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why is cruising being treated
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differently to other travel and is it
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being treated unfairly or not i'm gary
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and i have been thinking about and
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looking at these questions
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for many many months now as a major
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major cruise fan where i ended up may
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though actually come as a surprise
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to some of you first off let's be really
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clear and i want to discard
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one kind of myth and make a point that i
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do believe in very strongly
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that does still set all of this up
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people flying around the world
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with few restrictions and little
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controls other than i guess in australia
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and new zealand were undoubtedly the
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main culprit spreading this really
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all around the world it's it's not
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the real big issue in my view is that
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the restrictions the precautions
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on flying driving going by train
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to cross borders between countries they
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so while cruising was shuttered to stop
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transmission and stop spread
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other travel forms of course were not
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getting it wrong on flying
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and the other forms of travel and
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letting people go on land-based
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vacations does not necessarily mean
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that the approach on cruising has been
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now as i discussed during this episode i
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think you're going to find that not only
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wasn't necessarily wrong but i believe
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it's actually going to benefit cruising
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in the short medium and the long term
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now first of all the reality
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is that the majority of cruise
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who've been shown to be the most
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vulnerable and getting seriously ill
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ending up in hospital and dying from
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just kind of a fact so although the
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average age of cruisers according to
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clear anyway is 46.7 years it actually
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hides the actual split
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who's ready cruising and it hides the
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reality that most cruisers are actually
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an older spectrum way over half of
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passengers who go cruising are over 50
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and they only account for about a third
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of the population in countries like the
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and so on so over half are over 50.
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33 to a third of passengers are actually
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and the biggest passenger age group in
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total is the age of 60 to 69.
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now 8 out of 10 deaths from covet were
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over the age of 50 to date that's
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according to the uscdc
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once you get under that age the risk of
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and dying falls really really
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even early on before the shutdown there
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were proposals put forward by clear for
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to kind of put restrictions on people
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over 70 cruising and even people like me
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there was lots of talk about having to
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get medical certificates and so on to
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the us and uk you should advise against
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older people cruising because of the
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of what happens if older people contract
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the age of travelers i guess on flights
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land-based vacations is going to be much
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broader than it is on cruising
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probably also even younger certainly as
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an average and overall
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now we don't all necessarily like the
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outcome and implication i guess but i
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if we thinking about it logically why
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governments have taken a conservative
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with that older profile overall because
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they have a duty they felt they needed
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people over 50 60 70 80 and so on and
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they've done that on land
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you know as the pandemic emerged many of
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those age groups had to shields
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completely and they are the priority for
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vaccines now ironically this approach
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could also be a way of aiding an
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accelerated opening for cruising as we
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head through this year
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because those very same people that
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they're trying to protect are also the
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ones that are going to be vaccinated
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and by summer pretty much everyone in
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those age groups everywhere will have
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we've seen vaccinations of this age
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that cater for older travelers like saga
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victory they're requiring vaccines
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because they can open with an older age
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it's exciting the european river cruise
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the next major factor for taking a
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strict approach which i think is
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probably understandable on some levels
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is cruisers are a social experience
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they're where people mix in numbers they
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go dining we go to bars we go to the
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theater we go gambling we go to deck
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parties we've got a night clubs we go on
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all of those social things that we have
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for spreading the virus whether it's at
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they are an issue it's not just a sea
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social contact is the big risk and
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is exactly what cruising is we go on
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vacation we go on cruises to engage we
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on to interact we go to meet people
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most of those activities that we do in
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the day and the night on a cruise
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are the very same ones that have been
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but they are integral to the cruise
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experience we know we're asking
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cruises which have all the things that
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or have severe controls on land so
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there's no theaters open there's no
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in many places you can't dine inside
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attractions are closed
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other than i guess vegas casinos are
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closed in many places so all those kind
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of social things that we do on a cruise
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are closed down or very restricted so i
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don't fully agree that you can
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compare going flying on a train to
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as social they're not mixing events like
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cruising and they don't involve
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you know a week of interacting when
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we're flying or going on a train we're
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mostly sitting facing one way we're
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there's not a lot of mixing of course at
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the airport and boarding
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there are probably some issues that need
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so of course again i do believe though
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that this has played to the line's
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advantage eventually because
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they put themselves in a really strong
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position versus land-based
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social places to reopen so first of all
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put in place phenomenal protocols that
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have been proven to work in practice
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so we've seen msc cruises mind shift
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in europe we've seen royal caribbean and
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dream cruises in singapore they put
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together protocols which they've proven
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and secondly cruise lines can probably
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much more than they can on land-based
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because they can really require people
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to sign up before they're going to
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they can ensure compliance and they have
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the ultimate lever they can throw them
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if people don't follow it so they
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actually are in a really strong position
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to actually not only have strong
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protocols but to enforce them
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another thing to consider about why
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cruise lines have been treated
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as they are is understanding why
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governments have taken that approach
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on cruising versus other transportation
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forms and i think it is kind of
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there are two really big exceptions
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and germany which i think kind of prove
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why cruising is being treated the way
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so let's have a look at it first of all
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train companies even if you take
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eurostar for example resorts
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theme parks they are of course big
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employers like cruise lines are overall
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but they are incorporated they have
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strong roots in the country they're part
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of the infrastructure
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cruise lines are incorporated and
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registered in foreign
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tax and maritime havens but the big
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in all of this is italy and germany
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those are the two countries that allowed
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right back in the summer of 2020 and
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they'd be much more flexible
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with cruising why it's not actually
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because they've got the virus in better
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control italy has been particularly
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challenging but pretty much all of the
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world's cruise ships are actually built
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in italy or germany cruising is part of
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the country infrastructure it's part of
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economy and the governments therefore
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supported cruising and worked with
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the governments they're invested
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emotionally politically economically in
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cruising in italy and germany but not in
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not in spain or the u.s not australia
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so there's not been as much pressure
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there's not been as much connection
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with the cruising as in those other
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governments just don't feel a need to
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work they need to feel to open faster
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unlike they do with airlines which are
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integral cruising has also kind of
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while flying keeps going and trains keep
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going because those are seen as
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essential to the running of the economy
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is a 100 recreational travel
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so governments won't close down flying
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ferries because they need those to keep
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the business going they need people to
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to and from their work it brings in
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cargo including things like
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ppe vaccines it's used to repatriate
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stranded abroad it helps people to go to
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travel to care for people
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medical treatment visit people who are
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perhaps dying or whatever
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cruising doesn't have that lever to use
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it faces very different standards
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because it's seen as a recreational
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strategic way no angle that you can find
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argue that cruising needs to keep going
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anything like that so it has different
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standards it has higher thresholds and
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is the reality but i think that again
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that helps cruising because they can
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increase the bar cruise ships of course
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are easy to track they have to report
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it's easy to know what happens this is
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why cruising has always been
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getting high attention and having higher
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standards you know for example
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ships have a reputation for being a
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but in fact compared to land the
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outbreaks are pretty low
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but they're reported they're recorded
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and it's not so much the case on land in
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schools hospitals restaurants events
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if there's an era outbreak it's not
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really reported it's not
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the same so think about diamond princess
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ruby princess and all those
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on america ships and even when sea dream
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tried to start cruising the caribbean
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everyone knew exactly who was how many
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and where they were on land events
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on flights there's very little data that
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and very little contact
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tracing that really identifies in
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practice what's going on
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so cruising visible it's an easy target
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but on the positive side
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i think this visibility could be a
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positive you know over 30
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000 people were carried by msc cruisers
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last year without any issues
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more being carried now this means
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there's a lot of data
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a lot of visibility that the cruise
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lines have around what's working
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one reason for this trick to rules is
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the fear and the implications of
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outbreaks think of all those ships
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struggling to find something to dock
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as the lockdown started when they had
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countries had to cope with managing all
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these people coming in
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other countries then repatriating their
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people there were fears of swamping
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local facilities with non-residents of
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the state or the country
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now this was a problem it got in the way
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has been addressed and it will lead and
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to get out of where they are because the
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protocols for the return
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have agreements now with local medical
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and transportation providers to care for
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so that fear of what to do with people
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has been taken out of government's hands
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something that the cruise lines are
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doing cruising has and is being held at
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different standard rules because it is
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different to flying it is different to
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it needs its own rules the worst
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possible thing that could happen to
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is to reopen and there be a major
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outbreak it would hammer cruising for
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years it would be absolutely
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just catastrophic so opening cautiously
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and the right has to be the way not just
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and saying let us fly let us train let
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us do what they're doing
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i've actually never seen any of the ceos
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from the cruise line
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complain about how they're being judged
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and if there's something i've missed let
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me know it's because i see
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cruising for what it is it's unique it's
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different it's not like flying
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it's not like a resort it's a very
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and scenario it needs its own rules
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the ceos keep talking about not being in
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to open the right way because as i said
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the worst thing that could possibly
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happen is for there to be an outbreak
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and we've seen that happen with
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what we've seen happen now is countries
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they are banning flights coming in from
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they're putting in hotel quarantining
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testing so although airlines
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and cross-country train journeys were
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it didn't necessarily help them in the
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by having a different standards and
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treating cruising perhaps very harshly
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i think it's actually going to play into
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cruising's hands because it's developed
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it's developed a strong set of standards
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and it has a lot of visibility
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around it what do you think have i got
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love to hear what you think and remember
12:50
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12:52
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