Kamala Gets Tragic News - Trump Is Celebrating

Hey ladies and gentlemen, this is Carmine Sabia for Explain America and the news just got worse for Kamala Harris

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Guys, this is the honeymoon phase for Kamala Harris. This is the part where she's supposed to

She's supposed to take the lead and I would be here right now telling you guys don't worry about the polls right now

This is the honeymoon phase. She's a brand new exciting female of color candidate. There's going to be a real groundswell of support for her

And there is. Her numbers are better than they were. That's the good news for her. You know what the bad news for her is

She's still way behind Donald Trump. There's like one poll out of dozens where she's ahead by like two points in a virtual tie. The rest

Not only is she behind, she's far behind and it gets even worse than that

She's behind in the swing states that matter. Her honeymoon phase stinks. What's going to happen when the honeymoon's over? Are they going to look for a third candidate

Hey, maybe try Buttigieg this time. What's the next trick up your sleeve? What do you got left

Kamala Harris and Joe Biden were exceptionally unpopular, done exceptional damage to this country, have the lowest approval ratings

I've ever seen in modern times for a president and vice president. And all you did was swap one for the other

It's like you had a bag of manure and you said let's trade it in for a slightly less stinkier bag of manure

I want you to watch this on CNN. CNN talking about they have no idea how Kamala Harris could ever catch Donald Trump. This is CNN

I want you to watch this. Let me know what you think in the comments. The showdown between Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump begins with no clear leader

There is new CNN polling, though, revealing it may be a closer contest than the matchup between

Biden and Trump was shaping up to be. CNN's Harry Enten is looking at that. He's here with us now

Where is Harris doing better than where Biden had been? Yeah, you know, one of the big questions for the Joe Biden campaign was why were they doing so poorly at least compared to

2020 among black voters and Hispanic voters. And it turns out it might have at least been partially a Joe Biden problem

So where is Harris doing? Where does Harris have more support than Biden had? Look among black voters

She's doing eight points better than Joe Biden was in April and June. This, of course, Harris poll being in July

How about Hispanic voters? She's doing six points better among Hispanic voters. Now, here's the interesting thing

She's in fact not doing all that much better among white voters. She's only gained a point compared to Joe Biden among white voters

So she is at least at this point looks like she is fulfilling what a lot of Democrats were hoping at is bringing back together

that Democratic base, that diverse Democratic base that Joe Biden seemed to be lacking in at least this time around

And then talk through what states this might be important to. Yeah. So, you know

where could this be important? Where are Hispanic voters and black voters, a large portion of population in those key swing states? Well, it's in the Sun Belt, right

Let's look among black voters, right? Nationally, they make up about 12 percent of the vote in North Carolina

Look at this. This, of course, is where Donald Trump was yesterday. They make up 21 percent of the vote

How about in Georgia? Thirty four percent. Of course, the Hispanic vote. Very important in the Southwest, right

Nationally, Hispanic voters only make up 10 percent of all voters. But look in Arizona, 21 percent, Nevada, 19 percent

And of course, these were the states, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina, that Democrats have been wanting to put in a play

But the Joe Biden campaign had pretty much given up on. But given that Kamala Harris is doing better with black and Hispanic voters

they believe that they can put Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada back into play

How does that then impact the electoral map? Because this gets to what the

now Harris campaign was suggesting in this new memo, that they're re-expanding the map. Yeah. All right

So let's just start out with what was basically Joe Biden's one path, right

Which was the Great Lake win in the Great Lake Battleground states, right? Win in Pennsylvania, win in Michigan, win here in Wisconsin

But that was losing in Nevada, was losing in Arizona, was losing in Georgia

And of course, it was losing in North Carolina as Joe Biden did last time around. But now the Harris campaign believes

yeah, they could win this way, but they could also win in the Sun Belt

So let's say that she loses in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, but she can still win

She can still get to 275 by winning in Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and of course, North Carolina

So basically she's providing more paths for herself. Yes, Joe Biden had a path, but it was a very narrow path

Kamala Harris's campaign believes that they can expand the map, get more paths, win in the Sun Belt here and lose in the Great Lake

Battleground states or have some combination here, right? Where maybe you win in Pennsylvania. Just because you lose Michigan doesn't mean you're going to lose Pennsylvania. Exactly. Exactly right

Just because you lose in one of the states up here, it doesn't mean game over. It means you have more opportunities. And of course, at the end of the day, this is a brace for the Electoral College

It's a race to 270. And the Harris campaign believes they have more paths because they're doing better among an expanded group of voters

The Hispanic vote share is an interesting one, isn't it, Harry? Because isn't Trump still doing a lot better there than we've seen traditionally in the past

She is. He is. Yeah. And this, I think, is the real question for Kamala Harris

You know, you know, Napoleon was no clear leader, but it was forty nine to forty six. Right. And Harris had the forty six

The question is, how does she catch up to Donald Trump? And I believe the way she can do it is doing even better with Hispanic voters, even better with black voters than she's doing now

She still has room to grow, given that she's still trailing how Joe Biden did in 2020

Thanks, Harry. This is a really good basis for we're going to be jumping off from from here. Thank you, John. All right. With us now, national political reporter and the author of the bulk work