicide hello welcome to freeth thinking
0:28
where we go through the sharpest
0:30
analysis and boldest opinion fresh from
0:31
the comment pages of city with me Alice
0:34
Demby opinion and features editor of
0:37
City this week we'll be talking about
0:39
Elon Musk and where the falls in Tesla
0:41
sales are assigned that the magga
0:42
billionaire is paying the price for
0:44
mixing business with politics We'll be
0:46
asking whether gen Zed would fight in a
0:48
war and I'll be saying that you should
0:49
be thinking about men on this
0:51
International women's day joining me to
0:53
discuss this is writer businessman
0:55
former clerk at the House of Commons and
0:57
City columnist Elliot Wilson Elliot
1:00
thanks so much for joining me um so you
1:01
wrote a really popular column for us
1:03
this week about Elon Musk um always
1:05
makes for great copy um Talk us through
1:07
your argument well it occurred to me
1:10
that um I read that Tesla sales in
1:12
Europe had fallen quite sharply there's
1:14
obviously a difference I think emerging
1:17
quite starkly between Donald Trump's
1:18
popularity in America where it seems to
1:20
be holding up reasonably well um and his
1:23
popularity in Europe which is is much
1:25
lower and there are cultural reasons for
1:26
that and and political reasons but if
1:30
there is a factor there in in Tesla
1:32
sales going down then it says something
1:34
quite interesting about the way that
1:35
businesses approach politics because
1:37
there has been uh an idea for a long
1:40
time that for example the people on the
1:42
right have said that businesses
1:44
shouldn't get into ESG or into diversity
1:47
equity and inclusion because these are
1:49
political decisions and there will be a
1:50
backlash no I think that's absolutely
1:53
true but what we're seeing actually as
1:54
as a first step is is that the opposite
1:56
is happening because people are looking
1:58
people in Europe anyway are looking at
1:59
how El musk is acting as a kind of
2:01
representative of the Trump
2:02
Administration and they don't like what
2:04
they see it would seem and at least some
2:06
of them are therefore you know making
2:09
commercial decisions on that basis yeah
2:11
I think what I found really interesting
2:12
about your piece is that people have
2:13
talked before about the dangers of sort
2:15
of going woke go woke broke go broke
2:17
we've seen things like um Bud Light
2:19
sales dropped when they uh had a a
2:22
certain influencer uh advertising for
2:24
them but actually I think you know so
2:26
we've we've seen it happen on the left
2:27
but now we're sort of seeing it on the
2:29
right and I think that that that's a
2:31
really interesting phenomenon well it's
2:33
as if you know people on the right
2:35
forgot but accused the left of
2:37
forgetting that the market will decide
2:39
these things you know people will make
2:41
their purchasing decisions based on all
2:42
sorts of factors and if you don't appeal
2:44
to your potential market then they'll go
2:47
somewhere else and you know Elon Musk is
2:49
is a very successful uh head of a an
2:52
electric vehicles company but there are
2:54
other products out there and if people
2:56
don't want to buy a Tesla then it's not
2:58
their only option so you know both both
3:00
sides of the Divide are being reminded
3:01
of the reality of market economics which
3:03
is probably a good thing yeah I suppose
3:04
it probably is a good thing I reminds me
3:06
I think it was Milton fredman who said
3:08
about social responsibility that it's
3:09
essentially a socialist idea to have any
3:12
to have political forces rather than
3:14
Market forces deciding things and that
3:16
you know the point of businesses is to
3:18
make profits right I mean absolutely you
3:21
know the businesses are there to make
3:22
profits for their shareholders they're
3:24
perfectly entitled to engage in in you
3:27
know social and and cultural activities
3:29
and political activities but that comes
3:31
at a risk and I think you need to accept
3:33
that and I think what perhaps the left
3:35
didn't accept for a long time was that
3:38
decisions which seemed to them
3:39
impeccably Progressive and Universal
3:42
wouldn't be shared by everyone and now
3:44
the right is finding that their
3:45
principles are also not necessarily
3:47
universally shared but you know you you
3:49
take a risk as a business getting into
3:51
any controversial area and you're
3:53
perfectly entitled to do that but you
3:54
can't then complain if if the market
3:56
bites you back it it seems unprecedented
3:58
to me um I I think there's there's an
4:01
interesting Duality though of
4:03
appearances and reality because Elon
4:05
Musk is making a lot of noise and he's
4:07
very good at that and if you own X then
4:10
you you've got a good platform you've
4:11
got you know however many millions
4:13
hundreds of millions of people who will
4:14
read your your comments at every time of
4:16
the day um and he's made a big impact
4:19
you know he's virtually closed down USA
4:21
ID uh he's got various Federal programs
4:24
a federal jobs some of that is now being
4:27
rolled back by the courts some of that
4:30
has had to be reinstated because they
4:31
realize they've sacked the wrong people
4:34
um so there's still a question mark and
4:36
it occurred to me the other day that you
4:37
know we're not yet two months from the
4:39
inauguration you know it's very very
4:41
early days days we've got another 46
4:43
months of this um and also I'm not
4:46
entirely sure that the relationship
4:47
between Trump and musk will last because
4:49
they're they're very very different
4:51
people in in some ways in political and
4:54
and economic ways and to a great extent
4:57
I mean El musk essentially believes in
5:00
in free trade and you know market
5:01
economics Trump doesn't so I think that
5:04
relationship May explode at some point
5:06
but there is this question of how much
5:10
when it all shakes out in 12 18 months
5:13
two years how much will actually have
5:15
happened um and how much will have been
5:17
a kind of fever dream for us all that
5:19
look back on and think oh that was all
5:21
nothing wasn't it I think this is funny
5:23
there's a very odd tension in the
5:25
relationship between Trump and musk
5:27
because on the one hand musk is sort of
5:28
cutting all this wasteful spending
5:30
and on the other hand Trump is saying oh
5:31
we're going to put an American flag on
5:33
Mars which is presumably going to be
5:34
Elon SpaceX that does it I think what
5:37
we're having to realize is that Donald
5:39
Trump doesn't have an ideology in any
5:41
conventional sense he believes in in
5:44
certain things I mean I I keep going
5:46
back to the argument that that John
5:47
Bolton his his former National Security
5:49
adviser made that he doesn't have
5:50
beliefs he has sort of little
5:51
archipelagos of ideas and if you try to
5:54
stitch them together you're on a Fool's
5:55
errand you know he he believes in
5:57
tariffs not because of Any economic
5:59
reason but because there a kind of power
6:02
battle between between countries um he
6:05
doesn't really necessarily believe in in
6:07
small government or or the free market
6:09
he believes in it for certain ideas but
6:11
in other times you know as you say he
6:13
wants to put an American flag on Mars
6:15
for no apparent reason um so I think
6:17
we've got somebody who in Elon Musk is a
6:20
very strange character and a very very
6:23
odd and and unpredictable man but he
6:26
does have a recognizable ideological
6:28
base and just doesn't and doesn't see
6:31
the need for one he doesn't care um and
6:33
so when we look at Trump I think we
6:35
always have to recognize and we're
6:36
seeing this more and more in this
6:38
Administration than we did in the first
6:40
that the the rules don't apply to him
6:42
anymore and I think you can see that so
6:44
clearly playing out in what's currently
6:46
happening with the war in Ukraine Donald
6:48
Trump doesn't have a kind of moral
6:50
attitude to this he doesn't see Russia
6:51
as being wrong um he doesn't see Ukraine
6:55
as a victim here he just wants to make a
6:57
deal um and this puts Britain in a very
7:00
difficult position as uh I think the
7:01
next thing we're going to talk about
7:02
James Price's column talks about we are
7:04
now in a period of rearmament we in a
7:08
dangerous place in Europe um and we're
7:11
very possibly going to have to be
7:12
deploying troops on the ground in
7:15
Ukraine and the real question is who are
7:17
who are these people going to be if we
7:19
need to massively expand the Army how
7:21
are we going to get gen Zed to sign up
7:23
we've seen polling showing that they
7:25
were not prepared to fight for their
7:26
country well that's the thing I mean
7:28
there are lots of problems with the arm
7:29
forces and you know spending is one of
7:31
them equipment is another but
7:33
recruitment has been a long-standing
7:35
problem and that's not a financial issue
7:37
that's people are not joining in the
7:39
same numbers as they're leaving um now
7:42
you can pick that apart in all sorts of
7:43
ways and and try to understand why they
7:45
don't want to career in the armed forces
7:47
I mean getting shot at is is not is not
7:50
most people's idea of fun although what
7:53
we did see when we were you know
7:54
properly deployed in Afghanistan and
7:56
Iraq was that people joined up because
7:58
that's what soldiers want to do
8:00
um but yes you you have a a younger
8:02
generation who don't look at the world
8:05
in the same way they don't it would seem
8:07
to me I mean I'm saying this is somebody
8:08
in their late 40s as having any kind of
8:11
sense of uh service without immediate
8:15
payback and of of a a sense of you know
8:19
being focused on their own well-being I
8:20
mean you you see it bleeding through
8:22
into the working from home issue if if
8:24
people are saying I can't come into the
8:25
office because it makes me anxious well
8:27
if your office is you know forward
8:29
operating base in in Ukraine with the
8:31
Russians 200 yards away that's going to
8:34
become even less attractive and you
8:35
can't work from home yeah I mean so but
8:39
I think you could say I I I often think
8:41
that this um stereotype of gen Zed as
8:44
kind of um snowflakey woke worrying
8:47
about their mental well-being all the
8:48
time is possibly a bit overblown and I
8:50
think you know if you look how bravely
8:52
Ukrainian soldiers have thought could
8:53
would you necessarily have predicted
8:55
that they would that they would do that
8:56
you know if you if you are facing an
8:58
existential threat I think there's a
9:00
strong chance that people will step up I
9:02
think that that's a fair point I was
9:04
thinking about this earlier um you know
9:05
in 1933 famously the Oxford Union said
9:08
that it would under no circumstances
9:10
fight and die for our country six years
9:12
later they all did yeah um and you know
9:14
the people at that debate in 1933 will
9:16
have been disproportionately people who
9:18
went straight into into battle when we
9:20
were eventually engaged in France in in
9:22
1940 so yeah I think there is an easy
9:25
stereotype and partly it's fulfilled by
9:28
the most vocal parts of Jen said yeah um
9:30
the people who get the most air time and
9:32
partly I think we indulge it ourselves
9:33
because we want an explanation for why
9:36
the world has changed and so older
9:38
people like me and I fully hold my hands
9:39
on to being an older person uh says oh
9:41
it's because the young people don't want
9:42
to do any work or they're scared or
9:44
they're anxious or they're having you
9:45
know a duvet day and I think that's
9:48
simplistic there's a grain of Truth in
9:50
it I'm sure um but also employers have
9:53
got to take a degree of responsibility
9:55
because they've allowed this to happen I
9:57
mean when we've talked about working
9:58
from home there's been a lot of talk
10:00
about you know what will people accept
10:02
what won't they accept if it's in your
10:04
contract you work from the office you
10:06
can tell people to work in the office
10:08
they might leave and that's another
10:09
problem but you know there's been a lot
10:12
of very tentative negotiations about
10:14
what you can and can't ask people to do
10:16
and it seems to me that in the real
10:18
world you have employers and employees
10:20
you want good relations between the two
10:22
but at the same time there's a
10:23
contractual obligation and it's written
10:25
down on paper yeah I couldn't agree with
10:27
you more and I think the other thing
10:28
about jenz I mean you you talked about
10:30
um the idea of payback I do think that
10:33
one of the reasons why perhaps Jen gen
10:35
don't feel so patriotic or like that
10:37
that they maybe that they owe something
10:38
to their country is because their
10:40
economic prospects are so narrow it's so
10:44
difficult to get a house you know your
10:45
your the sort of wealth accumulated by
10:47
older Generations is not you know you're
10:49
not going to have as good a life as your
10:51
parents did um and I think that's a
10:53
major reason for many of their travails
10:55
I think that that is a problem I mean
10:57
we're seeing with with the move from you
11:00
know baby boomers to to Gen X to to gen
11:02
Zed for the first time we've got a
11:04
generation who will be worse off than
11:06
their parents virtually unprecedented in
11:09
history um and what's made it worse I
11:11
think in this country certainly is that
11:13
we've had political parties both
11:15
political parties but the conservatives
11:16
been particularly guilty of this who
11:18
have gone out of their way to reinforce
11:21
the economic security of of older people
11:23
because you know the triple lock on
11:25
pensions is inviable we cannot possibly
11:29
dementia tax in in 2017 was not an
11:32
unreasonable proposition at base that
11:34
people would pay for some of their own
11:35
social care but you know anything which
11:37
touches on the wealth of older voters
11:39
particularly for conservatives is seen
11:41
as absolutely disastrous and so you do
11:43
have younger people who are are looking
11:45
certainly if you need to work in London
11:47
who are looking at impossibly
11:49
unaffordable Life Choices this brings me
11:52
on to Aon that I wrote this week There's
11:54
a new report out from the center for
11:56
social justice looking into the really
11:58
diminishing prospects particularly for
12:00
young men and it's found that the gender
12:02
pay Gap uh for 16 to 20 24 year old boys
12:06
is actually now reversed women now are
12:07
earning about 10% more than young men
12:10
many of these young men are not in uh
12:14
not in education or training many are
12:15
signed off work with mental health
12:17
problems this is a real problem for this
12:19
upcoming generation and I think it's
12:20
what it's a problem that's going to
12:21
affect both genders ultimately um not
12:24
just because uh having so many people
12:27
economically inactive is terrible for
12:28
our growth prospects but also because
12:31
it's we're seeing it create a political
12:33
divide between young men and women
12:34
particularly with the surge of support
12:36
among young men for reform while women
12:38
are going much more to the left um so I
12:41
think this is a real problem and
12:42
something to be perhaps thinking about
12:43
with International women's day on
12:45
Saturday absolutely I mean we were
12:47
talking about the increasing on
12:48
affordability of property we've
12:50
transformed ourselves into a society
12:51
where to buy property essentially need
12:53
to be a two inome household yeah and if
12:56
men are therefore suffering because
12:58
they're they're earning less or are less
13:00
in employment than women then women are
13:01
affected just as much as men um but no I
13:04
I think there's there's a sense I
13:06
suspect a lot of people think oh but but
13:09
that can't be true because you know men
13:10
have always been you know doing better
13:12
out of the system and of course
13:13
traditionally men have been doing better
13:15
out of the system but that it has
13:17
flipped even slightly is is not
13:19
surprising and if it's supported by the
13:20
data we need to look at that so one of
13:22
the things in the center for social
13:24
justice report some of the uh issues
13:25
that they cite as being particularly
13:27
damaging to men are things like crime um
13:30
men are more likely to be victims of
13:32
crime but also more likely to be
13:33
criminals themselves um it also
13:36
fatherlessness um and uh pornography
13:39
addiction uh men are far more likely to
13:41
watch pornography than women it's it's
13:43
essentially a product that's created for
13:45
male consumers and is there not a point
13:47
here that in those respects men are
13:50
victims of themselves I mean feckless
13:52
fatherless sexual perversion and
13:54
criminality these are male problems
13:56
there is an element of that I mean the
13:58
truth is that violent crime is largely a
14:00
male trait you know women don't commit
14:03
violent crime against one another or
14:04
against men on anything like the same
14:07
scale is vanishingly small um you know
14:09
the number of of female prisoners who
14:10
are there for violent crimes is Tiny um
14:13
and I think yes you you have
14:16
availability of things like pornography
14:17
and increasingly extreme pornography um
14:20
which is is leading to social problems
14:23
but you know we're all in this together
14:25
I think and that's you know in a strange
14:28
way we have to disregard the the gap
14:31
between the sexes in order to solve the
14:33
obvious gap which exists now yeah um we
14:35
we've got to work together because we're
14:36
all going suffer from this yeah
14:38
absolutely and we've all got to work
14:39
together we've got to raise families
14:40
together we've all got to stake in our
14:42
future growth and prosperity so as you
14:44
say we do need to look at where these
14:46
pay gaps exist and where the real
14:48
disadvantage lies you know talking about
14:50
mental health we know that the biggest
14:53
single killer of men under 40 is suicide
14:55
and that's extraordinary you know
14:58
nothing else comes close to Men actually
14:59
ending their own lives and there's an
15:01
awful lot to be unpacked from that um
15:04
but there is I think that political
15:06
divide you touched on um I mean reform
15:09
UK for example have have been very
15:11
successful at doing what the the Maga
15:14
movement in America has done what the
15:15
afd are doing in Germany what to an
15:17
extent the national rally are doing in
15:18
France which is harnessing people who
15:20
are are just unhappy with the situation
15:24
and that's much easier to do than to
15:26
offer Solutions if you just say look
15:28
it's not working for you is it so vote
15:30
for us because we're not the guys who
15:32
have made it not work yeah and a protest
15:34
party um is is very easy to to get off
15:38
the ground it's once you sort of get to
15:40
that next stage where I think reform UK
15:42
are starting to to find it more
15:44
difficult things like their policies on
15:45
on uh Net Zero and climate change where
15:48
they came a little unstuck um you know
15:50
if if you just say to people we feel
15:52
your pain people will vote for you on
15:55
that and you can get a long way with
15:56
that yeah and I think one of the things
15:57
that they're saying particularly young
15:59
men is that you have a voice we hear you
16:01
and you matter U but I think this also
16:03
brings us right back round to uh to
16:06
Trump and musk I think that uh farage
16:08
having thrown his lot in so decisively
16:11
with Donald Trump May well come back to
16:12
bite him this may well be the thing that
16:14
brings reform unstuck because patriotic
16:16
Brits are appalled by his treatment of
16:18
Vladimir zinski I think he is finding
16:21
that you know actions have consequences
16:24
um he clearly traded for a while on his
16:27
his relationship with Donald Trump
16:29
whether it's as close as he claims we
16:31
don't know you know you hear insiders in
16:33
the Trump Circle say we we're not really
16:35
sure who this guy is um but farage talks
16:38
a good game he's a brilliant campaigner
16:40
he's not really a politician at all but
16:42
he's a great campaigner but yes Trump is
16:45
is going to be problematic because once
16:48
you've tied yourself to him he comes
16:51
with all sorts of of issues and he's
16:53
completely unpredictable as well yeah um
16:55
and I think yes you know people looked
16:57
at you know the the the over office
16:59
encounter on on Friday with Trump uh
17:01
vice president Vance and president
17:03
zalinski and I think a lot of people in
17:05
this country will have thought zilinski
17:08
was being you know basically told that
17:10
he wasn't grateful enough and wasn't
17:11
wearing a suit I mean the man has you
17:14
know given away all his money to to his
17:16
country he's under constant fear of
17:19
assassination as is his family and he
17:22
decided and you know brilliant at the
17:24
beginning of the war um that he wasn't
17:25
going to leave Kiev he he said I don't
17:27
need a ride I need ammunition and I
17:30
think that kind of straightforward
17:34
honesty and maybe it goes back to to
17:36
what you were saying about you know uh
17:37
International women's day and the the
17:39
diminution of of masculine values that
17:41
kind of Bravery um in sort of a very
17:44
male bravery just not say that women
17:46
aren't Brave at all but you know sort of
17:47
stereotypically male bravery in the face
17:49
of combat um has has struck a cord with
17:51
British people that's a really nice note
17:53
to end on on valuing the masculine
17:55
quality of bravery and thank you very
17:57
much Elliot for wearing a suit today I
17:59
appreciate it pleasure