Trump says liberal judges are blocking his agenda — data suggests otherwise
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Jun 13, 2025
President Trump has been outspoken against judges he calls "sick" for blocking his agenda, but data shows he's losing with liberals and conservatives alike.
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President Trump's loss rate in federal district court is getting worse by the month
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In February, district judges were ruling against him approximately 53 percent of the time
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In May, that went up to 96 percent. The president noticed. On Memorial Day, he posted on Truth Social a happy holiday to all, including
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USA hating judges who suffer from an ideology that is sick and very dangerous for our country
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The blistering criticism of the federal judiciary by the president and some Republicans in Congress alleges bias from liberal judges and an effort to halt his agenda
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But the data reveals both liberal and conservative judges are ruling against President Trump at nearly identical rates
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Liberal judges have ruled against Trump in 84 percent of cases, while conservative jurists have sided with his opponents 82 percent of the time
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according to an ysis by Stanford University political science professor Adam Bonica
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That ysis was released March 18. Bonica's new data indicates Trump's losing streak has worsened since that time
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The rulings come in multiple forms, temporary restraining orders, injunctions, or a final decision based on the merits of the case
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Bonica wrote, This isn't partisan opposition to Trump. It's the judiciary functioning as intended by cutting across partisan lines to uphold the Constitution
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Bonica ysis included 32 cases in which liberal judges presided and 11 cases overseen by conservative judges Liberal judges are hearing significantly more cases due to geography and venue shopping
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or forum shopping as it's also called. It's done by both liberal and conservatives
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They file litigation in a court or with a judge that's perceived to be friendly toward their issue
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So they're able to file their case, pick where they want to file their case based on those factors
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and where they think they will have the best chance for success. For instance, after President Biden tried to end the Remain in Mexico policy from Trump's first term
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Texas and Missouri filed suit in the Amarillo division of the Northern District of Texas
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That court has a single presiding judge, Matthew J. Casemarck, a Trump appointee who has a history of conservative legal advocacy
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Casemarck granted the plaintiffs a stay, ordering the Biden administration to enforce Remain in Mexico
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which required asylum seekers to wait in Mexico while their case makes its way through the courts
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What separates a conservative judge from a liberal judge is often different than what separates a conservative politician from a liberal politician
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As Georgetown law professor David Super explained, conservative judges are often originalists, meaning they seek to interpret the Constitution, laws, and provisions
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based on how they were understood at the time they were written
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LIBERAL JUDGES BELIEVE THE COUNTRY'S PRINCIPLES HAVE EVOLVED OVER TIME AND THAT JUDICIAL RULING SHOULD REFLECT THAT EVOLUTION ALTHOUGH THAT DOESN ALWAYS APPLY YOU HAVE A LOT OF ISSUES THAT ARE PRETTY CLEAR ISSUES OF LAW AND IT DOESN Judicial ruling should reflect that evolution although that doesn always apply You have a lot of issues that are pretty clear issues of law and it doesn matter who the judge is on those cases
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As an example, President Trump signed an executive order in March that, in essence, banned the federal government from doing business with the law firm WilmerHale
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Trump claimed the firm's actions threaten national security and limit constitutional freedoms
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His reasoning? They hired Robert Mueller and some of his deputies after they completed the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election
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A conservative George W. Bush appointee struck down the WilmerHale order. Judge Richard Leon wrote in his ruling, quote
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The cornerstone of the American system of justice is an independent judiciary
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and an independent bar willing to tackle unpopular cases, however daunting. The founding fathers knew this
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The Trump administration argued WilmerHale's statements that it would be harmed by the executive order
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are, quote, speculation. Judge Leon responded, quote, this argument is absurd. It's very clear
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there also have been some cases that have been brought against the administration that have not
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had the basic requirements to be heard in court to establish jurisdiction. And very, very liberal
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judges have rejected those cases as well as conservative ones. Judge James Boesberg, who
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Republicans said should be impeached for his rulings against Trump, declined to halt deportation
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flights After the ACLU filed an emergency appeal Boesberg stated he was sympathetic to their cause but didn believe he had the authority to issue a nationwide restraining order
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because the Supreme Court ruled challenges to deportations must be filed in the jurisdiction where the individuals are detained
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The immigrants were in Texas while Boesberg is in D.C. Straight Arrow News asked Super
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do judges rule in favor of a president or his party because they appointed them
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or are presidents choosing judges who are more likely to rule in their favor
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due to their judicial philosophy? Super said it's the latter. Presidents look at candidates for judgeships
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and think about which judges are likely to support the kinds of initiatives
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that president wants to take. Maybe 30 years ago, that didn't happen with district court judges
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but I think it now happens with every judicial appointment on any level in the federal courts
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Super and many legal scholars don't believe judges feel gratitude toward the president or party that appointed them, at least not in a way that would affect their rulings
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Once you're on the bench, you work for yourself and you work for the people
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You don't work for the person who appointed you. Judges are there for life
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Presidents go out of office after a maximum of eight years. And I don't think they see themselves as tied to that president at all
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I'm Ray Bogan for Straight Arrow News. For more reporting, download the SAN app
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