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Hey ladies and gentlemen this is Carmine Sabia for Explain America and things have gotten progressively worse for President Joe Biden
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Folks things are getting worse for the president. He is in worse shape than we had originally thought as the 2024 election heats up
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Not only do we have a Parkinson's doctor visiting the White House eight times
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Not only is he suffering serious memory losses during his speeches. Not only is he trailing off mid-sentence and starting new sentences
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Not only is the media coming after him. And just this morning actor George Clooney who just held a fundraiser for this man has asked him to bow out of the presidential competition
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But now everything is moving in Trump's direction. All the polls, the most famous poll, the most accurate poll so far in the previous elections, the most respected poll
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Which is the Cook Report has moved six states towards President or former President Donald Trump
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I guess I'm getting ready for November. This is massive. This is a complete cratering of the Biden campaign
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In my opinion, I've said this I'm sticking to it. At least for the next couple weeks until he proves me wrong
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I think Biden's getting out of this race. I'm telling you guys this right now
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Come back here and tell me I'm wrong if I'm wrong. But I don't see how they keep, I want them to keep him
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I think he's our best shot. I just don't see how they do it
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Let's take a look at this report. Let me know what you think in the comments. Fact of the matter is you look at the national polling, the generic congressional ballot choice for USF
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Look at this. CNN poll plus two Republican Wall Street Journal poll plus three Republican
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Mom, it's University poll plus three Republican. Yeah, Joe Biden may be in slightly worse shape in these particular polls
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But the fact is, when Biden's down four or five, six points, he's close. You can only run so far ahead of Joe Biden at this particular point, at least in the race for the House
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It does seem like Republicans are ahead because Donald Trump is so far ahead
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What's the Senate landscape? Yeah, what's the Senate landscape? I mean, take a look here
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GOP needs just a gain of one for control if Trump wins. And their path is extremely clear because their best chance for a pickup opportunity is in West Virginia
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That's a very likely GOP win with Joe Manchin retiring. And the best Dem pickup chance, perhaps to reverse that so the GOP doesn't gain a net gain of at least one, is Texas
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But that's still a likely GOP win. So the fact is, if Donald Trump wins this election, the race for the Senate, for all intents and purposes in my mind, is over
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One of the things I have heard from Democrats running for Congress is, OK, if President Biden is not doing well
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what we'll say is it makes it all that much more important to elect a Democratic House than a Democratic Senate
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Maybe they can gain support that way. But does it work like that
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Split tickets anymore? It really doesn't. Let's go back since 2000. Same party won presidency in Congress
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Yes, five times. No, it was just one time in 2012, the House that year
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But the House popular vote that year actually went Democratic, even though Republicans maintained control of the House
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So the fact is, five out of six times, that's not good math
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