Massive Election Shocker - Democrats Have Not Won

Hey, everybody, welcome to Explain America

I'm your host, Carmine Sabia, and it is the day after Election Day

Things are still crazy. We're going to try and break it down for you and let you know

the skinny on what's going on. So please stay tuned with us here. But before we do that, please always remember to like, share, subscribe, comment

We love to read your comments, guys. Please make sure you follow Explain America on Facebook

and come chat with us in the Explain America lounge. Now on to the after Election Day news

So it is absolutely crazy, right? It's November 9th. We don't know what's going on with the Senate

We don't know what's going on with the House. Everybody's got concerns. I've been getting DM's and messages like crazy from family and friends

and just some of you people out there that have wanted to know what's going on. Obviously, I can't answer all of them

There's a lot of them, right? So I'm going to try and break it down here in this video the best I can

and understand that I don't know everything. And things change by the minute

Races that haven't been called haven't been called for a reason because we don't know what's going to happen

We can make our best predictions, but we don't know what's going to happen. So let's start in Arizona with the Senate

Don't know what's going to happen. There's a really good chance if you look at the trajectory of Carrie

Lake's numbers for the governorship, you can kind of see also the Senate creeping up as well

So there's a possibility that the Republicans can arrest Arizona from the Democrats, from Mark Kelly

It's possible. But right now, Mark Kelly's in the lead. And if the election ended today, it would be a comfortable lead

But here's the thing. About 60% of the Arizona vote is in the biggest county

Maricopa is not in yet. There's 40% of the vote outstanding. So there's a long way to go in Arizona

It could be quite a while until we get the final results from there

When you look over in Nevada, the Republican is ahead in Nevada

And that's laxalt. But because of the way it works there, they're not done counting yet

And some of the more urban areas that tend to vote Democratic, they're coming in late

So that could switch at any time. So what could happen here is a couple of scenarios

I'll lay them out for you. If the Republicans take Arizona and Nevada game over

they control the Senate. If the Democrats take Arizona and Nevada game over

they control the Senate, right? So we know that. But then there's the possibility they split

And if they split, the entire Senate comes down once again to Georgia

And it's Hershel Walker and Senator Raphael Warnock locked in a dead heat

going to a runoff in December to decide everything. What makes matters more complicated is that on November 15th

Trump has said he's going to make a major announcement. What is that announcement

Up until the midterms, we were pretty sure he was going to announce he was running for president

But the midterms came back. And guys, look, we got to be honest. There was no red wave, right

At best, there's a red trickle. I believe it's pretty much a foregone conclusion that we're going to win

the House, but it's by a tiny minority. So our tiny majority, I should say

So you're looking at a situation where they're not in the best shape

in the House, right? There's going to be never Trumpers in there and kind of some rhinos mixed in there

So it doesn't mean Biden can't get anything passed, but it probably does halt his radical leftist agenda for the most part

Senate is still crucial. Now, if you walk away with this with just a tiny majority in the House

and the Democrats still even with the 50 50 split with Kamala Harris, the vice president is a tiebreaker

Democrats still keep Senate. You pretty much held serve. You took the House. You held serve

The Democrats got to be happy with that result. The Republicans have got to be disappointed with that result

If, however, the Republicans walk away with a small minority of a majority in the House, then they take the Senate

Well, then that's a much bigger victory than it's being seen as right now

because if you have both chambers of commerce, what's the difference in the Senate

Well, the difference in the Senate is you can block judges. You can block a lot of other stuff

You could have more committee hearings. You can protect the filibuster. You can make sure they don't pack the Supreme Court

A lot of different things happen if you have control of the Senate. So that's huge

If they walk away with both, even if it's small. If they walk away with both, you know, I said today to somebody

what do you call the Super Bowl team that wins the Super Bowl by a field goal

You call them champions, right? Because winning is winning. So at the end of the day, winning is winning

It's not what we want. It that's not let's not lie to ourselves. It's not we want it. But a win is still a win

So, you know, the president can't be happy. He didn't hold the house

And he I'm sure he's happy because he thought it was going to be a total wipeout. And there's so much to get into about how bad polling has become in an age

where there's a lot more mail in voting, a lot more early voting. And they're only polling people who own landlines

I mean, you find me somebody between the ages of 20 and 30 who has a landline phone, find me five people in that age bracket

that has a landline phone, answers it and is willing to take a survey. So I think polling has to change or it has become a relic of the past

and is no longer useful, as we've seen in the past few elections. Anyway, the point of this whole thing is I've explained to you

the scenarios that could break down here. There's almost no scenario in which the Democrats keep the house

It is possible right now because it's not done, but it is almost no scenario

I would I would the odds against that would be astronomical. And I think it's important to just keep the faith

Twenty twenty four is coming. We have to pick a good presidential candidate, a presidential candidate

that can win, that can unify the country, that can bring different parts

of the country together, not just that appeals to Republicans or appeals

to the base, but that can appeal to a broad spectrum of the electorate, including independents

I'd love to know in the comments who you think that candidate is. Is it Donald Trump

Is it Ron DeSantis? Is it Ted Cruz? Is it Mike Pence? Who is that candidate to you

I would love to read your comments about that. So please let us know. In the meantime, again, please remember to like, share, subscribe

and of course, leave your comments today, especially we love you guys

God bless you. Take care, everybody