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Hey, ladies and gentlemen, this is Carmine Sabia 4 Explain America, and Kamala Harris just heard what she did not want to hear as the election draws closer
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It really helps us out. CNN yst Harry Enton, who is one of the best in the business at yzing data
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He believes Kamala Harris's campaign for president looks like a loser. According to him, because of the polling, the way it's showing that people think the direction of the country's going in right now
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it's very uncommon, historically uncommon, for an incumbent party to keep. the presidency in that situation. To that end, Kamala Harris is knee deep in the policies of
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President Joe Biden. She's knee deep in this. She's going to have absolute problem separating
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herself from Biden on this. And according to Enten, he said it would be historic for her to actually
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pull off a victory here because that's how likely she is to be defeated by Donald Trump
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And this is coming from CNN. I want you to watch this video
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Listen to what he says and then let me know what you think in the comments
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Over expectations. Unemployment low at 4.1% dropping. Seems to say the economy is in a good place
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One of the numbers Harrietin senior data reporter Harrietin is here One of the numbers we always talk about in elections is do voters think the country is on the right track or the wrong track What are the polls show Yeah if we look at whether voters believe
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we're on the right track or the wrong track, I think that this sort of gets at a
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problem for Kamala Harris' campaign. Just 28% of Americans think the U.S. is on the right track
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And I want you to put that in a perspective, right? When does the average, when the incumbent
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party loses the election? Look at that. It's just 25%. That looks a heck of a lot like that 28% right, right, that currently think the country is on the right track
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When the White House party wins, i.e. Kamala Harris's party, the Democrats, 42% on average, think that the country is on the right track
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This 25% looks a lot more like this 28%. It doesn't look anything like this 42%
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This, to me, is a bad sign for Kamala Harris's campaign. The bottom line is it looks a lot more like a loser than it does like a winner when it comes to the country being on the right track
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Can an incumbent party win with numbers like this? Yeah, so if we look historically speaking, right, and we say, okay, say the U.S. is on the right track
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the incumbent party when they win, today again, it's just 28%. Look throughout history, right, 96, 88, 04, 12, 84
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In all of these instances, in all these instances, far more than 28% thought that the country was on the right track
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39 was the lowest back in 190096. We got upwards of 47%
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of course that was a blowout right for Ronald Reagan. So there is no historical precedent for the White House party winning another term in the White House
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when the country, when just 28% of the country thinks that we're on the right track
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John, simply put, it would be historically unprecedented
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