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How Many Pairs Of The Air Jordan 11 Win Like 96 Were Produced? Should You Pay Over Retail?
Feb 20, 2025
What I’m about to say in the next couple of paragraphs is entirely based on my own interpretation based on past observations and my background in mathematics. Jordan Brand dropped the Jordan 11 win like 96 incognito a few days ago in select locations. It was to be expected because the same thing was done with its predecessor, the Jordan 11 win like 82. I was at my local mall a week and a half ago and an older gentleman was inquiring about the Win like 96; he was very concerned about not securing a pair. I chuckled a bit and realized that he wasn’t aware that things have changed; he witnessed the madness of the Jordan 11 concord and probably thought the same thing will happen with the Win like 96 model. It has literally been 6 years since the Concord’s frenzy and things have drastically changed. Will the Air Jordan 11 be very hard to get?
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0:00
it what's up guys this is ty from a so
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kicks calm and I don't know if you guys
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remember I work in conjunction with
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Chris from Oshkosh USA and today
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unfortunately he he did a show earlier
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this morning so we weren't able to get
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together so I'm gonna do this one alone
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today
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alright guys quickly before I get
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sellers out there selling sneakers you
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wanna make sure your shoes and smelling
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this is the product for you alright
1:01
other clinks right here i'll show it to
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you i'll give you the link
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alright now let's get into the show
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alright you guys know the Jordan 11 win
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like 96 is coming out and I guess on the
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12 of December attacked and your dick
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came out incomplete and incognito on
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Saturday right a couple of days ago I
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don't remember the take now Jordan brain
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is doing the same thing that they would
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we like it to and will not give it to is
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sitting out like it's sad for a while I
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actually did it the show about it I
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showed you now those were sitting like
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the I went through morning they still
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have sizes left now the show today's I
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want to kind of give you an idea on how
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many shoes how many of those we like 96
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Jordan grain has made and now I'm gonna
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based on my observations and all my
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assertions on my background mathematics
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for those who don't know that's what I
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did in college when I went to college I
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was at the Oscar in math alright so I
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show you a couple of things and we'll go
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from there let's get into our share my
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screen and then we'll go from there
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let's get to it real quick and I'll show
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you a couple pictures here now for those
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who don't know
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in 2014 they made about nine hundred
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sixty-three thousand petals or legend
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blue in 2015 they made about a million
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and almost hundred thousand pairs of the
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Jordan 11 7210 tea and when I say these
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numbers
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I mean mains and kids alike like oh like
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are always included it's not just main
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sizes mains and kids eyes they made
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about these numbers that you see here on
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our picture all right now here's the
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question on the Space Jam I don't have
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actual numbers but based on what I've
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seen here this is what I think happened
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now for the Space Jam you see the map
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this is the release map in the Space Jam
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was flat by far the biggest release
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Jordan Brand ever had like this they
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made a whole bunch of em right now you
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can still go on eBay and buy Space Jam
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for basically to 90 to 80 and it's like
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almost a year later that's to tell you
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how many of those on shoes they made
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right now the we like 82 came out and I
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told you I went to the mall and those
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were still sitting like some stores
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still had like full-size one and this
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was like a week later and there was a
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restock and there was bunch of shoes and
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it still sits off in some places like
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the key sizes are certainly sitting
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right so now should you be paying more
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than retail for these sneakers I don't
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think so man I should really be maybe be
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patient now what I would do next is I
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will show you by using a linear
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regression how many pairs I think Jordan
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Brand made after 11 win like 96 so I'm
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gonna use the linear model so basically
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this is what it is
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now let's go back to the slide here now
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in 2014 they made about nine hundred
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sixty three thousand pairs right and in
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2015 they made about let's see this one
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and one million and something so that's
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like between a year's so to find a
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regression line this is a linear
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progression so what I'll do is I'll use
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this data point and I'll find some kind
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of slope meaning the rate of change how
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many shoes are they adding to this
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Jordan 11 I know it's not the same
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colorway but is still a Jordan 11 and is
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still almost in the same month which is
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December
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right so we're gonna see the progression
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now from last year to this year and from
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the previous year to the year before
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that so I found the slope right and when
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I found the slope this is what I came
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out it came to be let me show to you oh
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man
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why I did the slope and I used my like I
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say mathematic background I came up with
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this number one hundred and nine
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thousand nine hundred seven so I mean
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every pair they making this much more
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right so this is our slope here so that
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mean just the rate of change so every
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year they're gonna add this many shoes
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to the previous year so based on that I
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came up with his number
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I found a equation which is called a
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regression line equation and then when
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you put the number of years in here this
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is what you get I came about now Jordan
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11 we like 82 so this is three year
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since nineteen and see 2014 so that's
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2017 right so there's three years so
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I'll put the number three here and I
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multiply that by the rate of change
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which is how many shoes they're making
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every month every year
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how many more they're making and I came
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with this number a million and almost
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three hundred thousand pairs so now
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we're still in 2017 this tells me that
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issues they'll make about the same
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amount about a million and three hundred
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thousand pairs now listen to me listen
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carefully this is just a prediction I
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just extrapolated doesn't mean that this
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is the truth this is based on my
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estimation now since 2014 is already
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made in 2015 this is are they made and
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in two thousand six seventeen this is
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what's happening shoes are Sydney mall
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so what does I mean they make you many
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shoes am anymore
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so there's more supply and I feel like
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these right here red ones they're gonna
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make a lot more than they made they be
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too because this is almost Christmas
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everybody wants it so I bet you they
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made about a million and three hundred
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thousand pairs this is what I'm is manic
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I'm kind of confident because I see
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what's going on with Jordan brain and I
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don't think they made any less than that
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right so now what does that mean that
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means if you are a reseller
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don't mess with it if you go on ebay now
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my family that's gonna be real quick we
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will check that on ebay and then we'll
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see exactly
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96 right I will see the completed
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listings here now look 3:29 and let's
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see how many sold already
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let's see sold listings look 305 this is
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probably a fake one 200 that's probably
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fake
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this is 274 now this is 300 297 289 so
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if I average that let's add let's add
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all that up so that's like the first six
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pairs right if you add all of you don't
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all these shoes up it's gonna come down
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to like almost 289 and if you reseller
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you got a pretty beefy which is 10% so
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you down or you 22 28 hours or 30 bucks
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and then you gotta pay perhaps which is
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4% so for let's take 10 times 300 s like
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30 divide that by 2 that's 15 so you
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down already
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14 plus 30 does for 4 hours so you
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paying 220 plus taxes 240 so you don't
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so 240 plus did the 44 you faint already
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274 hours and you sign the shoes for
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$2.99
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you lose the money and I'm not even
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count shipping so unless you get this
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useful for a lot less than retail or you
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sell them fixed if your reseller good
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luck now if you collector this is good
7:49
news man like I say don't rush it I
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wouldn't be paying more than 200 more
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than $20 over retail for these sneakers
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if I was you I would just wait because
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they're gonna restock them do go restock
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them again and again so be patient don't
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waste your money all right
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now this is all I wanted to say to you
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so like I say man like I'm trying to
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help you guys out look you gotta use
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your brain this is a linear regression
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they're making a lot more shoes so if
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your reseller stay away from me if you a
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collector be patient don't rush it don't
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try to get it quick don't trying to go
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on eBay and pay like 350 cause they're
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gonna make a lot a lot of those right so
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just be patient
8:28
this is time for master kicks and stay
8:30
tuned for more stuff like this
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