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after listening to what cruise lines are
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telling investors they're doing this
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year I'm convinced that we are going to
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be facing five new and possibly
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unwelcome challenges in 2024 but I also
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have some suggestions on how to work
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around these and get ahead of them
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including one solution that you may not
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even realize is possible if you're new
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here welcome aboard I'm Gary bambridge
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helping you to get cruising right
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especially right through 2024 there is
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something I've seen happening that is
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going to be increasingly common this
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year and that is people being bumped off
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cruises due to over booking the practice
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hit the headlines at the end of last
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year when 11 sets of Cruisers waiting to
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board Royal Caribbean Quantum of the
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seas in Brisbane had their vacation
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dreams shattered the ship was oversold
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and there weren't any cabins available
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for them so they were sent home now on
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investigating I found that this is
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happening way more than I realized but
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wasn't making the news like this one was
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done because Cruisers were being bumped
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off from their cruises in the runup to
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their trips not once they actually got
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to the port so what is going on and
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should you be worried this year the
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lions are aiming to have ships sell full
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and over capacity all three major
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cruising groups the carnival Corporation
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Royal Caribbean group and Norwegian
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group have told their investors that
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sales in 2024 are way above any previous
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year and occupancy of their ships is
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already running at 109% capacity at and
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increasing so for those of you who are
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not sure what that means the capacity of
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a ship is measured based on the number
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of fixed Beds which on average is
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basically double occupancy per cabin but
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many many cabins on cruise ships have
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sofa beds or beds that can be pulled
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from the ceiling recesses so kids and
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friends can share cabins now because
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demand is high they are overselling
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using guaranteed fairs which basically
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just guarantees a cabin grade not a
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specific cabin and they're then assuming
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the people will drop out you know when
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fin little balance payment is due and
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again then you know between then and
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departure date and then they will be
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able to take everyone but all the
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affected Cruisers who are being bumped
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off Cruisers have been booking
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guaranteed Fair cabins like those people
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I mentioned earlier so knowing that this
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is an issue for this year what can you
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do to manage your risk or first of all
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consider booking the slightly higher
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Fair where you get to choose a specific
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cabin so you know you will be on that
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sailing second though if you have booked
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or prefer to book a guaranteed Fair
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check in as early as possible when it
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opens online because that often triggers
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your cabin allocation process now there
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is another huge implication of Demand
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Being high and ships sailing Fuller than
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ever this year fairs if you've not
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booked a 2024 cruise yet you're likely
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to be paying more than those that have
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and you'll find it harder to get closer
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to departure deals Cruise Lines use
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what's known as Dynamic pricing this
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means as the ship fills up the prices
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increase so unlike in previous years
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holding out and booking late probably
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this year will not mean lower or deep
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deals now I do have though some
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suggestions on how to deal with this if
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you're still looking to book in 2024 and
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you want to book kind of later first of
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all the highest demand and where ships
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are sailing fullest are in the Caribbean
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and Alaska these are regions that are
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popular in hand for us-based Cruisers so
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you may find it way harder to get deals
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in those two regions however I have seen
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Cruise Line leaders asking travel agents
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to push Europe both the Mediterranean
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and Northern Europe because North
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American tourists still are steering
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clear of booking this year due to the
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kind of ongoing and uncertain situation
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between Russia and Ukraine and the
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Middle East so there will be more deals
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it seems in Europe second the biggest
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opportunity for this year for deals will
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still be when final balance payment is
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due so if you want to cruise at shorter
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notice then be ready 60 or 90 days
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before sailing that's the point when
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Cruise Lines know who has dropped out
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and what capacity they must fill now
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I've noticed a lot of activity around
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that time particularly with short flash
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sales often advertised to their mailing
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list and on social media like this one I
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got from Seaborn but if you go this
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route you need to move fast I've had
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several people contact me booking
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cruises in in 24 they saw those deals
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they thought maybe we will think about
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it overnight but it was gone by the next
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morning demand is high deals go faster
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than ever before it seems but high
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demand and ships sailing full and over
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capacity is not all that the cruise
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lines are telling investors they are
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doing this next one will also hit us
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harder this year all lines have said
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they're working hard to increase the
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amount of money we spend on board
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Norwegian for example say they've
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already got passengers on average to
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spend up to 15% more versus 2019 and
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they see scope to grow that even more
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what I found fascinating and also
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telling is they also told investors that
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the main way they get us to spend more
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is through packages they say passengers
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that buy packages are spending more than
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people that don't and who pay ad hoc on
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board often in past videos I've said
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that whenever the cruise line introduces
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anything personally I assume that it's
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there to make them more money so all
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those packages like celebrity always
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included Holland America have it all
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princess plus Norwegian free at se they
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all make us on average spend more than
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if we did not buy them that's what
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they're telling us but so do the
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individual packages like drinks packages
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dining packages Excursion packages and
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so on so my suggestion in 20124 is when
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looking at the packages don't
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automatically assume you're getting a
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savings versus what you really actually
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would spend if you were buying ad hoc I
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know that I will tend to spend more if I
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go with a package and I spend less if I
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go without a package overall because I
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just don't go to as many especially
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dining restaurants I don't have as many
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drinks I don't use as much Wi-Fi or
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whatever try and cost it out for example
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use the drinks package calculators on
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sites like Cruis le.com and Cru mommy.
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co.uk that by Cruise Line you can input
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the drink amounts you think you'll have
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and it will tell you where the it's
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worth buying a package or not look at
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the Excursion options and do comparisons
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of Excursion options I talk about these
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and I how to do that in recent videos on
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the topic like this one but remember the
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lines are working hard to get us to
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spend more on board than in past year so
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simply be ready for that but talking
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about on board there is a massive change
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that I don't think most passengers have
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realized is coming it is one thing that
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I have noticed and is affecting the way
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that I personally choose cruise lons
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this year and looking further a field
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the lines of to investors they are
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focusing on attracting new to cruise
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Travelers and they're increasing their
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marketing spend to attract them and
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they're looking to cater more for a
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changing type of cruise passenger in
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practice at the expense of their
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traditional ones on some lines for
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example a few weeks back I spotted ads
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by Holland America pushing and
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advertising their kids and family fairs
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a line that used to be seen and was
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catering for a more traditional older
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couple Cruiser on my last H America trip
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over Christmas there were 400 kids and
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teens totally changing the dynamic of
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the line that I'm used to my princess
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Cru in Alaska last summer was Again full
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of Families versus historic also couples
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and older crowd it was a very different
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experience as the year rolls on you may
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find a different and evolving Vibe and
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mix from lines you think you know many
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lines have been launching different
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classes and styles of ships and working
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to attract different Cruise passengers
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that is different to what they used to
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do and it will potentially start to
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affect your cruises this year for
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example celebrity Edge class ships so
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Edge Apex Beyond Ascent are very
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different ships very different
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experience and they're attracting a
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different passenger to celebrity I found
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it's almost like going on a different
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Cruise Line compared to selling on their
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Solstice or Millennium class ship as are
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guests on those ships so as you plan
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what lines to use this year and Beyond
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take time to check and reflect is the
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line still as relevant to your needs or
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should you be looking elsewhere to get
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that experience that you're used to but
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there is some good news wrapped up
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within all of this in the next issue to
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think about the cruise lines have still
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committed to investors to add capacity
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in 2024 which means nine new ocean
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cruise ships for you and me to try this
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year and the good news is that it looks
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like the delays and disruptions that we
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saw over the last couple of years where
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most new ship launches had to be pushed
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back from what the lines are telling
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investors these are expected to happen
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on schedule though looking at the lineup
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one disappointing thing struck me is
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that almost all of these continue the
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trend by every single line to go bigger
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and bigger and most are adding family
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focused features and activities so again
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focusing on that very specific audience
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in 24 there is Royal Caribbean icon of
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the sea with 7,600 passengers Utopia of
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6,700 Princess Cruises is launching Sun
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princess it's a 4,000 passenger ship and
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a new class called sphere class with
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those of you got families will really
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appeal to you because it's introducing
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things like Park 9 seab Breeze ride rope
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courses and the ship within a ship kind
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of yach Clubby experience so it's again
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a changing and evolving princess Disney
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treasur is coming uh that also carries
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over 4 ,000 passengers silver sea is
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launching the second in their silver NOA
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class with silver Ray again it's more
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passengers than any of their other ult
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luxury ships carrying 728 even the
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Luxury Line Viking Cruisers is now
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launching a bigger ship called Viking
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Vela that can carry 998 passengers
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instead of the usual around 900 kunard
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are also launching a bigger ship with
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Queen Anne carrying 3,000 passengers the
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other two ships are a second ship for
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Explorer Journeys with Explorer 2 and
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Ritz carton are launching their second
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shipped ILO yes this year ships are
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absolutely getting bigger and bigger but
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to avoid one of the big mistakes I saw
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Cruisers make last year join me over in
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this video looking at how to make sure
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what you do in Port this year does not
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ruin your cruise see you over there