0:00
there has been plenty of dramatic
0:02
fallout from the recent developments in
0:04
fallouts that will affect you and me as
0:08
and cruisers way more than we may have
0:11
thought join me as i explore four events
0:15
and the fallout that they have caused
0:17
and why they're important
0:19
let's talk about that canadian cruise
0:21
band and the fallout from that which is
0:24
way beyond the obvious where are we
0:27
are suggested workarounds like to get
0:30
and why should you and i care even if we
0:33
don't have an alaska or canadian booking
0:36
for this year there are actually seven
0:39
things that you really do need to know
0:41
first of all the ban is on cruise ships
0:44
entering canadian waters and that also
0:47
does not allow ships of over 12
0:49
passengers to enter canadian arctic
0:56
any canada and new england cruises
0:59
there is no option to get around this
1:02
be cancelled thirdly the great lake
1:06
cruises on ships like victory 1 victory
1:08
and ocean victory will also have to be
1:10
cancelled because they
1:12
fall foul of the rules fourthly
1:16
have already been cancelled adventure
1:18
canada that usually runs the
1:20
ocean endeavour in the canadian arctic
1:24
they've already cancelled canadian
1:27
fifthly on the positive side there will
1:29
actually be some cruising in alaska if
1:31
you really do want to cruise there
1:32
this year u.s owned built and registered
1:36
small ship lines can actually sail in
1:38
alaska and most of them
1:39
are aiming to start up when the season
1:43
for example uncruised adventures they're
1:44
actually selling from may the 16th out
1:47
lindblad expeditions the boat company
1:50
alaskan dream cruises and american
1:54
will all be able to sail in alaska this
1:57
they can do this as they carry less than
2:00
and they meet three rules of the us
2:04
passenger vehicle services act now this
2:07
only allows u.s built u.s owned and u.s
2:10
flagships to sail between
2:12
u.s ports without calling on any foreign
2:16
they're also allowed to start sailing
2:18
while bigger cruise ships can't
2:19
because they carry less than 250
2:22
so they don't fall under the cdc rules
2:24
which currently prohibit
2:26
cruise ships from sailing the sick thing
2:29
to know is the larger cruise ships and
2:32
are almost certainly not going to be
2:35
as the three workarounds that are
2:38
absolutely unlikely to succeed so what
2:41
are the options that are being touted
2:42
let's discuss those well
2:44
first of all technical stops in canadian
2:46
ports this is where no one gets off
2:48
but they call in to meet that
2:49
requirement of the passenger services
2:52
act this is just not an option the ban
2:55
ships actually entering canadian waters
2:57
and they've been ruled out as an option
3:00
stops have been ruled out by canada the
3:03
other workaround was trying to get a
3:05
short-term exemption to
3:06
the passenger vehicle services act which
3:09
foreign flagships to sell to alaska
3:13
it's due to fail there's no precedence
3:15
in this over the 100 plus years of the
3:18
nor is there any political will despite
3:20
lobbying by three alaska senators
3:22
now even if cruise line executives of
3:25
have agreed with this and clear the
3:27
cruise line association
3:28
also seem to have no optimism around
3:30
this really working now some people have
3:32
pointed to exceptions being made
3:34
in the past to allow delivery of
3:36
humanitarian aid to puerto rico and
3:38
mainland u.s after hurricanes however
3:41
this is not going to help because it's a
3:44
totally different act
3:45
the jones act of 1920 covers freight and
3:47
it doesn't cover cruise ships
3:49
and the exception was made to the jones
3:51
act it was made reluctantly by the
3:52
presidents at the time
3:53
it was very brief and for humanitarian
3:56
and life-saving reasons not
3:57
for basically vacations the other
4:00
is the same alaskan senators are lobbing
4:02
and absolutely placing hope as are the
4:05
that the ban says that if things improve
4:07
with the pandemic the ban
4:08
could be lifted and everyone sees this
4:11
as the greatest chance of salvaging
4:13
something of the season whilst it's
4:15
possible and the pandemic may improve
4:18
the canadian british columbia government
4:20
where all the ports like vancouver
4:22
and victoria are based where the cruise
4:24
lines have to call on
4:25
they're actually pretty hostile to any
4:27
return this year so john hogan for
4:30
who's the premier of british columbia
4:32
where all those ports are he said he
4:35
to have no travelers coming into british
4:37
columbia until vaccines are readily
4:39
to all residents and this is just not
4:42
going to happen before the end of the
4:42
alaska season based on
4:44
current timing so the seventh thing you
4:47
is that holland america and princess
4:49
cruises because of the ban
4:51
plan to become land-based operators this
4:54
they've confirmed that they planning to
4:56
operate their alaska-based lodges or
4:58
certainly some of them so princess
5:00
has two denali lodges the westmark
5:04
fairbanks hotel and the canai princess
5:07
wilderness lodge and also both princess
5:09
and hot in america they have a railway
5:12
and bus services that move people to and
5:14
from and around alaska
5:16
and they plan to operate all of those so
5:19
bearing all this in mind why have the
5:21
cancelled anything and what should you
5:23
be doing now the lions
5:25
still have to work through all of these
5:27
issues that i've raised above
5:29
and finally draw up plans as they see
5:31
whether these things are possible
5:33
now once they decide to cancel they also
5:36
ready to process and manage what is
5:38
going to be an avalanche
5:40
of cancellations the workload is going
5:43
and of course they need time to get
5:44
ready for that so that's why i think we
5:47
much movement so what should you do well
5:49
you could hold on tight
5:51
uh because when they cancel you're
5:52
likely to get options
5:54
like you know bonus future cruise credit
5:57
if your deposit is movable or your
6:00
it's worth looking and booking 2022 now
6:03
everyone starts rushing into 2022
6:07
now my cruise i'd actually already
6:09
shifted from 2021 into 2022.
6:12
there was a pretty dramatic and often
6:16
to the return to cruise protocols that
6:19
published on their website the fallout
6:23
was so big that they actually pulled
6:25
them off their website within a day
6:27
saying quickly that they had published
6:29
them too early and they were still
6:31
working progress and they'd publish them
6:32
again later the reaction of cruisers
6:35
was quite a surprise to me and it also
6:38
showed that the lions
6:39
should expect and will see a pretty big
6:43
negative reaction to these new protocols
6:46
there is actually nothing in there that
6:48
should really have been a surprise
6:50
to anybody in fact the biggest surprise
6:53
was that some of the cdc framework items
6:56
missing explicitly from them although
7:00
alluded to now a number of viewers have
7:03
as there were some key things and the
7:06
fallout in the discussion was pretty big
7:08
i think well first of all let's take a
7:10
look at what was expected and shouldn't
7:12
have created a fallout but did
7:14
the same protocols were there that we've
7:16
seen in europe and singapore so
7:18
reduced capacity specific arrival time
7:22
marks wearing for everyone over two
7:23
years of age health screening before
7:26
frequent temperature checks limited
7:28
numbers in all venues at all times
7:32
and requiring booking in most cases to
7:36
self-service dining contact tracing on
7:38
board likely using one of those wearable
7:41
no leaving the ship in port unless on an
7:43
approved cruise line only excursion so
7:45
those were all expected but still
7:47
a big reaction what was actually missing
7:51
cdc testing requirements weren't
7:53
entirely covered but were alluded to
7:56
so the carnival protocols they published
7:57
required guests at their own expense
8:00
to arrive at the port with a negative
8:02
pcr test taken between 5 and 24 hours
8:04
before arrival it did then speak about
8:08
as required now the cdc in their
8:10
framework requires actual testing
8:13
before boarding portside and also before
8:16
so this would actually mean that
8:18
cruisers are going to have three tests
8:20
through their vacation through this
8:21
whole process now this is not that
8:24
from what is in place in europe and asia
8:27
multiple tests uh before often during
8:30
the cruise and at the end of the cruise
8:32
so what was actually new that
8:35
create a huge fallout but i thought was
8:37
really interesting was
8:39
around when you will or will not receive
8:41
compensation refunds so if you arrive
8:43
at the port without a negative test
8:46
results you won't be allowed to board of
8:48
but importantly you will not get a
8:51
if you break any of the rules including
8:54
for example while on the cruise line
8:55
excursions not wearing your masks
8:57
you will also be disembarked and you
9:01
if a port has to be dropped or changed
9:05
deems that cases are too high before
9:08
and itinerary gets changed again you
9:09
will not get any compensation for port
9:12
changes you will get a future cruise
9:16
or anyone in your party test positive in
9:19
that test before leaving for the port
9:21
at the port or for any reason you have
9:23
to isolate you will get
9:25
a full future cruise credit refund
9:28
so there was a really big and surprising
9:31
fallout from those protocols they kind
9:32
of withdrew them and i guess they're
9:34
until we get much closer to cruising and
9:36
then they just put it out there with all
9:39
there is no more progress towards the
9:41
return of cruising out of the united
9:43
and it has been confirmed by the cdc
9:46
that we should not be expecting
9:47
any more progress for quite some weeks
9:50
this of course not surprisingly has
9:52
a whole lot of fallouts and there's four
9:53
that i really want to talk about
9:55
the cdc remains pretty reluctant to
9:57
provide more details or any
9:59
more details on timing for the cruise
10:01
lines to progress along
10:03
the next stages of the framework for
10:04
conditional sailing now in a statement
10:06
to the cruise critic site
10:08
a cdc spokesperson said and i'm going to
10:11
returning to passenger cruising is a
10:14
and our current focus is on the
10:15
protection of crew and working with
10:18
cruise lines to implement
10:19
the initial phase requirements of
10:22
and developing onboard laboratory
10:25
capacity so just those
10:26
two areas and when they were pushed on
10:29
the next stage which includes test
10:31
cruises in the details
10:32
what they said and again i quote we
10:34
anticipate the next phase
10:36
of technical instructions to be released
10:40
few weeks now for lions to be able to
10:43
start selling in may
10:44
which is when most have cancelled until
10:47
test cruises would have to happen
10:49
in february and this does look unlikely
10:51
because they're not even going to get
10:54
so as a result of all this we're seeing
10:55
those four big fallouts now
10:58
first of all as already discussed in
10:59
past updates we've seen some lines for
11:03
are already sending back crew that
11:05
they're brought back
11:06
to man ships when they thought return to
11:08
service was a little bit
11:10
closer secondly we've seen
11:13
ports starting to adjust their plans and
11:15
their budgets port canaveral
11:16
expects just three ships sailing in july
11:19
with a small increase month by month
11:21
after that so we're seeing big
11:23
adjustments there happening
11:25
the third big fallout is cruises are
11:27
pretty much giving up on 2021 especially
11:30
until the end of the year and are
11:32
increasingly booking further
11:34
and further out 22 and 23
11:38
are seeing the most booking action now
11:40
even for example oceania 2023 world
11:43
sold out within less than a day or two
11:45
of going on sale and that's 180 days
11:48
long so we're seeing
11:49
cruises basically giving up and looking
11:51
much further afield now fourthly
11:53
some places that rely on u.s cruising
11:56
are throwing kind of wild suggestions
11:58
about home porting in the caribbean for
11:59
example cozumel which is one of the
12:02
top five busiest cruise ports in the
12:04
world based on passengers passing
12:06
is trying to rally support of lines for
12:09
using it as an embarkation port however
12:11
despite the buzz it caused this is
12:14
really a non-starter because the
12:15
logistics and the infrastructure
12:17
for lions to use something like cozumel
12:20
do not exist now they were talking about
12:23
looking at and trying to encourage
12:24
european lines to move there but that's
12:27
not like to come to something now
12:28
european lines do send ships to the
12:31
they do home port there but mostly they
12:35
it because it has structures it has
12:38
and has really good air connectivity to
12:41
home porting possible but there is this
12:43
whole fallout where people are trying to
12:45
ways around this slow pace in the u.s
12:49
there is some encouraging news though
12:50
for australians australia's minister for
12:53
dan tehan in a tv interview in the last
12:56
of recording this has come out really
12:58
strongly in favor of a resumption of
13:02
saying consumers in australia should
13:04
have no hesitation in making
13:06
bookings for cruises in the future
13:09
he said he feels that the protocols for
13:11
resumption of cruising are looking
13:14
feels that they are in a good place now
13:15
importantly nothing on timing was
13:19
the ban on cruise ships in australian
13:20
waters expires on the 17th of march
13:22
but the minister of health sets that
13:26
so it's definitely something to watch as
13:27
it must be coming close
13:29
to australia making a decision on if
13:30
they're going to push that out but
13:32
some good news if you found this update
13:35
enjoy another one of my tips for