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Hey ladies and gentlemen this is Carmine Sabia for Explain America and President Joe Biden is falling apart and it's devastating
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You guys know swing states are the most important states in any election. Most of us live in states that don't really matter
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I'm in New Jersey, not really a state that... Well, no, no, no. After the rally the other day maybe New Jersey is in play
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But generally speaking we're not in play. California, Texas, these states, you know how they're gonna vote, right
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But the swing states, the swing states are so important. And it looks like the more lawfare is being used against Trump, the higher his polls are rising
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The latest poll by CNN, by CNN had them shocked. I mean you got to see their faces. They are absolutely terrified and you could see the terror
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You could see it, you could hear it in their words. You could see it in their faces
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Absolutely terrified by what the results of the polls are in places like Nevada and Arizona
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where you think, you know, Biden's gonna walk away with this. He's getting destroyed. He's not just getting defeated
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He's getting annihilated, annihilated like in such a landslide that there's really nothing you can do to save it
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if you know what I mean. I want you to watch this video and let me know what you think
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As always, please remember to like, comment, share and subscribe. I'm Carmine Sabia for Explain America
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We love you guys. God bless you. Take care, everybody. About the new polling out from the New York Times
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What is it telling you? Yeah, I think it's essentially saying that we have a divide
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between the Sunbelt and Great Lake Battleground states. All right. You know, these are all six states that Joe Biden, one last time around
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they won by the closest margin of any of the states he won. Look, these Sunbelt Battleground states, frankly, for the Joe Biden campaign
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these numbers are an absolute disaster. The smallest lead is in Arizona for Donald Trump
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He's up six. Look at this, nine in Georgia, 13 in Nevada
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My goodness gracious. My God, that is a huge lead. No Democrat has lost that state since John Kerry lost it back in 2004
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How about these Great Lake Battleground states? This is something that the Joe Biden campaign can work with
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Look, Pennsylvania, Donald Trump up three, but that's well within the margin of error
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Wisconsin, Donald Trump up one, well within the margin of error. And actually, a Joe Biden lead, well within the margin of error, up a point here
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This they can work with the Joe Biden campaign. This, the Donald Trump campaign, absolutely loves
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And it looks like a lot of the other polling on the Sunbelt Battlegrounds as well. When you're looking into the numbers, why do you think Biden is doing better in the Great Lakes
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and Trump is doing so much better in the Sunbelt? Yeah, the Trump coalition is changing. That's basically what's cooking here
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This is at least one of the big reasons why. So this is among likely voters in all these battleground states we just spoke about
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Back in 2020, 84 percent of the Trump campaigns, the Trump coalition was white
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Look where it is now. It's 78 percent. The nonwhite portion of the Trump coalition, it was 13 percent in 2020
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Look at this now. It's 19 percent. So the Trump coalition is becoming more diverse
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And of course, those Sunbelt Battleground states are more diverse than the Great Lake Battleground states
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You're looking at the Nevadas and the Arizonas. Of course, if you look at Nevada, Arizona, heavy Hispanic population, Georgia, heavily African-American population
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Michigan does have some black voters in it, but Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are heavily, heavily white
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Very interesting. OK, add it all up. What does this say about where the race stands right now
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We're talking Electoral College and the race to 270. Yeah, the race to 270. It's advantage Donald Trump, but he's not over the 270 mark just yet
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All right. So if we flip Nevada, Arizona and Georgia here in your lighter shades of pink
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you add them to the states and of course, the second congressional district up in Maine
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which Donald Trump won last time around, that gets him to 268 electoral votes
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If we keep Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania in the too close to call category
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along with Nebraska's second congressional district, Joe Biden to 225. So it's advantage Donald Trump. But Joe Biden does at this point have a path to 270. Yeah
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